Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Saturday 30th January


Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £94.10 (6 favourites: 1 winners--1 placed--4 unplaced)
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12.40:  I was in the Gold Cup restaurant at Cheltenham at this meeting six years ago and you could have heard the proverbial pin drop when the 100/1 winner Baccalaureate scooted clear up the run-in.  That said, six of the last nine renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another and with WHO DARES WINS and 21 length soft ground Newbury winner CLAN DES OBEAUX really decent types in the making, it’s well odds on that another fancied runner will oblige this time around. The other two winners in the field deserve plenty of respect too, namely Wolf Of Windlesham and Duke Of Medina. For the record, Nicky Henderson has saddled two of the last three gold medallists, having secured the silver medal on the other occasion, though his two representatives would do well to get the better of the previous winners in this field, despite receiving between four and seven pounds from their four rivals.
Favourite factor: Only four of the last 14 favourites have finished out of the frame, though five of the last 13 winners have scored at 100/1--50/1--25/1--11/1--11/2. 
Cheltenham record of course winners in the first race:
1/1--Wolf Of Windlesham

1.15: Two of the last 12 winners of this event went on to win the discarded Cathcart Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, whilst the 2005 winner (Lacdoudal) finished second in the inaugural running of the ‘Jewson’.  The winner five years ago was Ping Pong Sivola who went on to finish second best to stable companion Something Wells in the ‘Freddie Williams’ whilst the 2009 winner (Hey Big Spender) was still going really well in the ‘Jewson‘ when exiting the contest.  The 2012 winner Bless The Wings ran tenth in Hunt Ball’s contest, before the 2013 gold medallist Vino Griego ran second in the Byrne Group Plate at the Festival at odds of 11/1.   The 2014 winner was made 7/2 favourite for the 'Kim Muir' but finished down the field.  Last year's winner (Generous Ransom) was placed at 8/1 in the Listed Novice Handicap Chase at the Festival.  Venetia Williams has saddled three of the last 11 winners of the race and her 8/1 representative twelve months ago (ASTIGOS) was beaten a neck when securing a Placepot position.  Eight of the last 11 winners have carried a maximum weight of 11-3 which suggests that Un Temps Pour Tout is up against it here. Seven-year-olds have won four of the last nine contests which brings IMAGINE THE CHAT, KING'S ODYSSEY and JOHNNY OG into the equation alongside Venetia's other raider WALDORF SALAD.  

Favourite factor: Just one favourite has prevailed thus far, whilst 11 of the last 13 favourites have finished out of the frame!
1.50: 12 winners of this race have gone on to contest the Cheltenham Gold Cup in the same year.  Looks Like Trouble won the ‘Blue Riband’ whilst Exotic Dancer finished second in the big race eight years ago.  Nine of the other 10 representatives finished out of the frame, though THE GIANT BOLSTER won what was known as the 'Argento' two years ago.  David Bridgwater's old stager can rarely be ignored at Prestbury Park, whilst the Grand National winner MANY CLOUDS returns to defend the crown he snared twelve months ago.  MANY CLOUDS won the 2014 'Hennessy' before winning this race next time out.  SMAD PLACE attempts the same double this season, though he ran fourth in the 'King George' last time out, a race which Many Clouds did not contest in his 'double year'.  The declaration of DJAKADAM adds plenty of interest to proceedings.  Last year's Gold Cup runner up  would only have to go close to repeating that kind of effort to win this event I'll wager.  Out of interest, the last eight winners of this event have been aged eight or more, a stat which goes against Sue Smith's rapidly improving raider WAKANDA.  Whatever happens, let's hope all eight runners stand their ground to keep the bookmakers on their toes against a very short priced favourite (DJakadam).  
Favourite factor: The last 17 favourites have all been beaten, whilst eight of the last 16 market leaders have failed to claim toteplacepot positions.
Cheltenham record of course winners in the third contest:
1/4--Many Clouds (C&D winner)
4/11--Sam Winner (C&D winner)
1/2--O'Faolains Boy
3/13--The Giant Bolster (C&D winner)
2.25: Four recent winners of this race went on to contest what was then the ‘Mildmay Of Flete’ (now the Racing Post Plate) without any of the scorers finishing in the frame at the Festival.  11 of the 12 horses that contested races at the Festival after winning this event finished out with the washing. Last year's winner ANNACOTTY makes most appeal at the overnight stage.  That said, seven-year-olds have won three of the last four contests whilst four of the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 10-13.  Those stats bring CHAMPAGNE WESTand IRISH CAVALIER into the overnight mix.  
Favourite factor: Six of the 18 favourites have won to date, offering punters a profit of £962.50 to one hundred pound level stakes.  10 of the 18 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.
Cheltenham record of course winners in the fourth event on the card:
1/3--Irish Cavalier
2/5--Champagne West
3/12--John's Spirit

3.00: Six-year-olds have claimed 19 toteplacepot positions via 10 renewals to date, vintage representatives having won six of the last seven contests (and seven of the last nine).  The vintage looks best represented YANWORTH on this occasion with Barters Hill looking set to be re-routed to Doncaster.  Both horses are set to carve out a decent future.  SHANTOU VILLAGE is the potential 'spoiler' in the line up from my viewpoint.  
Favourite factor: Eight of the 10 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners.
Cheltenham record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/2--Champagne On Ice (C&D winner)
1/1--Shantou Village

3.35: Paul Nicholls has secured three of the last seven renewals and his lone entry earlier in the week was PTIT ZIG who has been offered the green light to run over timber, having failed to complete the course on his last two chasing assignments.  A winner of three of his 12 races over the smaller obstacles, it should be noted that PTIT ZIG finished in the frame on five other occasions and his entry adds interest to proceedings.  That said, THISTLECRACK has won five of his eight hurdle ASSIGNMENTS thus far and on each occasion, Colin Tizzard's eight-year-old has looked a champion in the making.  CAMPING GROUND was impressive last time out but at level weights, THISTLECRACK has to be the call. 

Favourite factor: Four of the last eight favourites have won the toteplacepot finale.  Six of the 10 market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the last decade. 

Cheltenham record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/1--Camping Ground
1/19--Knockara Beau
1/4--Ptit Zig
1/8--The Romford Pele
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Cheltenham card on Saturday:
5--Nicky Henderson
5--Paul Nicholls
4--Rebecca Curtis
4--Alan King
4--Jonjo O'Neill
3--Colin Tizzard
3--Venetia Williams
2--Philip Hobbs
2--Martin Keighley
2--David Pipe
2--Nicky Richards
2--Lucinda Russell
2--Sue Smith
1--David Bridgwater
1--Tony Carroll
1--Mick Channon
1--George Charlton
1--Stuart Edmunds
1--Kevin Frost
1--Harry Fry
1--Tom George
1--Nick Gifford
1--Warren Greatrex
1--Paul Henderson
1--Anthony Honeyball
1--Ms Sandra Hughes
1--Emma Lavelle
1--Willie Mullins
1--Fergal O'Brien
1--Ben Pauling
1--Oliver Sherwood
1--Suzy Smith
1--Jamie Snowden
1--Nigel Twiston-Davies
1--Robert Walford
1--Harry Whittington
1--Evan Williams
64 declared runners
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