SANDOWN – MARCH 11
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £937.00 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (1.20): 4 (Gregarious), 2 (Highgrove Percy) & 1 (Great Tempo)
Leg 2 (1.50): 6 (Minella Awards), 15 (Lithic), 7 (Another Venture) & 13 (Cash Again)
Leg 3 (2.25): 3 (Willoughby Hedge) & 8 (Shanroe Santos)
Leg 4 (3.00): 10 (Disputed), 13 (Not Another Muddle), 12 (Chieftain’s Choice) & 11 (Darebin)
Leg 5 (3.35): 7 (Petticoat Tails) & 5 (Martello Park)
Leg 6 (4.10): 1 (Vicenzo Mio) & 5 (Maxanisi)
Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.20: The devil would put a knife through collective hearts of each way punters in the opening event if a non-runner reared its ugly head in this interesting ‘dead eight’ contest. Course and distance winner GREGARIOUS represents Lucy Wadham who runs her horses sparingly at this venue but as is the case this season (9/1 winner with her only runner), Lucy places her inmates well. The ground look testing enough on Friday whereby GREGARIOUS looks sure to figure prominently, possible alongside HIGHGROVE PERCY and GREAT TEMPO.
Favourite factor: Two one of the four favourites to date (5/2 & Evens winners of their respective events) have secured Placepot positions to date.
Record of the course winner in first race:
1.50: Six-year-olds have won thirteen contests during the last nineteen years (including nine of the last thirteen) and with ten of the sixteen declarations hailing from the vintage, six-year-olds are 8/13 mark to land the spoils before form is taken into consideration. My six-year-old reserve nomination (Brave Vic) won the race three years ago at odds of 20/1 and I'm hoping that vintage representatives MINELLA AWARDS, LITHIC and ANOTHER VENTURE can at least figure prominently this time around. Five-year-old CASH AGAIN could prove to be the potential fly in the ointment on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the study period, whilst five of the other seventeen market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winner in second event:
1/1—Soft Irish (soft)
1/1—Another Venture (heavy)
2.25: Twelve of the last fifteen winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more and that figure will be increased this year as all eight declarations 'qualify' this time around. The stats have been left in for you to note. ‘Senior hero’ Peat The Feat has only been dropped a pound by the official assessor despite being beaten by 25 lengths by WILLOUGHBY HEDGE last time out. I have to side with Alan King’s winner accordingly, mindful that the handicapper might have let the soft ground Warwick winner SHANROE SANTOS in lightly via just a four pound rise.
Favourite factor: Three favourites have obliged during the last nineteen years, whilst twelve of the twenty three market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Willoughby Hedge (soft)
1/4—Pete The Feat (soft)
3.00: I’m duty bound to report that the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less (as have 37 of the last 51 win and placed horses) which eliminates most of the field this time around. I appreciate that I am leaving lots of popular horses out of the equation by sticking to the four horses that ‘qualify’ via the weight trends but then again, this stance has served yours truly well for seventeen years whereby I am not about to desert my beliefs now. In order of preference, I name DISPUTED, NOT ANOTHER MUDDLE, CHIEFTAIN’S CHOICE and DAREBIN against the remaining nine contenders.
Favourite factor: Seven favourites have obliged during the last seventeen years, though just two of the other ten market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the Imperial Cup:
1/4—Prairie Town (soft)
1/2—Chieftain’s Choice (soft)
3.35: Five-year-olds have won seven of the thirteen contests and the pick of this year’s nine relevant raiders will hopefully prove to be PETTICOAT TAILS (the Greatrex stable won the race last year) and MARTELLO PARK, saddled by Margaret Mullins who knows the time of day in this sphere. The projected favoutire Cap Soleil is the only ‘other’ (four-year-old) runner in the race and the anorak tendency in yours truly cannot allow the potential market leader to enter into the mix; win, lose or draw.
Favourite factor: Four of the thirteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, whilst we had to wait until 2012 for the first (and only) successful (2/1) market leader to emerge.
4.10: Paul Nicholls has dominated this corresponding meeting in recent seasons and VICENZO MIO has been well placed to score by the champion trainer in the ‘lucky last’. It is far more sensible for connections to contest this event than simply being offered ‘a day out’ at the Festival which would almost certainly end in nothing but an ‘enjoyable experience’. Evan Williams has his string in decent each way form at the time of writing whereby MAXANISI is offered up as the main threat.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Sandown card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Saturday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued – Stats were compiled before Friday’s sport was contested:
5 runners—Gary Moore (1/26 – loss of 20 points)
4—Nicky Henderson (7/18 – Profit of 6 points)
4—Paul Nicholls (3/22 – loss of 3 points)
4—Evan Williams (0/2)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (0/4)
3—David Pipe (1/4 – loss of 1 point)
2—Alan King (4/9 – Profit of 7 points)
2—Fergal O’Brien (2/6 – Profit of 7 points)
2—Oliver Sherwood (0/4)
2—Colin Tizzard (1/7 – loss of 4 points)
2—Lucy Wadham (1/1 – Profit of 9 points)
+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
68 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £938.70 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced
There was no meeting at Hereford
Chelmsford: £32.50 – 7 favourites – 4 winners & 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: 32.50 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced