Placepot pointers – Saturday September 3

HAYDOCK - SEPTEMBER 3

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £210.70 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Haydock: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 6 (Trainnah) & 9 (Shafafya)

Leg 2 (2.25): 4 (Cunco) & 3 (Contrast)

Leg 3 (3.00): 8 (Mitchum Swagger), 5 (Hathal) & 1 (Breton Rock)

Leg 4 (3.30): 11 (Gold Prince), 7 (Magic Circle), 2 (Shrewd) & 10 (Shakopee)

Leg 5 (4.00): 14 (El Astronaut), 15 (Powerallied) & 13 (Mickey)

Leg 6 (4.30): 15 (Dancing Star), 17 (Quiet Reflection) & 4 (Magical Memory)

Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.50: TRAINNAH should get the good ground needed to put off the hat trick and even if it does rain as predicted in some quarters, the ground should by firm enough at the outset to ensure decent conditions in race one.  William Haggas has already enjoyed a great week and there seems little (or no) reason why things should change much at the weekend, albeit the sport becomes that much more competitive.  Connections should have most for fear from SHAFAFYA and MISS VAN GOGH.  Richard Fahey's latter named filly would be suited with rain in the air, whilst similar comments particularly apply to MOTDAW.

Favourite factor: The opening race is a new event on the card.

Haydock record of runners in the first race:

1/1--Miss Van Gogh (soft)

2.25: 'Team Hannon' have secured three gold and two silver medallists in the race thus far alongside one of the bronze variety, whereby the chance of CONTRAST is respected.  John Gosden claimed the prize twelve months ago and could easily follow up with CUNCO, whilst MONTATAIRE completes my trio against the field in this potential 'dead eight' contest.

Favourite factor: Eight market leaders to date (via seven renewals) in which five gold medals have been secured alongside two of the silver variety.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

1-3 (5 ran - good to soft)

6-2 (5 ran-good)

6-4 (5 ran-good to soft)

1-5 (6 ran-good to firm)

5-1 (7 ran-good to firm)

3-8 (5 ran-good)

1-2 (6 ran-soft)

Haydock record of runners in the second race:

1/1--Contrast (good to firm)

1/1--Drochaid (good to firm)

1/1--Frankuus (ggot to firm)

1/1--Star Of Rory (soft)

3.00: Four-year-olds have won four of the last eight renewals, statistics which include the lone vintage representative in 2012 (Thistle Bird) which won at 3/1.  Vintage representatives are 6/4 to extend the good run before form is taken into account, with MITCHUM SWAGGER marginally preferred to HATHAL at the time of writing. BRETON ROCK is the threat to the four-year-olds from my viewpoint.

Favourite factor: Nine of the fifteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six (3/1-3/1-11/4-15/8-15/8-11/10) winners during the study period. That said, search parties are still to looking for the unplaced (Richard Hannon trained) 10/11 market leader who let punters down in 2013.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

4-2 (7 ran-soft)

6-1 (6 ran-good)

4-10-7 (8 ran-good to soft)

7-2 (7 ran-firm)

1-9-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

1-6-7 (8 ran-good)

1-3-4 (10 ran-soft)

9-1-8 (9 ran-good to firm)

6-3 (5 ran-heavy)

3-2-4 (11 ran-good)

5-9-1 (8 ran-good)

5-6 (5 ran-good to soft)

Haydock record of runners in the third race:

1/4--Breton Rock (soft)

1/4--Gabrial (firm)

1/2--Mitchum Swagger (soft)

3.30: Horses carrying a minimum burden of nine stones have secured seven of the last eleven contests, whilst four-year-olds have claimed four of the last seven renewals.  Four-year-old GOLD PRINCE is fancied to score at a decent price for Sylvester Kirk who is going through a grand patch right now, conveniently ignoring the three pound claim from Ed Greatrex which would witness the Nayef representative falling below the 'superior' weight barrier.  If trends are carried through to the letter, it could just be that MAGIC CIRCLE WILL land the prize for the recently formed Ralph Beckett/Fran Berry bandwagon.  If both horses are denied, SHREWD and SHAKOPEE could prove to the culprits between them.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have won to date via 15 renewals, whilst 12 of the 17 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.

Haydock record of runners in the fourth race:

4.00: Six of the last seven winners have emerged from a single figure draw position (see full details below), whilst three-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick, having won three of the last six renewals.  Three of the four vintage representatives this time around hail from low numbers, whereby the trio are listed in order of preference as EL ASTRONAUT, POWERALLIED and MICKEY.  The other three-year-old is added from an overnight insurance perspective, namely LADY MACAPA.

