Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Sunday 17th January

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £290.20 (6 favourites: 1 winner--1 placed--4 unplaced)


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1.00: Let's start with some Kempton (all weather) stats 'n facts to set the ball rolling at the only venue staging sport on Sunday.  20 winners have emerged from 19 races thus far (via one dead heat), contests which have produced seven winning favourites from a total of 23 market leaders.  Two of the four odds on favourites have won.  No trainer has saddled more than one winner at the track in 2016, whilst Marcus Tregoning and Milton Bradley are the only handlers to have saddled more than one beaten favourite (two on each count) to date.  Upwards and onwards in positive mode by informing that Irish trainer Gordon Elliott had scored with seven of his last 19 runners before Saturday's sport was contested, whereby Gordon's course winner NATIONAL SERVICE will prove a popular choice I'll wager, whilst JOLLY RED JEANZ 'owes me' following a fairly weak effort here at Kempton the other day.  That said, the pace was not really strong enough for this dual course and distance winner on Monday, whereby I'm hopeful that a better effort will emerge six days on.  Two of Daniel Loughnane's last four runners have won, whilst Cathy Gannon posted a 669/1 double here from just three rides on Monday, when JOLLY RED JEANZ let Cathy down for a 3,684/1 treble on the day!  DREAM ALLY completes my short listed trio against the remaining nine contenders.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have secured one toteplacepot position between them thus far without winning either of the two renewals to date.

Kempton record of course winners in the opening event:
2/8--Jolly Red Jeanz
1/2--National Service
1/10--First Rebellion

1.30: OCEAN LEGEND (see extensive stats below) won one of the two divisions of this event last year at 16/1 and as a ten time course and distance winner, Tony Carroll's raider (one of 10 runners on the card for the trainer) demands plenty of respect in this company/grade, especially running off just a two pound higher mark then when successful twelve months ago.  AL'S MEMORY is turned out quickly again following Lingfield's Friday success, whilst others for the overnight mix include LUPO D'ORO and BALIWICK.  For the record (especially for those that give all weather racing a chance), sport on the 'alternative surfaces' produced a 53.8% success rate (21 winners via 39 races) for favourites during Wednesday/Thursday/Friday last week, stats which are rarely witnessed on turf via a six meeting study.  

Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites has finished in the frame thus far (no winners). 
Kempton record of course winners in the second race:
11/55--Ocean Legend
1/7--Lupo D'Oro
1/8--Youm Jamil

2.00: David Menuisier is not the first name on people's lips when thinking of trainers and sure enough, David only has two entries on Saturday morning as I write, JETHOU ISLAND in this event, as one potential runner in the Epsom Derby on June 3rd in 2017!  David's Virtual mare is a lightly raced individual and her victory at Chelmsford last time out was David's only runner during the last fortnight.  David Evans has his runners going well at present, whereby respect is offered to CARTOGRAPHIC, whilst LADY D'S ROCK is 'only' four pounds higher than when scoring by two lengths here at Kempton last time out over seven weeks ago. The manner of her victory (won going away with plenty in hand) remains locked in the memory vault. 

Favourite factor: Two sets of 3/1 joint favourites contested the two inaugural divisions of this event two years ago, resulting in two toteplacepot positions being gained, statistics which included one winner.  Last year's 11/8 favourite finished nearer last than first however.
Kempton record of course winners in the third contest on the card:
1/4--Lady D's Rock
2.35: Without a win from seven all weather assignments to date, EPSOM FLYER might not be the most obvious winner in the line up, though I am hoping that a recent spin over timber (beaten just a length at Plumpton in November) might have sparked a flame somewhere in the thoroughbred, whereby Pat Phelan's six-year-old can score at a decent price on Sunday.  If not, I am struggling for an 'edge' to be honest, offering tentative types such as INDIAN SCOUT and MRS BURBRIDGE for consideration this side of midnight. 
Favourite factor:  This is the second division of the previous event on the Kempton card, whereby the same favourite stats apply. 
Kempton record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/10--Awesome Rock
3.10: Anabel Murphy (saddles Indian Scout in the previous race) appears to have better chance with TODD in the penultimate Placepot race on the Kempton card, the six-year-old attempting to help to get jockey George Baker to the 100 winner mark at Kempton during the last five years, with George needing just four winners to 'break the barrier'.  Potential 'spoilers' in the line up include KING OLAV (six of his eight all weather victories have been gained here at Kempton), EMILIO LARGO (22 pounds lower than when last successful on the level) and dual course and distance winner ORDENSRITTER, who has finished 'in the three' in five of his seven all weather assignments thus far. 
Favourite factor:  This is a new race on the Kempton programme. 
Kempton record of course winners in the fifth race:
2/3--Coup De Grace
6/34--King Olav
3.40: GRACIOUS JOHN was a really impressive winner at Lingfield recently when accounting for a (4/6) odds on favourite in tenacious style, suggesting that there was a lot more to come from Baltic King colt.  The official ratings suggest that he and FIELD OF VISION are well in here, and it could take a very decent horse to lower his colours for the time being.  KHAMEELA is the only other potential winner in the field from my viewpoint but even then, David Simcock's Equiano filly is no less than 23 pounds 'wrong' with GRACIOUS JOHN according to the official assessor in this Class2 Conditions event. 
Favourite factor: Both (4/6 & 5/4) favourites have obliged in the toteplacepot finale to date. 
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Sunday: 
10--Tony Carroll
5--David Evans
3--Nickky Evans
3--Anabel K Murphy
3--Pay Phelan
2--Michael Attwater
2--Andrew Balding
2--Paddy Butler
2--Clive Cox
2--Heather Dalton
2--Zoe Davison
2--David Dennis
2--Peter Hedger
2--Peter Hiatt
2--Kevin Morgan
2--Michael Mullineaux
2--Mark Tompkins
1--Alan Bailey
1--John Best
1--Milton Bradley
1--Alan Brown
1--Des Donovan
1--Conor Dore
1--Chris Down
1--Gordon Elliott
1--Charlie Fellows
1--Jimmy Fox
1--Jeremy Gask
1--Simon Hodgson
1--Roger Ingram
1--Dean Ivory<
1--Linda Jewell
1--Gay Kelleway
1--Daniel Kubler
1--Natalie Lloyd-Beavis
1--Daniel Mark Loughnane
1--John E Long
1--George Margarson
1--David Menuisier
1--Neil Mulholland
1--Jamie Osborne
1--Emma Owen
1--George Peckham
1--Mark Pitman
1--John David Riches
1--David Simcock
1--Joseph Tuite
1--John Weymes
1--Adrian Wintle
80 declared runners
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