NEWCASTLE - JUNE 25
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend - was Turf - now A/W:
2015: £725.10 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Newcastle:
Leg 1 (1.55): 9 (My Cherry Blossom) & 1 (Poet's Society)
Leg 2 (2.30): 9 (Watchable), 6 (Polybius) & 10 (Buratino)
Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (Ruwaiyan), 3 (Sir Robert Cheval) & 8 (Captain Colby)
Leg 4 (3.40): 7 (Poyle Thomas), 16 (Apertix) & 19 (Sea Of Heaven)
Leg 5 (4.15): 20 (Saigon City), 11 (Sunblazer) & 4 (Nearly Caught)
Leg 6 (4.50): 3 (Osaruveetil) & 6 (Be Perfect)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.55: I find that Tim Easterby's juveniles that run well on their debuts do not always make the expected improvement but that said, MY CHERRY BLOSSOM would surely go close here if settling a little better than was the case when finishing third at Ripon at the first time of asking. POET'S SOCIETY is well and truly exposed compared to his rivals though his course and distance victory arguably negates the six pounds and more that he concedes to the rest of the field.
Favourite factor: Only the 'Chipchase' (2.30) and the Northumberland Plate (4.30) have any history on Saturday's card.
Record of course winner in the opening event:
2.30: With eight of the last eleven gold medallists having been sent off at a top price of 7/1, investors can bet with a little bit of confidence I'll wager, especially with WATCHABLE (beaten less than three lengths in the race last year), POLYBIUS (looks to have been trained for this event) and consistent raider BURATINO all seemingly holding decent chances. PRETEND would be a real threat is stripping 100% fit in the parade ring following a twelve month period on the sideline.
Favourite factor: Eight market leaders have snared gold in the last nineteen years, whilst thirteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
3.05: James Tate has his team in fine form whereby I would not put a line through the relevant top weight RUWAIYAN, whilst Robert Cowell's SIR ROBERT CHEVAL attempts to continue the good form of the yard. This pair offer value for money against the remaining twelve contenders at the overnight stage from my viewpoint, offering the likes of BLAINE and CAPTAIN COLBY to build the biggest resistance at the business end of proceedings.
3.40: DANNYDAY will be a popular choice, given his leadership in the ante post market for the Northumberland Plate before missing out via the weights. This is loosely described as the 'consolation version' of what is generally known in the north as the Pitman's Derby. POYLE THOMAS, APERTIX and SEA OF HEAVEN are others to consider in a race worth watching, if only to find out how the draw will affect this large field before the main event.
4.15: 14 of the last 18 winners of the ‘Pitman’s Derby’ have carried weights of 8-12 or less, though that stat is 'worthless' this time around as every horse is burdened with at least that weight. Six-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals and the three vintage representatives cannot be ignored, namely SAIGON CITY, SUNBLAZER and last year's bronze medallist NEARLY CAUGHT. GANG WARFARE is another to consider over your favourite late night tipple/early morning beverage from the top of the handicap.
Favourite factor: Six of the last 11 winners scored at 33/1-33/1-16/1-14/1-14/1-14/1, whilst 10 of the last 18 gold medallists have been recorded in double figures. Four favourites have scored during the study period, whilst 11 of the 22 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.
4.50: I felt that David O'Meara's five-year-old OSARUVEETIL was ridden with too much confidence last time out when finishing a never nearer fourth and Philip Makin's mount is my Placepot banker on the card, though mainly because I have needed three selections in four of the other five races to (hopefully) get through to this deciding leg. I would not want to get right through to this event without having 'insurance' however, whereby BE PERFECT is added into the equation.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newcastle card on Saturday:
10-- (3/22 at Newcastle this season before Friday's sport was contested)
8--Richard Fahey (0/11)
4--Tim Easterby (0/10)
3--Mark Johnston (3/8)
3--Charlie Appleby (---)
3--David O'Meara (3/17)
2--Andrew Balding (---)
2--Karl Burke (2/6)
2--Ruth Carr (0/4)
2--Keith Dalgleish (0/5)
2--Mick Easterby (0/4)
2--Richard Guest (0/8)
2--Nicky Henderson (---)
2--Iain Jardine (0/4)
2--Hughie Morrison (---)
2--David Nicholls (1/1)
2--Sir Mark Prescott (---)
2--John Quinn (0/3)
2--Alan Swinbank (0/4)
+ 43 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
100 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chester: £48.90 - 6 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced
Doncaster: £242.60 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Lingfield: £27.10 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Newmarket: £128.30 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Windsor: £36.90 - 5 winners & 1 unplaced
Newcastle overview - Record of represented trainers at Newcastle in the juvenile event at 1.55 (stats based on figures before Friday's sport was contested):
1/3--Mark Johnston (Poet's Society)
No runners--Daniel Mark Loughnane (Affordability)
0/5--Richard Fahey (Champion Harbour)
0/3--Brian Ellison (Seebring & Shakabula)
No runners--John Quinn (Trick Of The Lyte)
0/1--Mick Easterby (Joysunny)
0/1--Karl Burke (Lady Cristal)
0/1--Tim Easterby (My Cherry Blossom)
0/1--Richard Guest (Nyx)
No runners--Rebecca Menzies (Pulsating)