Placepot pointers – Saturday July 2

SANDOWN - JULY 2

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £246.10 (7 favourites - 3 winners & 4 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.25): 4 (Inland Sea), 6 (Sir Roderic) & 11 (Another Boy)

Leg 2 (2.00): 11 (Soapy Aitken), 13 (Willyconqueror) & 7 (Spirit Quartz)

Leg 3 (2.35): 9 (Mutamakkin) & 4 (Secret Brief)

Leg 4 (3.10): 7 (Raaqy) & 9 (Snow Moon)

Leg 5 (3.45): 2 (My Dream Boat) & 7 (The Ghurka)

Leg 6 (4.20): 10 (Quest For More), 8 (Noble Gift), 13 (Vent De Force) & 1 (Astronereus)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.25: I'm starting 'Eclipse Day' in positive mode by informing that five favourites have won this event during the last thirteen years which is a great ratio in this sector of the sport.  'Team Hannon' have saddled three of the last ten winners and INLAND SEA is the stable representative, though plenty of winners of this opening contest have carried lower weights in all honesty, stats which bring in the likes of SIR RODERIC and ANOTHER BOY who are genuine each way alternative options from my viewpoint. Charlie Appleby's raider ALBERNATHY receives the reserve nomination.

Favourite factor:  Five favourites have scored via sixteen renewals to date.  12 of the 17 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  The last fourteen winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less which is almost unprecedented in the world of three-year-old handicaps.

Record of course winners in the opening race: 

1/1--Albernathy (good to firm)

1/1--Destroyer (good to firm)

1/1--Another Boy (good)

2.00: Three-year-olds have won six of the last eleven renewals with vintage representatives at 9/4 to gain the day before form is taken into account.  SOAPY AITKEN and course winner WILLYTHECONQUEROR might prove to be the pick of the junior raiders at decent prices on this occasion, with one of the other two junior raiders providing half decent back up on behalf of the vintage, namely LOG OUT ISLAND.  Soapy Aitken is an each way player in my book at around 33/1, whilst Willytheconqueror is well boxed, acts here at Sandown and won't mind the ground.  If an older horse is to thwart the young pretenders, SPIRIT QUARTZ would be at the top of my list with Robert Cowell continuing to excel in the sprint division, albeit SPIRIT QUARTZ is drawn ten which is not a positive factor.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have scored during the last twenty years, whilst 13 of the 22 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of course winner in the second contest: 

1/2--Willttheconqueror (good to soft)

2.35: Four-year-olds have won eight of the last ten renewals and it comes as no surprise to witness 6/16 declarations hailing from the vintage. The pick of the relevant horses here include MUTAMAKKIN and SECRET BRIEF from my viewpoint, with the overnight reserve nomination being awarded to the progressive recent course winner CHEVALIER who represents Karl Burke's northern based with definite win and place claims. WHITE LAKE is another option in a decent 'back up' race at the meeting.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the study period, whilst 13 of the 19 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Record of course winners: 

1/2--What About Carlo (soft)

1/1--Mutamakkin (good to firm)

1/2--Highland Colori (good to firm)

1/6--Secret Art (good)

3/4--Chevalier (2 x good to firm & 1 x good to soft)

1/5--Fire Ship (soft)

3.10: Whatever else you think of the race, the first factor to home in on is that Owen Burrows saddles one horse on Saturday, namely RAAQY in this event, with Owen having win with each of his last four runners!  Yes, I am tied into the selection via my self confessed anorak tendency though even without the stat to lean on, RAAQY ran a fine race on seasonal debut at Ascot under yielding conditions and Paul Hanagan's mount (a Dubawi filly) will be one of my main bets on the day.  Connections might have most to fear from the likes of SNOW MOON and ALAMODE.

Favourite factor:  Six of the thirteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (four winners), though the shortest priced market leader (10/11) finished out of the money ten years ago.

Record of course winner in the field: 

1/1--Desert Haze (good)

3.45: Aidan O’Brien has saddled four winners of the ‘Eclipse’ during the last fourteen years with two horses representing the wizard on this occasion. It's worth noting however the slightly negative recent figures of Aidan's team in recent years which is outlined in the 'Sandown Overview' below. That said, THE GURKHA has an obvious chance but let's get real, last year's winner Golden Horn would give this lot the thick end of half a stone and a decent beating in my book.  As a winner of four of his last five races, MY DREAM BOAT is an improving horse at a rate of knows, whilst three-year-old HAWKBILL could outrun his odds to figure prominently.  The going was supposedly going to be all against TIME TEST earlier in the week though either way, I think he will just fall short at this level, especially with better ground required to give of his best.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have prevailed in the last 17 years.  11 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

Record of course winners: 

1/2--My Dream Boat (good to soft)

2/3--Time Test (good to firm & good to soft)

3/6--Western Hymn (good - good to firm - soft)

4.20: Six-year-olds have won five of the last eleven renewals of the toteplacepot finale with this year's vintage representatives at 11/4 to improve the ratio before form is taken into account.  I prefer Roger Charlton's raider QUEST FOR MORE in this event than Time Test in the 'Eclipse' in all honesty, even though this is a competitive looking heat.  NOBLE GIFT, VENT DE FORCE and ASTRONEREUS are other to consider over your favourite late night tipple/early morning beverage.

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Favourite factor: Six of the thirteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include four winners.

Course record in the Placepot finale:

1/1--Pallasator (good to firm)

2/2--Vent De Force (good to firm & good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Saturday card on Saturday:

6--Andrew Balding (0/10 at Sandown this season - before Friday's sport was contested)

5--Richard Hannon (3/14 - winners at 6/1-5/1-7/2)

4--Karl Burke (1/5 - winner at 12/1)

4--Roger Charlton (1/6 - winner at 3/1)

4--Hughie Morrison (0/2)

3--Charlie Appleby (0/3)

3--Ralph Beckett (3/11 - 11/1-11/1-5/4*)

3--Mark Johnston (1/12 - winner at 5/2)

3--William Muir (2/6 - winners at 25/1 & 4/1*)

2--Robert Cowell (---)

2--Clive Cox (3/7) - winners at 12/1-8/1-11/4)

2--John Gosden (1/12 - winner at 9/2)

2--William Knight (0/6)

2--Gary Moore (0/3)

2--Aidan O'Brien (---)

2--Jamie Osborne (0/3)

2--Kevin Ryan (---)

2--John Ryan (---)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (0/2)

2--Roger Varian (1/11 - winner at 2/1*)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

86 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends & trainer stats

Beverley - £146.20 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced

Carlisle - £54.10 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced - Keith Dalgleish secured a 17/1 double last year

Haydock - £319.80 - 8 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 4 unplaced - Tom Dascombe notched 26/1 double

Leicester - £99.00 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced

Nottingham - £246.10 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced

Sandown - see stats above - John Gosden secured a 4/1 double twelve months ago

 

Sandown overview: 

Aidan O'Brien saddles his first (two) runners at Sandown this season, though it's as well to note that Aidan's ratio at the track during the last five years stands at just 1/9, with the winner recording its victory four years ago.

 

 

 

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