Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Sunday 17th September

BATH - SEPTEMBER 17

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £160.10 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Bath: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 3 (Frank Cool), 1 (Fantasy Justifier) & 2 (Spirit Of Rosanna)

Leg 2 (2.45): 7 (Whiteley), 6 (David’s Beauty) & 4 (Cee Jay)

Leg 3 (3.15): 3 (Edged Out), 7 (Secret Potion) & 6 (Pastfact)

Leg 4 (3.45): 5 (Spanish Star), 4 (Aquadabra) & 7 (Hastenplace)

Leg 5 (4.15): 2 (Roundhay Park), 6 (Maygold) & 1 (Big Time Maybe)

Leg 6 (4.45): 5 (Storm Melody) & 8 (Dandilion)

Suggested stake: 486 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.15: FRANK COOL (drawn 8/17) should prove difficult to kick out of the frame and for those of you who only opt for one horse in each leg of our favourite wager, ‘Frank’ would be the unoriginal call albeit from a win perspective, my money would be saved for later on the card.  Others to consider is a frightening opening event include FANTASY JUSTIFIER (16) and SPIRIT OF ROSANNA (4), if only because will then have a representative from all sectors of the draw.

Favourite factor: All four favourites have secured via three renewals thus far, statistics which include two (2/1 & 3/1**) winners.

Record of course winners in the opening race:

2/5—Triple Dream (good to firm & firm)

 

2.45: I remember that I recently mentioned that I find WHITELEY difficult to call because when I opt for the Channon representative she lets me down and the reverse is true when I give her opposed her in the past.  Either way, I am inclined to include Mick’s Dark Angel filly in my Placepot mix, alongside the likes of DAVID’S BEAUTY and CEE JAY with both of the two ‘dangers’ having received financial support overnight.

Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening race on the card whereby the same stats apply.  All four favourites have secured via three renewals thus far, statistics which include two (2/1 & 3/1**) winners.

Record of course winners in the second event:

1/4—Posh Bounty (soft)

1/6—Kingstreet Lady (firm)

2/10—Angelito (good & good to firm)

 

3.15: Let’s hope for a more peaceful contest than was the case last year, when a horse bolted on the way to the start before being withdrawn, alongside two others before a new market could be formed.  EDGED OUT was the horse that bolted last year but having won here last time out (albeit back in June), Chris Mason’s Piccolo mare is not without a chance at around the 8/1 mark this afternoon.  Overnight support has emerged for PASTFACT despite the fact that his two wins at the track have been gained on firm ground.  That said, the ‘local’ Malcolm Saunders raider won on his one and only assignment on good to soft going to date, hence the support I’ll wager.  SECRET POTION completes my trio against the remaining five contenders in this potential ‘dead eight’ contest.

Favourite factor: Two of the five market leaders (via four renewals) have finished in the frame to date, though we still await the first winning favourite.

Record of course winners in the opening race:

2/23—Edged Out (good to firm & firm)

1/1—Delagate The Lord (good)

2/3—Pastfact (2 x form)

2/6—Secret Potion (good & good to soft)

 

3.45: AQUADABRA and SPANISH STAR are the two horses that attract the eye at first glance this morning.  The only course winner in the field, Aquadabra was scoring under very quick conditions here at Bath that day but it’s worth noting that she was beaten less than two lengths on tacky ground at Carlisle on her penultimate start at that stage of her career.  You can ignore the 6/1 quote in the trade press about SPANISH STAR as current 9/2 odds (in three places at the time of writing) are not likely to last long, given that the Requinto gelding is as short as 10/3 with a couple of firms already.  I note that HASTENPLACE ‘splits the books’ as dawn begins to break over the City of Bristol, possibly because Luke Morris takes over in the saddle for the first time aboard Rod Millman’s Compton Place filly.

Favourite factor: This Nursery event is a new race on the Bath card.

Record of course winners in the opening race:

1/3—Aquadabra (firm)

 

4.15: I prefer the chance of BIG TIME MAYBE of Tom Dascombe’s two Nursery runners in this split (two divisions) two-year-old handicap but even then, slight preference is for ROUNDHAY PARK and MAYGOLD, if you were contemplating a bet from a win perspective.  You will note that I have opted for a large permutation on a quiet day, mainly in the belief that this card looks tailor made to produce a really good Placepot dividend, any which way I look at the six races.

Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous new (Nursery) event on the programme.

Record of course winners in the opening race:

1/1—Zain Smarts (good to firm)

1/2—Dreamboat Annie (firm)

 

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4.45: Little wonder that last year’s inaugural winner STORM MELODY has come on for overnight support, as Jonjo O’Neill’s four-year-old Royal Applause gelding carries up to 17 pounds less than when successful twelve months ago, if the relevant claimer can call on all three pounds of his allowance.  George Wood is fair value for that ‘edge’ and when we consider that STORM MELODY races off just a one pound lower mark this time around, his each way/Placepot chance is there for all to see.  Part of the reason for the ‘inbalance’ is the declaration of Pixieleen at the top of the weights, though the Malcolm Saunders raider would be seen to much better effect under faster conditions.  I prefer the likes of DANDILION and OUR LORD as the main threats to the unquestionable selection STORM MELODY.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/2 favourite finished nearer last than first.

Record of course winners in the third contest:

1/1—Zain Smarts (good to firm)

1/2—Dreamboat Annie (firm)

2/7--Pixieleen (2 x firm)

2/5—Our Lord (good & soft)

2/5—Coronation Cottage (good to firm & firm)

1/3—Storm Melody (good to soft)

1/12--Showmethewayavrilo (soft)

2/5--Archimedes (good to firm & firm)

3/18—Jaganory (good – good to firm – firm)

5/22--Captain Ryan (3 x firm + good to firm + good to soft)

1/2--Prominna (good to soft)

2/11--Burauq (good to firm & good to soft)

Draw details form last year (only renewal to date:

5-14-9-6 (16 ran-good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Bath card on Sunday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

5 runners—Malcolm Saunders (9/34 +7)

5—Tony Carroll (3/23 +8)

4—Milton Bradley (3/30 – loss of 9 points)

3—Patrick Chamings (0/7)

3—Ron Harris (6/32 +16)

3—Steph Hollinshead (1/5 +3)

3—William Muir (0/24)

2—Michael Attwater (3/9 – slight profit)

2—Mick Channon (4/30 – loss of 9 points)

2—Tom Dascombe (0/4)

2—Geoffrey Deacon (1/7 – level on the year)

2—Grace Harris (1/8 – loss of 4 points)

2—Jonjo O’Neill (3/18 +12)

2—Richard Price (1/4 +5)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

69 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ffos Las: £158.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

 

 

 

 

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2 replies
  1. vhlmurphy says:

    It certainly looks a tough card today Mal but could pay a good divedend for those brave enough to play.
    1st race already down to 3 places and the 3rd race is now down to 2 as the NRs start to appear.
    Looks like a good time to spark up the Geegeez multibet builder.
    Good luck today Vince

    Reply

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