KELSO – JANUARY 14
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
£24.70 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Kelso:
Leg 1 (12.40): 1 (Coole Hall) & 5 (Knockrobin)
Leg 2 (1.10): 1 (Clondaw Castle) & 5 (Booyakasha)
Leg 3 (1.40): 1 (Chti Balko), 9 (Dexcite) & 6 (Charmant)
Leg 4 (2.15): 3 (Romanex ), 7 (Caraline) & 2 (Takingrisks)
Leg 5 (2.45): 2 (Minella Suite), 9 (Massini’s Lady) & 3 (Ange Des Malberaux)
Leg 6 (3.15): 4 (Lough Derg Jewel), 3 (Chidswell) & 5 (Bernadelli)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.40: Course winner COOLE HALL is difficult to oppose from a win perspective let alone when contemplating the Placepot puzzle on Sunday. Rose Dobbin’s raider is asked to carry a double penalty but unless the ground becomes really testing, Craig Nichol’s mount should be up to the task. Similarly, KNOCKROBIN stands out as the main danger.
Favourite factor: The only two (9/4 & 11/8) favourites to date duly obliged in 2015 & 2017.
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
1/2—Coole Hall (good)
1.10: Tom George raids this venue to good effect every now and then whereby it’s worth noting the first of his three intended runners on the card, namely CLONDAW CASTLE who looks a little more straightforward than the other ‘recent’ winner in the field Some Reign who refused to race at odds of 4/11 when attempting to follow up a course and distance victory here in October. BOOYAKASHA could represent some Placepot value by comparison.
Favourite factor: Both even money and 13/8 favourites have secured Placepot positions by securing silver medals in their relevant contests behind winners which were returned at 66/1 and 4/1.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/3—Some Reign (good)
1.40: Donald McCain boasts a 24% strike rate since the end of November via 23 winners which is something to behold during these dark winter nights and there is every chance that CHTI BALKO will add to the tally in a race which should not take a great of winning. James Ewart is a trainer whose runners invariably warrant inspection at Kelso and with two options on the table on this occasion, I’m siding with CHARMANT over Jassas. Tom George’s representative DEXCITE receives the thick end of two stones from CHTI BALKO which suggests that there might not be a great deal of daylight between the pair at the jamstick.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/2 favourite duly prevailed.
Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:
2.15: As younger horses than their (supposedly) main rivals, RAMONEX and CARALINE could represent some value for money against the top pair in the handicap which are listed in order of marginal preference, namely TAKINGRISKS and KATACHENNKO. I certainly think that the risk is worth taking (excuse the play on words) from a Placepot perspective at least.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 14/5 market leader found one too good when claiming a Placepot position twelve months ago in a ‘short field’ contest. New readers might like to know that the term short field refers to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winners in the fourth race:
2/2—Takingrisks (2 x heavy)
2/12—Jet Master (good & good to soft)
2.45: This event will probably be taxing the brains of layers and players alike as the runners leave the paddock, let alone trying to make sense of the contest 30 hours in advance of the tape being released. I’m opting for MINELLA SUITE, MASSINI’S LADY and ANGE DES MALBERAUX to take us into the last leg between them.
Favourite factor: Both of the 4/1 and 5/2 favourites to date have missed out on Placepot positions. That said, all six available Placepot pitches have been claimed by horses which were returned at 9/1 or less (winners at 9/1 & 7/2).
3.15: BERNADELLI won a race on this corresponding card last year and the Nicky Richards raider can rarely be entirely eliminated from enquires in this grade/company, especially when a 10/1 trade press quote is in place. LOUGH DERG JEWEL is in the form of his (seven-year-old) life and has to enter the mix accordingly, whilst CHIDSWELL should also be on the premises when the jockeys raise their whips.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Kelso card.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Lough Derg Jewel (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Kelso card on Sunday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and career ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
7 runners—Nick Alexander (2/10 +29) – 33/308 – slight loss re level stakes
6—Nicky Richards (0/10) – 99/466 – loss of 46 points
5—James Ewart (2/11 +22) – 33/228 +18
5—Donald McCain (4/18 – loss of 2) – 59/287 +3)
4—Rose Dobbin (2/20 – loss of 15) – 22/206 – loss of 36
4—Lucinda Russell (1/21 – loss of 17) – 6/167 – loss of 208
3—Tom George (1/1 – slight profit) – 4/13 – loss of 2
3—Chris Grant (0/6) – 23/246 +60
3—Micky Hammond (1/13 – loss of 7) – 59/391 – loss of 108
3—Katie Scott (1/1- - loss of 4) – 5/53 – loss of 9
2—Stuart Coltherd (0/6) – 18/237 – loss of 40
2—Malcolm Jefferson (2/11 +3) – 37/219 – loss of 37
2—Lucy Normile (0/6) – 6/167 – loss of 15
2—Jackie Stephen (0/7) – 3/27 – loss of 3
+ 19 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
70 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Southwell: £119.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced