5 Minute Placepot

Placepot pointers – Saturday 28th December 2015

Placepot pointers – Saturday 28th November 2015

 

It should be noted that placed/unplaced records are in line with the ruling of bookmakers, i.e. only one win and one place in races for 5/6/7 runners etc.

 

Corresponding details for Saturday:

 

Placepot dividends at Newbury for the last five years: 

2014: £1,342.20 (7 favourites - 2 winners – 1 placed - 4 unplaced)

2013: £3,628.70 (6 favourites - No winners – 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

2012: £32.90 (6 favourites - 3 winners – 1 placed - 2 unplaced)

2011: £118.60 (6 favourites - 2 winners – 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

2010: £69.40 (7 favourites - 3 winners – 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

Average dividend: £1,038.36

Favourites (32): 10 winners – 6 placed – 16 unplaced

 

The 2013 dividend was more about the nineteen furlong handicap hurdle event that the result of the Hennessy Gold Cup, even though the 11/2 favourite finished out of the frame in the big race.

The hurdle contest witnessed the first six horses in the betting finishing out with the washing and even though the four outsiders which filled the frame were saddled by Alan King, David Pipe, Jonjo O’Neill and Paul Nicholls, Placepot investors who looked at the front end of market were beaten.

As suggested many times, the outsiders I referred to in this instance (12/1-14/1-16/1-20/1) were not off the radar in betting terms by any means, but too many investors are influenced by media ‘experts’ and the starting price forecasts in the press.

 

Represented trainers who have saddled at least three winners at the corresponding ‘Hennessy Gold Cup day’ meeting during the last five years:

9 winners – Paul Nicholls

5 winners – Philip Hobbs

3 winners – Alan King

 

Placepot dividends at the 2015 NH meetings at Doncaster season (this is a new fixture/no recent history):

Jan 9th: £13.30 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

Jan 23rd: £200.60 (7 favourites - 1 winner – 3 placed – 3 unplaced)

Jan 24th: £233.90 (6 favourites - 2 winners – 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

Feb 18: £32.80 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

Feb 27: £411.00 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

Feb 28: £79.60 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)

Average dividend: £161.87

Favourites (40): 14 winners – 10 placed – 16 unplaced

 

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Placepot dividends at Newcastle for the last 5 years of renewals: 

2014: £84.00 (7 favourites - 3 winners – 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

2013: £6.70 (6 favourites - 3 winners – 2 placed - 1 unplaced)

2012: £1,940.50 (7 favourites - 1 winner – 2 placed - 4 unplaced)

2011: £74.20 (6 favourites - 2 winner – 3 placed – 1 unplaced)

2009: £283.10 (6 favourites - 4 winners – 1 placed - 1 unplaced)

Average dividend: £477.70

Favourites (32): 13 winners – 9 placed – 10 unplaced

 

The 2012 Newcastle dividend was brought about by two ‘win only races’ basically, with the relevant contests won by horses returned at 9/2 & 11/4.

This effectively created a £20 mini (four leg) Placepot if we take the starting price returns as a semi accurate guide of the number of the number units which were lost via the two four runners race on the card.

It is far from an exact science that starting prices equate to the number of units from a Placepot perspective though from studying the subject for twenty years now, in ‘win only’ races, we can form the opinion that at least 19/20 Placepot units will have been lost via the two results though in reality (especially with a beaten odds on chance involved), the figure is likely to be nearer 24/25 units lost.

The message is clear; always look for vulnerable favourites on a Placepot card, especially in ‘win only’ races.  This scenario becomes even more valid when non-runners create a ‘win only’ event, which is why you should always wait as long as possible before placing your Placepot wagers.

 

Trainer with most winners at this corresponding meeting during the study period:

5—Sue Smith (15/8* - 2/1 – 5/1 – 14/1 – 14/1)

5—Colin Tizzard (5/2* - 5/1 – 6/1 – 10/1 – 12/1 – includes a 1000/1 treble last year)

 

Placepot dividends at Bangor for the last 3 renewal years: 

2014: £57.70 (6 favourites - 5 winners & 1 unplaced @ 1/2)

2013: £47.10 (6 favourites - 1 winner – 4 placed - 1 unplaced)

2011: £27.10 (6 favourites - 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)

Average dividend: £43.97

Favourites (18): 9 winners – 6 placed – 3 unplaced

 

Trainer with most winners at this corresponding meeting during the study period:

6—Donald McCain (2/13* - 1/4* - 1/3* - 5/4* - 7/2 – 20/1)

 

Placepot dividends at Wolverhampton (A/W) in November thus far (7 meetings – before Friday’s sport was contested):

 

Average Placepot dividend: £103.91

 

Favourite stats (46): 20 winners – 10 placed – 16 unplaced

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