Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Saturday 9th September

HAYDOCK - SEPTEMBER 9

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £2,739.60 (7 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Haydock: 

Leg 1 (1.20): 7 (Time Chaser) & 2 (Empress Ali)

Leg 2 (1.50): 5 (Learn By Heart), 3 (Dex Ex Bee) & 2 (Dark Acclaim)

Leg 3 (2.25): 7 (Tasleet), 1 (Brando) & 11 (Spirit Of Valour)

Leg 4 (3.00): 10 (Soie D’Leau), 12 (Mayleaf Shine) & 6 (Aleef)

Leg 5 (3.35): 6 (Morando) & 2 (Victory Bond)

Leg 6 (4.10): 3 (Jaameh),10 (Sepal) & 11 (Compton Mill)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.20: The main advice today is simply to bet for fun, with yours truly not expecting potential investors to stake much more that their minimum risks on ground today which will probably look appalling by the end of play.  The Placepot advice above is ONLY offered because of my success yesterday, never wishing to ask readers to invest more that they can afford.  For this reason I would urge you where possibly to team with a friend or two and stake accordingly on a day when fun should far outweigh risk.  Upwards and onward by suggesting that TIME CHASER and EMPRESS ALI should get us safely through to the second leg between them, with Company Asset offered up as the reserve nomination.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/2 favourite finished nearer last than first when missing out on a Placepot position. Horses filled the frame at 12/1-14/1-12/1, setting up a great (£2,739.60) Placepot dividend straight away!

Draw factor (ten and a half furlongs):

7-3-9 (9 ran-good to soft)

Haydock record of runners in the first race:

1/2—Reach For The Stars (soft)

2/6—Intense Tango (good to soft)

 

1.50: The main protagonists have all won on soft ground whilst the going will be even worse form what we have read overnight.  Ladbrokes have had to trim back LEARN BY HEART, the ‘magic sign’ having been out of line with the other main layers overnight.  4/1 still looks a reasonable price but that said on this ground, I’m just content to give the Haggas representative his Placepot chance alongside DEX EX BEE and DARK ACCLAIM in a race that should provide a lot of clues for next season.

Favourite factor: Nine market leaders to date (via eight renewals) in which five gold medals have been secured alongside two of the silver variety.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

1-3 (6 ran-soft)

1-3 (5 ran-good to soft)

6-2 (5 ran-good)

6-4 (5 ran-good to soft)

1-5 (6 ran-good to firm)

5-1 (7 ran-good to firm)

3-8 (5 ran-good)

1-2 (6 ran-soft)

Haydock record of runners in the second event:

1/2—Veejay (good)

 

2.25: Nine of the last fifteen winners have been returned in double figures in this Group 1 event, which certainly confirms my feelings that sprinting at the top level has left a lot to be desired for a number of years.  Three-year-olds have held the call during the last twelve years having claimed six gold medals, which offers all of us a semblance of hope in terms of potential stars of the future emerging in races at the ‘top level’.  Three-year-old SPIRIT OF VALUE is the each way value for money call at 25/1 with three leading firms this morning (Bet365, Hills & Paddy Power) whilst of the more likely winners of the contest, BRANDO and TASLEET make most appeal.  If Blue Point handles the ground, Charlie Appleby’s raider could also be expected to outrun his 14/1 quote, though conditions are entirely an unknown factor as far as the Shamardal colt is concerned.  I have not been right once about The Tin Man as yet because I have missed out on all his victories, whilst he has run below his best when I have supported the five-year-old.  For the record I’m against him today, so you know what to do accordingly!

Favourite factor: Six of the last 19 favourites have prevailed, though just two of the other 13 market leaders have claimed additional toteplacepot positions.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

4-6-7 (14 ran-soft)

5-16-6 (15 ran-good to soft)

10-18-13 (17 ran-good)

2-14-13 (13 ran-good to soft)

3-12-1 (13 ran-firm)

9-15-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

14-7-4 (13 ran-good to firm)

13-12-8 (14 ran-good to soft)

Race was contested at Doncaster in 2008--draw stats do not apply

6-1-7 (14 ran-good to firm)

10-3-4 (11 ran-heavy)

4-17-7 (17 ran-good)

14-5-4 (19 ran-good)

7-5-9 (10 ran-good to soft)

10-7-11 (14 ran-good to firm)

9-6-10 (12 ran-heavy)

7-12-3 (13 ran-heavy)

16-10-5 (16 ran-good to firm)

5-4-9 (13 ran-good)

9-3-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

Haydock record of runners in the third contest on the card:

1/2—Brando (soft)

1/3—Magical Memory (good to firm)

1/2—Mr Lupton (good to firm)

1/1—Harry Angel (firm)

 

3.00: Three of the last seven renewals have been won by three-year-olds, whilst horses drawn high have done well under slow conditions.  Last year’s winner SOIE D’LEAU looks sure to be a popular horse having won the race twelve months ago on ground, whilst Silvestre De Sousa has been booked to ride.  7/1 is available almost right across the board, though the 11/2 quote by Bet Stars looks more realistic from my viewpoint. Stall 10/13 should be fine given the conditions (check the stats below), whereas the trio of three-year-olds have all been drawn low, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be MAYLEAF SHINE (trap six).  ALEEF looks a tad too big at 14/1 having been beaten as a market leader earlier in the week when needing the run.  Jim Crowley takes the ride and David O’Meara’s raider completes my trio against the field from stall eleven.