Favourite factor: Just three of the eighteen favourites have won, whilst 12 of the 20 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Seven of the last fourteen winners have been returned in double figures.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

5-10-9 (15 ran-good to soft)

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4-6-5 (11 ran- good)

8-10-11 (10 ran-good to soft)

13-15-9 (14 ran--firm)

1-8-12 (13 ran-good to firm)

7-2-16 (12 ran-good to firm)

1-6-7-3 (16 ran-good to soft)

11-10-5-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

5-7-2 (10 ran-heavy)

6-8-12 (15 ran-good)

16-13-12-6 (16 ran-good)

6-16-8 (15 ran-good to soft)

5-21-10-3 (23 ran-good to firm)

6-8-7-10 (21 ran-heavy)

8-9-5-7 (16 ran-heavy)

10-8-9 (13 ran-good to firm)

13-8-9 (12 ran-good)

Haydock record of runners in the fifth race:

1/1--Dutch Masterpiece (heavy)

1/2--Dungannon (good)

2/12--Confessional (good to firm & good to soft)

1/1--Englishman (soft)

4.30: Nine of the last fourteen winners have been returned in double figures in this Group 1 event, which certainly confirms my feelings that sprinting at the top level has left a lot to be desired for a number of years.  Three-year-olds have held the call during the last eleven years having claimed five gold medals, which offers all of us a semblance of hope.   DANCING STAR could certainly fit the bill, albeit we have to into account her low weight when winning the Steward's Cup at Glorious Goodwood. That said, Andrew Balding's raider looked the winner a long way from home and along with QUIET REFECTION, three-year-olds hold a strong hand on this occasion.  The pick of the opposition could prove to be MAGICAL MEMORY unless LIMATO gets his (good) ground.

Favourite factor: Five of the last 18 favourites have prevailed, though just two of the other 13 market leaders have claimed additional toteplacepot positions.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

5-16-6 (15 ran-good to soft)

10-18-13 (17 ran-good)

2-14-13 (13 ran-good to soft)

3-12-1 (13 ran-firm)

9-15-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

14-7-4 (13 ran-good to firm)

13-12-8 (14 ran-good to soft)

Race was contested at Doncaster in 2008--draw stats do not apply

6-1-7 (14 ran-good to firm)

10-3-4 (11 ran-heavy)

4-17-7 (17 ran-good)

14-5-4 (19 ran-good)

7-5-9 (10 ran-good to soft)

10-7-11 (14 ran-good to firm)

9-6-10 (12 ran-heavy)

7-12-3 (13 ran-heavy)

16-10-5 (16 ran-good to firm)

5-4-9 (13 ran-good)

9-3-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

Haydock record of runners in the Placepot finale:

1/4--Gordon Lord Byron (good to soft)

1/5--Sole Power (good to firm)

1/1--Mr Lupton (good to firm)

1/1--Jane's Memory (good to soft)

1/1--Mechronissa (good to soft)

1/1--Quiet Refelction (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card on Saturday - Stats compiled beofre Friday's sport at Haydock was contested:

9--Richard Fahey (5/60 at Haydock this season  - winners at 7/2*-11/4*-5/2*-7/4*-6/4*)

6-- Andrew Balding (2/19 - winners at 5/2 & 1/5*)

4--Mark Johnston (6/43 - winners at 5/1-4/1-4/1-11/4-2/1-5/4*)

3--Mick Channon (1/11 - 8/1)

3--Tom Dascombe (11/60 - Prices ranging between 13/8* & 50/1)

3--Richard Hannon (6/34 - winners at 12/1-11/2-5/1-5/1*-9/2-9/4*)

2--Ralph Beckett (0/4)

2--Karl Burke (3/36 - winners at 25/1-11/1-7/1)

2--Robert Cowell (1/6 - winner at 7/4*)

2--Simon Crisford (1/3 - winner at 11/4)

2--Luca Cumani (0/5)

2--Tim Easterby (5/46 - winners at 12/1-17/2-7/1-6/1-4/1)

2--James Fanshawe (0/2)

2--William Haggas (11/25 -  Prices ranging between 4/6* & 6/1)

2--Charlie Hills (1/10 - winner at 1/3*)

2--Sylvester Kirk (0/3)

2--David O'Meara (6/35 - winners at 16/1-8/1-15/2-7/1-7/2*-10/3*)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (3/14 - winners at 6/1-7/2-15/8*)

+ 36 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

88 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ascot: £218.50 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced

Kempton: £110.40 - 7 favourites - 3 winners & 4 unplaced

Thirsk: £6.60 - 7 favourites - 5 winners & 2 placed

Stratford: £82.90 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £202.50 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced

 

Haydock overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.25 - Stats compiled before Friday's sport at Haydock was contested:

8/82--Mark Johnston (Montataire & Frankuus)

0/14--Marco Botti (Bahamas)

7/58--Richard Hannon (Contrast)

9/22--John Gosden (Cunco)

3/10--Andrew Balding (Drochaid)

1/1--Simon Crisford (Red Ensign)

9/92--Tom Dascombe (Star Of Rory)

 

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