KEMPTON – APRIL 15
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £309.70 (6 favourites – 5 winners & 1 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Plunger) & 2 (Dragon’s Teeth)
Leg 2 (2.35): 4 (Amomentofmadness), 1 (Robot Boy) & 5 (Just That Boy)
Leg 3 (3.10): 3 (Eltezam), 9 (Fast Track) & 8 (Eljaddaaf)
Leg 4 (3.45): 1 (Laugh Aloud) & 2 (Aljazzi)
Leg 5 (4.15): 1 (Assanika), 7 (Siblance) & 3 (Hidden Steps)
Leg 6 (4.50): 1 (Executive Force), 2 (Khafoo Shememi), 5 (Ultimate Avenue) & 4 (Red Ensign)
Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Paul Cole (PLUNGER) is the only represented trainer with whom I associate early season two-year-old winners whereby his Helmet representative is the call, especially as the sire struck gold with his stock ‘early doors’ last year. DRAGON’S TEETH was not beaten too far in the ‘Brocklesby’ at the first time of asking and John Egan’s mount makes most appeal of the experience runners in the field, particularly at around the 8/1 mark as I write this column.
Favourite factor: Four of the last five favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include two winners.
2.35: AMOMENTOFMADNESS won on his seasonal debut twelve months ago and with Charlie Hills having saddled winners of late, the four-year-old is the call over ROBOT BOY and JUST THAT BOY. The latter named raider is saddled by Bill Turner who has long since been associated with early season winners, albeit usually in the juvenile sector.
Favourite factor: Three of the last five winners have finished in the frame via four renewals, the winners of which started at a top price of 6/1.
3.10: David Barron has two chances on the card having declared Robot Boy for the second race and FAST TRACK here. Conversely, ELJADDAAF is the lone declaration from Dean Ivory at Kempton but what pairs the two horses together here is the fact that they are both priced up at 5/1, almost across the board. In a ten strong line-up, their ‘bet to nothing’ each way chances are there for all to see, with ELTEZAM completing my trio against the remaining seven contenders. It’s worth noting that Frankie Dettori rode Richard Hannon’s Kodiac gelding in three of his four juvenile assignments and the popular pilot is reunited with ELTEZAM today. A hood has been declared, given that the four-year-old (missed the entire 2016 season) ran too freely on his comeback at Wolverhampton five weeks ago.
Favourite factor: Two of the last five market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (2/1) winner.
3.45: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last eight (and eight of the last ten) renewals and the trend looks sure to be extended here, with only Lucy The Painter not representing the vintage. The pick of the nine relevant entries appears to be LAUGH ALOUD though with Marco Botti on a hat trick in the race, ALJAZZI could well make John Gosden’s Listed winner pull out all the stops.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won the ‘Snowdrop’ during the last decade, with eight gold medallists having been returned at a top price of 7/2 during the study period.
4.15: At the prices on offer, the 7/1 quote about course and distance winner ASSANIKA makes some appeal, especially as Harry Dunlop’s raider followed up that debut success with a tilt at a Group 3 race on the continent when far from disgraced. SIBLANCE defends an unbeaten record (albeit via just the one outing to date), whilst there should not be much daylight between BLENDING and HIDDEN STEPS (via previous form lines) wherever they finish in the contest.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites have claimed Placepot positions via five renewals, statistics which include three winners.
4.50: A real teaser of a Placepot finale or I should say it would have been, but for my general stance in close matched ‘win only’ races. We lost the fifth option early doors, though that could be a blessing if we make it safely through to the last leg of our favourite wager. For the record, I list the quartet as EXECUTIVE FORCE, KHAFOO SHEMEMI, ULTIMATE AVENUE and RED ENSIGN, though oh so marginally. I will retire to the bar and hope that the ‘live units’ work to our advantage.
Favourite factor: Three of the five market leaders have prevailed thus far, though the two favourites which failed also missed out on Placepot positions.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Kempton card on Saturday:
+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
54 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Brighton: £245.50 – 7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 unplaced
Carlisle: £48.90 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Haydock: £414.90 – 9 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 5 unplaced
Musselburgh: £276.30 – favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced
Newton Abbot: £12.20 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Stratford: £83.00 – 7 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced