CHESTER – MAY 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £388.00 (7 favourites – No winners – 2 placed – 5 unplaced)
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Chester:
Leg 1 (1.55): 9 (Musical Terms), 10 (Highland Pass & 7 (Mac O’Polo)
Leg 2 (2.30): 7 (Rose Berry), 8 (Turanga Leela) & 10 (Socialites Red)
Leg 3 (3.05): 2 (Sound Advice), 5 (Fastnet Tempest) & 1 (Hillbilly Boy)
Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Mubajal) & 7 (Dark Intention)
Leg 5 (4.15): 2 (Headway) & 6 (Yafta)
Leg 6 (4.50): 7 (The Otmoor Poet), 3 (Emperor Napolean) & 4 (Sir Valentine)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.55: Mr Tyrrell has had more chances than my mother-in-law and from stall ten, Richard Hannon’s representative enters my ‘last chance saloon’ and whilst that might sound harsh from his car park draw, my other ‘mum’ wasn’t given as many chances! HIGHLAND PASS ran a decent race (after being bumped at the start) in a race here at the big meeting a few weeks ago from a better draw (three as opposed to today’s seven box), whereby Andrew Balding can carry on the good form at this popular track having boasted 2/10 stats earlier in the month. MUSICIAL TERMS (9) is another runner having to give ground away at the start but that said, connections could hardly have found a better race for the The Queen’s Shamardal colt to score at the second time of asking. Tom Dascombe saves a lot of his ‘superior’ juveniles for this venue whereby any money for MAC O’POLO (5) would have to be followed, from a Placepot perspective at the very least.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 2/1 favourite finished out with the washing.
2.30: Three of the last six runners saddled by Chris Dwyer have won and it would come as no surprise if ROSE BERRY improves the ratio still further in this grade/company from trap five. The three-year-old is the only stable representative running until Monday at the earliest whereby the recent Thirsk winner is fancied to land his first success beyond the minimum trip. TURANGA LEELA (2) and SOCIALITES RED (6) are expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/4 duly obliged before last year’s 9/4 market got lost around the bends on the Roodee.
Chester record of course winners in the second race:
1/2—Turanga Leela (good)
3.05: SOUND ADVICE (a winner of four his six races at Chester) cannot be left out of the overnight equation from stall 6/12, whilst HILLBILLY BOY (8) is another course specialist who might be a better price than expected because of the occupied stall. FASTNET TEMPEST holds pole position and the William Haggas raider completes my trio against the other nine contenders. MY TARGET (2) won five of his eight assignments away from turf in the ’close season’. Some showers might hit Chester overnight which makes Michael Wigham’s Newmarket (good ground) winner (1/10 on grass) a possibility if the wet stuff takes some of the sting out of the ground by the time that flag fall arrives.
Favourite factor: The inaugural frame was filled by horses returned at 8/1-12/1-9/1, with the 3/1 market leader missing out on a Placepot position two years back. We still await the first successful favourite, with one of the two 4/1 joint market leaders finished second twelve months ago.
Chester record of course winners in the third event on the card:
3/5—Hillbilly Boy (2 x good & good to soft)
4/6--Sound Advice (both on good ground)
1/3—Above The Rest (good to soft)
1/3—Ice Slice (good)
3.40: Four-year-olds have won four of the seven renewals to date and with four vintage representatives on parade, I’ll opt for MUBAJAL to get the better of DARK INTENTION and WORLDS HIS OYSTER close home. Trainer Owen Burrows (MUBAJAL) saddled a welcome winner at Haydock on Friday and like London buses now that one has arrived, another could soon follow.
Favourite factor: Just one (7/2) favourite has prevailed via seven renewals to date. Five of the eight market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Chester record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/7—Fast Dancer (good to firm)
4.15: HEADWAY should go one better following a fine Newbury debut effort, providing that rain steers clear of the Chester area, such was his good run under fast conditions at the Berskhire venue. William Haggas has already saddled a couple of juvenile winners from just a handful of runners in the sector and with any normal amount of improvement forthcoming, Kevin Stott should ride his sixth winner on turf this season. YAFTA is feared most, for all that the Hannon two-year-olds are seemingly needing a second run this season to give of their best early season form.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Chester card.
4.50: Four-year-olds have won three of the last six contests, whilst 5/7 gold medallists thus far have carried a maximum burden of 9-1. THE OTMOOR POET is the only horse which possesses ticks in both of the trend boxes on this occasion and the Alex Hales raider represents some value around the 14/1 mark this morning. Others to consider include EMPEROR NAPOLEAN and SIR VALENTINE.
Favourite factor: We still await the first winning favourite following seven renewals, whilst only one market leader has finished in the frame to date.
Chester record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/13--Gabrial's King (good)
2/4—Rowlestone Lass (good and good to firm)
2/7—Snowy Dawn (good & good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Chester card on Saturday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Andrew Balding (2/10 – Profit of 22 points)
4—Richard Fahey (0/13)
3—Owen Burrows (No runners)
3—Tom Dascombe (1/16 – loss of 12 points)
3—William Haggas (No runners)
3—Richard Hannon (1/5)
3—Mark Johnston (0/9)
3—Ian Williams (0/5)
3—Lisa Williamson (0/1)
2—David Barron (No runners)
2—Tony Coyle (0/3)
2—Keith Dalgleish (1/3 – Profit of 10 points)
2—Scott Dixon (No runners)
2—David Evans (1/7 – loss of 2 points)
2—Steph Hollinshead (0/1)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
67 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Goodwood: £34.70 – 8 favourites – 4 winners – 1 palced – 3 unplaced
Haydock: £68.10 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Salisbury: £61.00 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
York: £34.70 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Cartmel: £23.00 – 8 favourites – 5 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Ffos Las: £44.50 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced