GOODWOOD - OCTOBER 15
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £434.50 (7 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (2.05): 8 (Age Of Wisdom), 3 (Taper Tantrum) & 9 (Bamako Du Chatelet)
Leg 2 (2.40): 5 (Maypole), 6 (Lady Dancealot) & 3 (Dutch Academy)
Leg 3 (3.10): 5 (Royal Household), 4 (Travelcard) & 2 (Zoraya)
Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Racing Country) & 2 (Loxley)
Leg 5 (4.20): 8 (Teofonic) & 3 (Tartini)
Leg 6 (4.55): 7 (Handytalk), 11 (Letmestopyouthere) & 13 (Poet’s Princess)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Not my type of race at all (akin to the Shergar Cup nonsense at Ascot) with the BHA engaging in games on the racecourse which is not allowed when and where they decide it is not fit to play! Upwards and onward by suggesting that AGE OF WISDOM, TAPER TANTRUM and BAMAKO DU CHATELET should give us a reasonable run for our Placepot investment.
Favourite factor: Four of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (one winner). If such contests have to be included on a card, why are they not at the end of a meeting when people can choose to stay at the course if they wish? That would also ‘free up’ Placepot events which should be taken seriously, given all the revenue that the wager produces.
Record of the course winners in the opening contest:
1/2—Harry Hunt (soft)
1/9—Spice Fair (good to firm)
2.35: The powers that be have this marked down as a new race via the ‘novice agreement’ they brought into effect a while ago. I have included my stats because not one ounce of difference marks this race (apart from its title), as it is a Class 5 event over six furlongs as was ever the case. It is up to you whether you take note of the facts, plain and simple. 'Team Hannon' have secured two of the last seven contests and Richard introduces his Mayson colt MAYPOLE who was his only five day entry for the contest. This March foal will be included in the Placepot mix alongside LADY DANCEALOT and DUTCH ACADEMY.
Favourite factor: Eight renewals have produced three winning favourites, whilst four market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.
3.10: Five of the last seven winners (and seven of the last eleven gold medallists) have carried a minimum burden of 8-12, which eliminates the bottom two horses in this two-year-old handicap. ROYAL HOUSEHOLD has to be included in my overnight mix with ‘Team Hannon’ having secured three of the last six renewals. It’s worth noting that Richard held 25% of the five day decs for this event (5/20) though with just the two runners making the final cut, stable companion Ocean Side has not shown enough ability yet to be considered. TRAVELCARD and ZORAYA are feared most.
Favourite factor: Seven of the fifteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four successful favourites.
Record of the course winner in the third race:
1/3—Royal Household (good)
3.45: MONARCHS GLEN I am repeating myself from the second event on the card I’m afraid; The powers that be have this marked down as a new race via the ‘novice agreement’ they brought into effect a while ago. I have included my stats because not one ounce of difference marks this race (apart from its title), as it is a Class 4 event over nine furlongs as was ever the case. It is up to you whether you take note of the facts, plain and simple. I should point that in both cases of course, this was my view and not necessarily that of the guys at geegeez.co.uk! The two Godolphin newcomers might be up to dominating this contest as jungle drums were (mildly) beating some time ago for both RACING COUNTRY (Saeed Bin Suroor) and LOXLEY (Charlie Appleby). Both of the high profile trainers have declared just the one runner on the card which appears significant from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Seven of the ten market leaders have finished in the frame to date (four winners). Nine of the ten winners have scored at a top price of 5/1.
4.20: Mark Johnston made one of his successful ‘smash and grab’ raids on this prize last year and having held four options at the penultimate entry stage, the trainer obviously wants to maintain his 100% record in the race. Mark has settled on lone raider TEOFONIC to represent the yard which is a great compliment to the horse given that Mark scrutinises every race held at the glorious venue. TARTINI might give the selection most to do at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/4 favourite missed out on a Placepot position by finishing fourth behind horses which filled the frame at 12/1, 13/2 & 8/1.
Record of the course winners in the fifth leg:
1/7—Aussie Reigns (good)
1/8—Jacob Cats (good to firm)
4.55: Seven of the nine winners to date have carried a maximum weight of 9-3 whereby the top five horses are eliminated from my thoughts, whilst four-year-olds come to the gig having secured three of the last four contests. A short list of HANDYTALK, LETMESTOPYOUTHERE and POET’S PRINCESS emerges having put the stats and facts together. Out of interest, Boy In The Bar was the beaten (11/4) favourite in this event last year when finishing just of the frame in fourth place. Supporters of the market leader from a Placepot perspective would have particularly miffed with ‘only’ fifteen runners contesting the handicap event as 16 were declared before a ‘vet’s certificate’ reared its ugly head!
Favourite factor: Nine renewals have produced two winning favourites, whilst five of the ten market leaders finished in the frame. Four winners were returned in double figures at 16/1-14/1-11/1-11/1.
Record of course winners relating to the Placepot finale:
1/4—Boy In The Bar (good)
3/12—Pettochside (2 x soft & good to soft))
2/5—Iseemist (good & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Sunday – followed by their ratios this season + level stake profit/losses accrued:
4 runners—Gary Moore 3/11 +109)
3—Mick Channon (5/39 – loss of 4 points)
3—Richard Hannon (5/58 – loss of 21 points)
3—Richard Hughes (3/24 – loss of 10 points)
3—Mark Johnston (7/49 +16)
3—Hughie Morrison (0/13)
2—John Butler (0/4)
2—Paul Cole (1/12 – loss of 9 points)
2—Simon Crisford (1/8 – loss of 4 points)
2—James Eustace (no previous runners)
2—John Gosden (6/27 +12)
2—Paul Henderson (0/7)
2—Joseph Tuite (0/10)
2—Mark Usher (0/2)
2—Ian Williams (3/10 +25)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
63 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chepstow: £247.10 – 6 favourites – 1 winner & 5 unplaced