HAYDOCK – JUNE 9
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £56.10 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Haydock:
Leg 1 (2.15): 4 (Sea Youmzain) & 2 (Podemos)
Leg 2 (2.50): 1 (Cribbs Causeway), 5 (God Given) & 4 (Fosun)
Leg 3 (3.25): 7 (Final Venture), 9 (Muthmir) & 4 (Blue De Vega)
Leg 4 (4.00): 3 (Emmaus), 2 (Dutch Connection) & 1 (D’Bai)
Leg 5 (4.35): 3 (Calder Prince) & 2 (Mickey)
Leg 6 (5.10): 1 (Last Page), 3 (Breaking Records) & 2 (Choice Encounter)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
2.15: SEA YOUMZAIN represents Mark Johnston’s yard which is approaching ‘boiling point’ now and with support coming in for his recent Nottingham winner, Mark’s Sea The Stars raider can follow up successfully. PODEMOS is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the card with which to open proceedings.
2.50: Four-year-olds have won six of the last ten contests and CRIBBS CAUSEWAY and GOD GIVEN head this year’s vintage representatives from my viewpoint, the pair being listed in marginal order of preference. That said, foreign raiders often represent decent value from a Placepot perspective which will, likely as not, be the case again with the German representative FOSUN having been declared.
Favourite factor: Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick this time around having won three renewals during the last decade during which time, all ten gold medallists scored at a top price of 10/1. Half (6/12) of the favourites have finished in the frame (exact science) during the study period.
Record of the course winner in the field:
1/1—God Given (soft)
3.25: FINAL VENTURE has been dropped nine spots by the official assessor since winning this event twelve months ago and cynics could argue that running off the same weight here suggests that Paul Midgley’s inmate is up against it, and then some! Overnight support suggests that this might not be the attitude to take however and certainly from a Placepot perspective, I have no hesitation is adding Paul’s eight time winner into the equation. Others to consider include MUTHMIR and BLUE DE VEGA, especially as Robert Cowell’s latter named raider is the pick of the two five-year-olds in the contest, with vintage representatives boasting four victories in the race during the last decade.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won four of the last eight renewals. That said, the four favourites before the last two market leaders won their respective events had finished out of the frame.
Record of the two course winners in the third race:
1/2—Gracious John (soft)
1/2—Final Venture (soft)
4.00: Four-year-olds boast the best recent record on the ‘John Of Gaunt’ event, snaring five contests during the last ten years and EMMAUS and D’BAI both offer serious form to bring into the contest on this occasion. The pair is listed in order of preference with Roger Varian (Emmaus) getting into top form now, the trainer having secured three victories via his last six runners. The main threat to vintage contenders this time around appears to be DUTCH CONNECTION.
Favourite factor: Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last ten contests. Aside from a couple of rogue gold medallists at 33/1 and 10/1, the other eight renewals during the last decade have been claimed by horses starting at a top price of 6/1. Six of the last eleven favourites during the last decade claimed Placepot positions.
Record of the two course winners in the fourth event:
1/1—Tabarrak (good to firm)
4.35: Tom Dascombe (and Michael Owen for that matter) hold this venue and Chester close to their hearts and the two inmates CALDER PRINCE and MICKEY both have sound claims in this grade/company on the best of their form lines. I doubt whether both horses will finish out of the frame in all honesty, offering REPUTATION as the party pooper in the field if Tom and Michael are to be denied from a win perspective.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/2 favourite finished out with the washing.
Record of the two course winners in the fifth contest:
2/8—Calder Prince (good to firm & soft)
2/2—Pennsylvania Dutch (good & soft)
5.10: David Evans has two chances on the card but LAST PAGE is his main player from my viewpoint and 7/1 with Skybet this morning proved too big for yours truly to resist. Three of the last four winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-5, stats which also bring BREAKING RECORDS and CHOICE ENCOUNTER into the mix.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won two of the six renewals in the Placepot finale. Five of the six market leaders have secured Placpot positions.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.