Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Saturday July 8

SANDOWN - JULY 8

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £481.00 (9 favourites 2 winners – 1 placed – 6 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.20): 10 (Ariena), 6 (Mojito) & 8 (Almoreb)

Leg 2 (1.50): 9 (Battaash), 11 (Tis Marvellous) & 3 (Goldream)

Leg 3 (2.25): 7 (Greenside), 5 (Blair House), 12 (Sir Roderic) & 13 (El Hayem)

Leg 4 (3.00): 4 (Queen Of Time) & 6 (Standing Rock)

Leg 5 (3.35): 5 (Barney Roy) & 6 (Cliffs Of Moher)

Leg 6 (4.10): 1 (Fun Mac), 4 (Montaly) & 3 (High Jinx)

Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.20: I'm starting 'Eclipse Day' in positive mode by informing that six favourites have won this event during the last fourteen years which is a great ratio in this sector of the sport.  'Team Hannon' have saddled three of the last eleven winners and ALMOREB is the stable contender with genuine claims this time around.  That said, Richard’s Raven’s Pass colt has yet to race on ground this fast, a scenario which might let in the likes of ARIENA and MOJITO.

Favourite factor:  Six favourites have scored via seventeen renewals to date.  13 of the 20 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  The last fifteen winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less which is almost unprecedented in the world of three-year-old handicaps.

 

2.00: Three-year-olds have won six of the last twelve renewals with vintage representatives are around the 11/4 mark to improve the ratio this time around.  The pick of the relevant trio will hopefully prove to be course and distance winner BATTAASH, with Charlie Hills seemingly having ‘the gift’ in terms of handling sprinters to winning effect at a decent level.  Landing a Listed contest in good style last time under similar conditions, the hike up to Group 3 class may not be beyond Charlie’s Dark Angel gelding.  Connections might have most to fear from fellow three-year-old raider TIS MARVELLOUS and GOLDREAM at the business end of proceedings, especially as they are also well enough drawn to win if at the top of their respective games.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have scored during the last 21 years, whilst 14 of the 23 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of course winner in the second race: 

1/3--Willyttheconqueror (good to soft)

1/1—Battaash (good to firm)

 

2.35: Four-year-olds have won eight of the last eleven renewals and it comes as no surprise to witness 7/17 declarations hailing from the vintage, stats which equate to odds of around 11/8 for the trend to be extended. The pick of the relevant horses here include SIR RODERIC and EL HAYEM, especially as horses carrying a maximum burden of 9-2 have won six of the last eight contests.  Both horses could represent value for money, with 20/1 & 10/1 freely available at the time of writing respectively.  Further up the handicap, the chances for GREENSIDE and BLAIR HOUSE are there for all to see.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the study period, whilst 13 of the 20 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card: 

1/2—Gm Hopkins (good)

1/2—Greenside (good to firm)

1/2—Manson (good to firm)

2/8—Secret Art (good & soft)

2/4—Sir Roderic (good & good to soft)

 

3.00: QUEEN OF TIME might have been a little too far out of her ground to win the Listed Sandringham Stakes at Royal Ascot last time out and in this smaller field, James Doyle should be able to pick his spot for his Harbour Watch filly to pounce at the right time.  STANDING ROCK could literally be ‘anything’ having scored on debut and this race will tell us much more about John Gosden’s Fastnet Rock filly.  Ryan Moore’s mount was an exceptionally late May foal, whereby it came as no surprise for John Gosden to bide his time with what looks a useful prospect.

Favourite factor:  Six of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (four winners), though the shortest priced market leader (10/11) finished out of the money eleven years ago.

 

3.35: Aidan O’Brien has saddled four winners of the ‘Eclipse’ during the last fifteen years with two horses representing the wizard on this occasion. It's worth noting however the slightly negative recent figures of Aidan's team in recent years which suggests that BARNEY ROY might only need to stay this stiff ten furlong trip to take the spoils.  A brilliant winner of the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, connections still believe that ‘Roy’ could have won the 2000 Guineas in a truly run classic and what we would be saying about the Hannon horse if that scenario has been in place coming into this all aged contest.  The problem of course is that Aidan has a proven stayer at the head of the market, with CLIFFS OF MOHER of finding only one too good for him in the Epsom Derby.  EMINENT has always been held in the highest regard by connections, whilst the pick of the outsiders could prove to be SALOUEN at around the 50/1 mark.

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Record of the course winners in the ‘Eclipse’: 

1/1—Decorated Knight (good)

1/1—Ulysses (good)

 

4.10: Six-year-olds have won five of the last twelve renewals of the Placepot finale with this year's vintage representatives at 5/2 to improve the ratio before form is taken into account.  FUN MAC and MONTALY are the relevant horses on this occasion and they will be joined by HIGH JINX to complete my Placepot permutation in an attempt to claim three of the last four pots.  Tim Easterby scored with a 50/1 chance on Thursday but Ryan Moore’s mount (HIGH JINX) will start at a fraction of that price in the ‘lucky last’ on Saturday.

Favourite factor: Six of the fifteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include four winners.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Sandown card on Saturday:

5 runners—David Simcock

4—John Gosden

4—Richard Hannon

3—Henry Candy

3—Clive Cox

3—Sir Michael Stoute

2—Andrew Balding

2—Roger Charlton

2—David Elsworth

2—William Haggas

2—Charlie Hills

2—Mark Johnston

2—Sylvester Kirk

2—Hughie Morrison

2—Aidan O’Brien

2—Hugo Palmer

+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

68 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Beverley: £66.10 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 3 unplaced

Carlisle: £522.50 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

Haydock: £159.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Leicester: £203.20 – 9 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 6 unplaced

Nottingham: £79.90 – 7 favourites – 4 winners & 3 unplaced

 

 

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