Favourite factor: Just three of the last nineteen renewals have been won by favourites, whilst 12 of the 2 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Eight of the last fifteen winners have been returned in double figures.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

12-16-10 (12 ran-soft)

5-10-9 (15 ran-good to soft)

4-6-5 (11 ran- good)

8-10-11 (10 ran-good to soft)

13-15-9 (14 ran--firm)

1-8-12 (13 ran-good to firm)

Your first 30 days for just £1

7-2-16 (12 ran-good to firm)

1-6-7-3 (16 ran-good to soft)

11-10-5-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

5-7-2 (10 ran-heavy)

6-8-12 (15 ran-good)

16-13-12-6 (16 ran-good)

6-16-8 (15 ran-good to soft)

5-21-10-3 (23 ran-good to firm)

6-8-7-10 (21 ran-heavy)

8-9-5-7 (16 ran-heavy)

10-8-9 (13 ran-good to firm)

13-8-9 (12 ran-good)

Haydock record of runners in the fourth race:

1/3—Soie D’Leau (soft)

2/14—Confessional (good to firm & good to soft)

1/3—Midnight Malibu (good)

 

3.35: Four-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals, statistics which include the lone vintage representative in 2012 (Thistle Bird) which won at 3/1.  Vintage representatives are around the 9/4 mark to extend the good run before form is taken into account, with MORANDO marginally preferred to VICTORY BOND at the time of writing.  Benbati steps down in trip but least we know he will see out the mile which is more than we know about others in the contest.

Favourite factor: Nine of the sixteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six (3/1-3/1-11/4-15/8-15/8-11/10) winners during the study period. That said, search parties are still to looking for the unplaced (Richard Hannon trained) 10/11 market leader who let punters down in 2013.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

5-7-2 (8 ran-soft)

4-2 (7 ran-soft)

6-1 (6 ran-good)

4-10-7 (8 ran-good to soft)

7-2 (7 ran-firm)

1-9-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

1-6-7 (8 ran-good)

1-3-4 (10 ran-soft)

9-1-8 (9 ran-good to firm)

6-3 (5 ran-heavy)

3-2-4 (11 ran-good)

5-9-1 (8 ran-good)

5-6 (5 ran-good to soft)

Haydock record of runners in the fifth event:

1/4—Mitchum Swagger (soft)

2/3—You’re Fired (good & good to soft)

1/1—Rusumaat (firm)

 

4.10: Horses carrying a minimum burden of nine stones have secured seven of the last twelve contests, whilst four-year-olds have claimed four of the last eight renewals. The ground might be pretty desperate by the time the flag falls on the last leg of our favourite wager whereby the weight trends might have to be viewed with a little more caution than usual.  Mark Johnston’s JAAMEH looks sure to give Jim Crowley another good ride this afternoon, the heavy ground course winner looking to stay on when others have cried enough.  Mark’s four-year-old has the steadier of 9-6 but with recent winners all having carried plenty of weight, JAAMEH is one of the more interesting wagers on the card at around the 15/2 mark.  Certainly, I don’t expect the 9/1 quotes by Bet365 and BetVictor to last long this morning.  Fellow four-year-old SEPAL must go close too, possibly alongside COMPTON MILL and MY REWARD.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have won to date via 16 renewals, whilst 13 of the 18 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.

Haydock record of runners in the Placepot finale:

1/2—My Reward (good to soft)

1/4—Tawdeea (soft)

1/2—Jaameh (heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card (two or more) on Saturday – followed by their ratios and profit/loss figures over the first two days of the meeting:

7 runners—Mark Johnston (0/2)

6—Tim Easterby (0/5)

4—Richard Fahey (1/8 – loss of 3 points)

4—Kevin Ryan (0/3)

3—John Gosden

3—William Haggas (0/2)

3—David O’Meara (0/4)

2—Charlie Appleby (0/1)

2—Andrew Balding (1/1 +4)

2—Michael Bell

2—Karl Burke (0/5)

2—Robert Cowell

2—Michael Dods

2—Iain Jardine (0/2)

2—Aidan O’Brien

+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

73 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ascot: £373.30 – 6 favourites – No winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

Thirsk: £79.90 – 6 favourites – No winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced

Stratford: £134.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced

Kempton: £53.50 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £73.50 – 7 favourites – 4 winners & 3 unplaced

 

 

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *