CHESTER – MAY 28
Saturday's Placepot permutation at Chester:
Leg 1 (1.45): 6 (Oceanus) & 3 (Arc Royal)
Leg 2 (2.15): 7 (Giddy), 4 (Justice Angel) & 3 (Alsaaden)
Leg 3 (2.50): 8 (Ocean Tempest), 7 (Predominance) & 4 (Sound Advice)
Leg 4 (3.25): 11 (Trendsetter) & 10 (Be Perfect)
Leg 5 (4.00): 7 (Sehayli) & 2 (Edward Lewis)
Leg 6 (4.35): 5 (Hereawi), 2 (Engage) & 1 (Gunnery)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.45: It's impossible to ignore Ed Dunlop's fine form of late and in OCEANUS, Ed can be confident of another decent juvenile effort following the victory of stable companion Global Applause in the National Stakes at Sandown on Thursday. OCEANUS is well thought off back at the ranch, albeit Thursday's winner was the apple of Ed's eye during a stable tour earlier this year. Sire Helmet got off to a flying start this year but the wheels have come off (by comparison) whereby I am adopting a watching brief about Havelock at the second time of asking. In the circumstances, I prefer the likes of ARC ROYAL and CUPPACOFFEE as dangers to OCEANUS.
Favourite factor: This is the first of two new races on the card with which to open proceedings.
2.15: GIDDY has been well touted up for this event by trainer Richard Fahey and having studied Richard's stats for over twenty years now, his handicap winners tend to come off a low weight, as is the case with the Kyllachy filly on Saturday. JUSTICE ANGEL is a winner of three of her nine races and looks unlikely to go down without a fight, whilst ALSAADEN is seven pounds better off with David Elsworth's raider having been beaten less than five lengths last time out.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 11/4 duly prevailed.
Chester record of course winners in the second race:
1/1--Justice Angel (good)
2.50: OCEAN TEMPEST could be worth a flutter, especially given his unbeaten three race record on the Roodee. Add the fact that OCEAN TEMPEST races ofa a twenty pound lower mark than when last successful and that the ground should be in his favour, John Ryan's raider can go close from trap two in a twelve runner contest. SOUND ADVICE (a winner of two his three races at Chester) cannot be left out of the overnight equation from stall five, whilst PREDOMINANCE (1) completes my trio against the other nine contenders.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural frame was filled by horses returned at 8/1-12/1-9/1, with the 3/1 market leader missing out on a Placepot position.
Chester record of course winners in the third event on the card:
1/1--Lulu The Zulu (good)
2/3--Sound Advice (both on good ground)
3/3--Ocean Tempoest (Good - good to soft - soft)
1/10--Gabrial's Kaka (good)
3.25: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five contests, whilst 5/6 gold medallists thus far have carried a maximum burden of 9-1. John Quinn comes to the gig on a hat trick having gained the second of the relevant victories with TRENDSETTER who defends his crown in this contest. That said, wherever TRENDSETTER finishes, INDIRA is entitled to be there or thereabouts via recent form lines. TRENDSETTER might gain revenge for the latest loss as John's Mastercraftsman gelding was having his first run of the season last time out, whereas INDIRA has already enjoyed a busy season. There is also the point to make about the draw, as TRENDSETTER is housed in stall 2/12 against Indira in the 11 berth. BE PERFECT (4) is a potential each way/Placepot play at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: We still await the first winning favourite following six renewals, whilst only one market leader has finished in the frame to date.
Chester record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/5--Gabrial's Star (soft)
1/3--Be Perfect (good to firm)
4.00: It's always a risk when contemplating bets on horses with limited experience at Chester, though SEHAYLI showed plenty of ability at the first time of asking and with William Haggas boasting a 28% record at the track during the last five years, his Iffraaj representative can give Pat Cosgrave his twelfth winner of the season for the trainer. EDWARD LEWIS and LOADED are feared most.
Favourite factor: This is the second of the new races on the Chester programme.
4.35: Silvestre De Sousa has only his second ride for Ralph Beckett this season, with the partnership protecting a 100% record thus far. HEREAWI represents the 'bandwagon' on this occasion, with Richard Kingscote having partnered the Dubawi raider when scoring on her seasonal debut earlier in the spring. Richard is riding at Chester on Saturday but he dashes off to Haydock which poses two questions; does Richard think that HEREAWI is a doubtful winner of this event, or is his early ride at Haydock (Gambit - 4.55) a potential good thing? That said, Ralph might simply have wanted to secure the champion jockey this time around. Whatever the answers to those questions, I fancy HEREAWI to figure prominently alongside ENGAGE and GUNNERY.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Chester card on Saturday:
9--Richard Fahey (45/365 at Chester during the last five years and the ratio this season - 1/23)
6--Mark Johnston (35/233 - 0/10)
5--Kevin Ryan (9/71 - 0/5)
3--Andrew Balding (27/123 - 1/4)
3--William Haggas (10/36 - 0/2)
2--Michael Appleby (4/18 - 0/1)
2--Keith Dalgleish (2/15 - 0/2)
2--Tom Dascombe (27/191 - 4/21)
2--Bernard Llewellyn (3/21 - No runners yet this season)
2--John Quinn (8/47 - 0/2)
2--John Ryan (3/5 - No runners)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
Represented trainers and their record in two-year-old race at Chester during the last five - and then this season:
0/2--Ann Duffield (Cuppacoffee) - No two-year-old runners this season
2/20--Andrew Balding (Berkshire Boy) - No runners
12/62--Tom Dascombe (Arc Royal) - 0/3
12/62--Mark Johnston (Havelock) - No runner
0/3--Brian Ellison (Nordic Combined) - No runners
0/1--Ed Dunlop (Oceanus) - No runners
13/67--Richard Fahey (Scofflaw) - 0/3