Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Saturday 12th March

SANDOWN – MARCH 12 

Sandown stats have not been updated from Friday's meeting

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £2,019.40 (7 favourites: 1 winner 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

Average Placepot dividend (all codes) in 2016 (calendar year): £601.15

Average NH Placepot dividend in 2016: £840.13

Average Sandown Placepot dividend in 2016: £403.73 (3 meetings)

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.25): 2 (Searching) & 1 (Harley Rebel)

Leg 2 (2.00): 12 (Alcala), 10 (Divine Spear) & 17 (Paddys Field)

Leg 3 (2.35): 8 (Desert Joe) & 7 (Financial Climate)

Leg 4 (3.10): 11 (For Good Measure) & 3 (Solstice Star)

Leg 5 (3.45): 12 (The Nipper), 1 (Copper Kay), 4 (Cajun Fiddle) & 7 (Listen To The Man)

Leg 6 (4.20): 1 (Kylemore Lough), 2 (Dormello Mo) & 3 (Helium)

Suggested stake:  288 bets to 10p stakes

1.25: "Sandown is my Cheltenham" was the quote earlier this season when Gary Moore was firing in winners like there was no tomorrow.  At the time of writing, Gary's ratio was 9/18 and Gary has a definite chance of improving the figures with SEARCHING, albeit the Matercraftsman gelding has HARLEY REBEL to beat. Neil Mulholland's three time winner (via eleven assignments) represents a stable which had won with three of its last eight runners when penning this column.

Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites to date (5/2 winner) has secured a Placepot position to date.

2.00: Six-year-olds have won twelve contests during the last eighteen years (including eight of the last twelve) and with ten of the eighteen declarations hailing from the vintage, six-year-olds are 4/5 mark to land the spoils before form is taken into consideration.  My six-year-old reserve nomination (Brave Vic) won the race two years ago at odds of 20/1 and I'm hoping that vintage representatives ALCALA, ROBIN OF LOCKSLEY and PADDY'S FIELD can at least figure prominently this time around. Five-year-old DIVINE SPEAR appears to be the potential fly in the ointment on this occasion.

Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the study period, though only four of the other 16 market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.

2.35:  Eleven of the last fourteen winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more and that figure will be increased this year as all nine declarations 'qualify' this time around. The stats have been left in for you to note.  There will be worse outsiders on the Sandown card than SEEBRIGHT I'll wager, especially with Vic Dartnall saddling plenty of win and placed horses of late.  That said, more logical winners include DESERT JOE and last year's winner FINANCIAL CLIMATE.

Favourite factor: Three favourites have obliged during the last 18 years, whilst twelve of the twenty one market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Sandown record of course winners in the third race on the card:

1/6--Relax (C&D winner)

1/1--Financial Climax (C&D)

3.10: I’m duty bound to report that the last twelve winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less (as have 34 of the last 48 win and placed horses) which only eliminates last year's runner up RAYVIN BLACK from the equation, at least at the overnight stage.  This is probably just as well, because the top weight is no less than 21 pounds worse off with last year's gold medallist EBONY EXPRESS who won the contest by three parts of a length. That said, EBONY EXPRESS has failed to add to his score via five subsequent assignments, whereas RAYVIN BLACK has enjoyed a wonderful year.  FOR GOOD MEASURE attempts to become my third winner in five years having opted for the 20/1 gold medallist in 2012.  On a hat trick this time around, the Philip Hobbs raider has made light of heavy conditions of late (mixed metaphor there I fancy) and this progressive five-year-old has to be the call.  Others with definite claims include SOLSTICE STAR and SUNSHINE CORNER.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have obliged during the last 16 years, though just two of the other nine market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.

Sandown record of course winners in the Imperial Cup:

2/5--Rayvin Black (Dual C&D winner)

1/3--Ebony Express (C&D winner)

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1/1--Prairie Town (C&D winner)

3.45: Five-year-olds have won six of the twelve contests and the pick of this year’s ten relevant raiders will hopefully prove to be THE NIPPER, COPPER KAY and CAJUN FIDDLE.  COPPER KAY has won three of her four races to date, the lone defeat coming in this event last year when Richard Johnson's mount finished fourth. Six-year-olds have won three of the last nine contests and LISTEN TO THE MAN is year's lone representative.

Favourite factor: Four of the thirteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, whilst we had to wait until 2012 for the first (and only) successful (2/1) market leader to emerge.

4.20: KYLEMORE LOUGH will certainly appreciate the testing conditions, Kerry Lee's seven-year-old having really impressed of late when the ground is in his favour.  I note that the trade press distinguish between hurdle and steeplechase events regarding the 'prefix' of course and distance winners which I can never understand personally. Horses either take to the gradients of a track or they do not, whereby I have no hesitation of listing C&D letter next to the names of DORMELLO MO and HELIUM.  The BHA can say what they want!  Please accept however that these are my thoughts and not necessarily those of Geegeez.com.  "Whatever" as the teen saying goes these days, suffice to say that I will include all three horses in the Placepot finale and hope that the horse with the lowest number of units prevails.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/8 favourite duly obliged last year.

Sandown record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:

1/2--Dormello Mio (C&D winner)

1/4--Helium (C&D winner)

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Saturday:

5--Philip Hobbs

4--Dan Skelton

3--Henry Daly

3--Paul Nicholls

3--Oliver Sherwood

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies

2--Chris Gordon

2--Alan King

2--Gary Moore

2--Fergal O'Brien

2--Lucy Wadham

2--Paul Webber

2--Harry Whittington

2--Venetia Williams

+ 31 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

68 declared runners

 

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