SANDOWN – MARCH 10
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £317.40 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (1.20): 1 (Shambra), 3 (Royal Zanzibar) & 5 (Erik Le Rouge)
Leg 2 (1.50): 7 (Al Shahir), 8 (The Dubai Way) & 9 (Notre Ami)
Leg 3 (2.25): 3 (Whatswrongwithyou), 13 (Friday Night Light) & 8 (Highway One O One)
Leg 4 (3.00): 2 (Posh Trish) & 7 (Queens Cave)
Leg 5 (3.35): 4 (Tanit River) & 2 (Pete The Feat)
Leg 6 (4.10): 4 (The Last But One), 3 (Silverhow) & 1 (Rayvin Black)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.20: There is some realistic positive money emerging for ERIK LE ROUGE on the exchanges at the time of writing, whilst it’s worth noting that Nick Williams (for once in his life) has declared more runners on the card than any other trainer. I’ll wager that Nick will gain a winner somewhere down the line but whether it is in the first event remains to be seen. Certainly on the form book, the likes of SHAMBRA and recent soft ground winner ROYAL ZANZIBAR should be there or thereabouts turning for home.
Favourite factor: Three one of the five favourites to date (winners at 5/2 & Evens included) have secured Placepot positions to date.
1.50: Six-year-olds have won fourteen contests during the last twenty years (including ten of the last fourteen) and with eight of the eighteen declarations hailing from the vintage, six-year-olds are 5/4 mark to land the spoils before form is taken into consideration. I’m opting for AL SHAHIR and THE DUBAI WAY this time around. Nick Gifford holds a leading chance in the Championship Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival on Wednesday and there will be worse outsiders on todays’ card than heavy ground course winner NOTRE AMI I’ll wager.
Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the study period, whilst five of the other eighteen market leaders additionally claimed Placepot positions.
Record of the course winner in second event:
1/1—Notre Ami (heavy)
2.25: I’m duty bound to report that twelve of the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less (as have 39 of the last 55 win and placed horses) which eliminates most of the field this time around. The top two horses in the market have both won with plenty of moisture in the ground, whereby WHATSWRONGWITHYOU and FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHT have to be respected. That said, six-year-olds have won four of the last nine contests and with Chris Gordon having held two entries on the card for HIGHWAY ONE O ONE, I am duty bound to stand by the trainer who landed one of my finest days in memory when scoring with all five runners on the Monday before Cheltenham last year, something I had ‘offered’ to my followers before the trainer pulled of his nigh 1,000/1 accumulator! HIGHWAY ONE O ONE has not raced on ground this deep but there was plenty to like about his soft ground Boxing Day win the last day. Charis has secured one gold and five silver medals via his last seven runners for good measure.
Favourite factor: Seven favourites have obliged during the last eighteen years, though just three of the other eleven market leaders additionally claimed Placepot positions.
Record of the course winner in the Imperial Cup:
2/2—Call Me Lord (good & heavy)
3.00: Five-year-olds have won seven of the fourteen contests and the pick of this year’s seven relevant raiders will hopefully prove to be POSH TRISH and QUEENS CAVE. The ‘dark horse’ in the field however is undoubtedly URCA DE LIMA and I truly wish that I had enough room for Anthony Honeyball’s raider to be included in my permutation. What I suggest (above) and what I ultimately do however, is another matter entirely! I am aware (as always I hope) of different budgets affecting each one us, especially with Cheltenham around the corner.
Favourite factor: Four of the fourteen market leaders have claimed Placepot positions to date, whilst we had to wait until 2012 for the first (and only) successful (2/1) market leader to emerge.
3.35: Thirteen of the last sixteen winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more and that figure will probably be increased this year with six of the seven runners ‘qualifying’ via the weight trend. Eight-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals whereby TANIT RIVER is the first name on the team sheet, especially having won on his only start at Sandown over the distance on soft ground. PETE THE FEAT was a little disappointing at Exeter the last day but having won 4/14 on heavy ground and loving every inch of this Esher circuit, I think it’s worth giving the old boy another chance in this grade/company. Last year’s winner Shanroe Sands will find the ground much softer on this occasion I fancy.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have obliged during the last twenty years, whilst 13/23 market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
1/3—Shanroe Santos (good to soft)
2/7—Pete The Feat (good to soft & soft)
1/1—Tanit River (soft)
4.10: A ‘win only’ Placepot finale which temps fate with yours truly including three of the four runners from a Placepot viewpont. Listed in order of preference, the trio is named as THE LAST BUT ONE, SILVERHOW and RAYVIN BLACK. Readers are asked to organise ‘British queues’ outside bookmaker outlets this morning as they strive to get on the horse I have left out of the equation, namely Diamant Bleu!
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/4 favourite finished out of the ‘short field’ frame. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way & Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/7—Rayvin Black (soft & heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (three or more on the Sandown card on Saturday:
5 runners—Nick Williams
+ 46 different trainers who saddled two or less….
69 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £349.00 – 6 favourites – 1 winner & 5 unplaced
Hereford: £29.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Chelmsford: £200.30 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £119.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced