SANDOWN - JANUARY 7
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £952.20 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (12.10): 1 (Coeur De Lion) & 7 (Royal Reserve)
Leg 2 (12.45): 6 (Midnight Jazz) & 5 (Lifeboat Mona)
Leg 3 (1.15): 4 (Marchilac), 2 (All Together), 3 (Mercian Prince) & 12 (Morning Reggio)
Leg 4 (1.50): 1 (Garde La Victoire) & 4 (Hollywoodien)
Leg 5 (2.25): 1 (Capitaine), 3 (Chalonnial) & 4 (Charlemar)
Leg 6 (3.00): 7 (Forgotten Gold), 4 (Gas Line Boy), 1 (Shuil Royale) & 5 (Aachen)
Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.10: Five of the last seven winners have scored at 8/1 or less, the previous gold medallist having scored on the behalf of the majority of bookmakers at 50/1. With great respect to Tony Carroll as a trainer, there are no newcomers here from the major NH trainers whereby this look another great opportunity for an Alan King raider to snare a juvenile hurdle event. Alan has mopped up plenty of these events of late and his Wetherby winner COEUR DE LION ran perfectly well against Defi Du Seuil next time up. ROYAL RESERVE won a couple of races on the level and the Ian Williams raider might be good enough to chase the selection home.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners. That said, odds on chances were turned over from a win perspective at 1/3 and 10/11 during the period.
12.45: LIFEBOAT MONA and MIDNIGHT JAZZ have the figures on their side in terms of the official marks and the conditions of this event and it seems doubtful that both of these runners will miss out on Placepot positions, even in this ‘short field’ event. DESERT QUEEN reverts back to hurdling which is a reasonable move for connections to make following a fall over the larger obstacles the last day. New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’, relates to 5/6/7 runner race in which only the first two horses home ‘qualify’ from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: Four of the six market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include three winners. Five of the six winners have scored at a top price of 2/1, the other gold medallists having been returned at 9/2.
Record of the course winner in the second event:
1/1—Desert Queen (good to soft)
1.15: MARCHILAC is the first Venetia Williams raider on the card, with connections hoping for plenty of rain (which is forecast overnight) as the stable’s runners invariably improve half a stone or more with plenty of moisture in the ground. MORNING REGGIE could prove to be one of the biggest dangers, alongside the likes of MERCIAN PRINCE and ALL TOGETHER who could both outrun their odds.
Favourite factor: The inaugural (David Pipe trained) 10/3 favourite finished last of the six finishers two years ago, whilst the 11/4 market leader occupied the same position via nine runners twelve months on.
Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:
1/2—Morning Reggie (soft)
1/5—Gores Island (heavy)
1.50: Eight-year-olds have secured three of the last five renewals with GARDE LA VICTOIRE being the only vintage representative this time around. An eleven time winner down the years (mainly with some/plenty of give in the ground), the Philip Hobbs raider looks sure to figure prominently again, with HOLLYWOODIEN expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings. Aidan Coleman could do with riding a winner or two over the course of the weekend because by high standards, his recent 2/24 ratio is disappointing to say the least.
Record of the course winners in the fourth race on the card:
1/1—Garde La Victoire (soft)
1/2—Bold Henry (heavy)
2.25: CELESTIAL PATH is a hugely interesting newcomer (beaten less than six lengths by Gleneagles in the 2000 Guineas in 2015), albeit David Pipe has thrown his Footstepsinthesand raider well and truly in the deep end here, especially with CAPITAINE and CHALONNIAL also having been declared. The other three runners more than deserve their respective places in the field and if the rain steers clear of Esher overnight, the chance of CHARLEMAR would increase significantly according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: Seven of the ten favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include five winners via nine renewals during the last decade.
3.00: These events for veterans remain as popular as ever and four selections are required to ensure we secure the Placepot dividend if we are live going into the final leg of our favourite wager. My ‘short list’ consists of FORGOTTEN GOLD, GAS LINE BOY, SHUIL ROYALE and AACHEN, the quartet being listed in marginal order of preference. If the heavens really open up, WYCHWOODS BROOK would be added into the equation.
Favourite factor: One of the two 7/1 joint favourites won the inaugural contest last year, though search parties are still out looking for the other beaten market leader.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/4—Rocky Creek (good to soft)
2/6—Loose Chips (good & good to soft)
1/1—Wychwoods Brook (soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Saturday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Paul Nicholls (28/162 – loss of 8 points)
5—Venetia Williams (11/96 – loss of 47 points)
4—Tony Carroll (2/26 – loss of 14 points)
4—Ian Williams (3/19 – loss of 5 points)
3—Harry Fry (3/16 – Profit of 3 points)
3—Nicky GHenderson (35/127 (Profit of 26 points)
3—Philip Hobbs (12/78 – loss of 10 points)
3—Charlie Longsdon (4/45 – loss of 26 points)
3—Gary Moore (22/102 (Profit of 95 points)
3—Colin Tizzard (1/31 – loss of 27 points)
2—Tom George (2/29 – loss of 17 points)
2—Alan King (8/56 – loss of 4 points)
2—Fergal O’Brien (4/12 – Profit of 7 points)
2—David Pipe (7/57 - loss of 27 points)
2—Tom Symonds (0/8)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (14/41 – loss of 17 points)
2—Harry Whittington (0/4)
+ 20 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
70 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Lingfield (A/W): £8.10 – 6 favourites – 5 winners & 1 placed
Wincanton: Meeting abandoned
The meetings at Newcastle & Wolverhampton are essentially new fixtures on the racing calendar