Placepot Pointers

Placepot pointers – Sunday 14th February

SOUTHWELL  

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £553.50 (7 favourites: 2 winners & 5 unplaced)

1.50:  MAZOVIAN has contested 54% of his 76 races here at Southwell and it is difficult to leave the eight-year-old out of the overnight equation, particularly from a Placepot perspective.  John Jenkins is going well with his runners at the time of writing, whereby MISHRIF is added to the mix alongside ARSENALE.
Favourite factor: The five favourites to date have secured two gold medals and two of the silver variety securing four toteplacepot success.  The biggest priced winner to date was returned at 8/1.

Southwell record of course winners in the opening event:

1/6--A Little Bit Dusty (C&D winner)

2/13--Mishrif

5/41--Mazovian

1/4--Arsenale (C&D winner)

 

2.20: Unusually, all seven four day acceptors where 'jocked up', though only five horses have been offered the final green light.  It would be foolish not to take this opportunity of making the point that David Loughnane (who has a runner in this event) is not the same man as fellow trainer Daniel Mark Loughnane!  Upwards and onward in positive mode by suggesting that Richard Hannon could saddle another winner in GUAPO BAY who will potentially benefit from the three pound claim by Tom Marquand.  Connections might have most to fear from course winner ENGLISHWOMAN ahead of Leitrim Traveller this time around.
Favourite factor: Two favourites have obliged via eight renewals, with a biggest priced winner emerging of 8/1 thus far.  Seven gold medallists were returned at 9/2 or less.  Four of the nine market leaders have reached the frame (exact science).

Southwell record of course winners in the second race:

1/2--Englishman

 

2.50: Five and six-year-olds had (equally) shared the six previous renewals before the six-year-olds edged in front 12 months ago via a lone vintage representative.  Trainers appear to have 'missed the edge' as just one horse from each vintage were among 10 four day entries.  The relevant five-year-old has gone missing whereby only OSCARS JOURNEY can improve the ratio on this occasion.  The two repetitive course and distance winners appear to be the main dangers, namely MONSIEUR JAMIE and IMJIN RIVER.
Favourite factor: The 2012 (11/10) favourite was the first market leader to score In the fifth renewal of the contest though that said, the biggest priced winner was returned at 11/2, with last year's 5/2 market leader also prevailing.  Three of the seven favourites have finished in the frame.

Southwell record of course winners in the third event on the card:

4/20--Monsieur Jamie (C&D winner x 4)

4/11--Imjin River (C&D winner x 3)

 

3.20: After claiming just one success via 17 runners in January, John Balding boasts a ratio of 2/4 this month whereby six time course and distance winner SLEEPY BLUE OCEAN is the first name on the team sheet in this event, especially as the ten-year-old is John's only runner on Sunday.  CROSSE FIRE demands plenty of respect at this venue as the stats below confirm, with chances also offered to FIRE 'N DANDY and JAARIH.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Southwell card.

Southwell record of course winners in the fourth contest:

4/8--Crosse Fire (C&D winner x 4)

1/2--Apache Storm

4/9--Scarborough (C&D winner x 3)

6/25--Sleepy Blue Ocean (C&D winner x 6)

2/2--Jaarih (Dual C&D winner)

1/2--Fine 'N Dandy (C&D winner)

 

 

3.50: Five-year-olds have won three of the four contests to date, securing six of the 11 available toteplacepot positions in the process.  Michael Appleby has saddled two of the last three winners and I doubt that it was a pure coincidence that one of his two four day entries (BOGNOR) represents the vintage on Sunday. Michael's other raider is his four-year-old course winner MOON RIVER whereby Michael has every chance of improving his fine ratio in the event.  Two other five-year-olds are in contention this time around, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be LAWYER
Favourite factor: We still await the first success market leader via four renewals, with just two of the five favourites finishing in the money (exact science), statistIcs which include the complete demise of the 4/6 jolly in the inaugural contest.

Southwell record of course winners in the fifth race:

2/2--St Patrick's Day

4/11--Patriotic (C&D winner)

3/7--Bognor (C&D winner)

2/6--Pretty Bubbles (C&D winner)

2/3--Moon River

9/23--Abi Scarlet

1/4--Afkar (C&D winner)

2/7--Moonlight Venture (C&D winner)

 
4.20: Three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 5-3 via eight races contested during the last decade.  CANFORD CROSSING, PHANTOM FLIPPER and BONJOUR BABY are three-year-olds who look certain to claim at least a couple of Placepot positions between them in this 'dead eight' finale.

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Favourite factor: Five of the eight market leaders have secured Plcepot positions, statistics which include four winners.  A top priced winner of just 7/2 has emerged during the study period in the toteplacepot finale.

 

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Southwell card on Sunday:  

6--Michael Appleby

6--John Jenkins

4--Conor Dore

3--Scott Dixon

2--David Barron

2--Tom Dascombe

2--David Evans

2--Richard Hannon

1--John Balding

1--Karl Burke

1--Robert Cowell

1--Hearther Dalton

1--Ann Duffield

1--Chris Dwyer

1--Mick Easterby

1--Ivan Furtado

1--Shaun Harris

1--Chaelie Longsdon

1--Daniel Loughnane

1--Paul Midgley

1--Kevin Morgan

1--Neil Mulholland

1--David Nicholls

1--Jamie Osborne

1--Sir Mark Prescott

1--John Ryan

1--Kevin Ryan

1--Charles Smith

1--Robert Stephens

1--William Stone

1--Alan Swinbank

1--James Tate

51 declared runners

 

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