MARKET RASEN – FEBRUARY 18
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £637.10 (6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Market Rasen:
Leg 1 (2.10): 5 (Rouergate) & 4 (Potters Sapphire)
Leg 2 (2.45): 5 (Samarayia), 10 (Dahills Hill) & 9 (Pretty Reckless)
Leg 3 (3.15): 8 (Nayati), 3 (Whatzdjazz) & 5 (Treshnish)
Leg 4 (3.50): 1 (Captain Chaos) & 2 (Ozzy Thomas)
Leg 5 (4.20): 4 (Midnight Merlot), 3 (Must Havea Flutter) & 5 (Norse Light)
Leg 6 (4.55): 1 (Dawnieriver) & 2 (The Last Bridge)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Market Rasen has always been a difficult track to assess and today’s card in no different to normal. Few trainers excel here, though Dan Skelton’s figures this season make for interesting reading, with Dan having declared six runners today. Dan saddles runners later on the card whereby Venetia Williams can get the programme off and running to winning effect with ROUERGATE. The positive vibes on the exchanges in the dead of night suggest that Venetia’s Sageburg mare has been schooling well following her fall at Ludlow last time out when travelling like a winner. Only POTTERS SAPPHIRE is standing up against the projected favourite at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings.
2.45: Henry Oliver sends SAMARAYIA handicapping for the first time and Aidan Coleman’s mount is the each way call in the contest and I suspect that the 8/1 quote by 365 this morning will not last long after the offices open for business. Dan Skelton’s first runner on the card is PRETTY RECKLESS who is the only course winner in the line up, whilst DAHILLS HILL represents Graeme McPherson who has done well at this corresponding meeting down the years.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 9/4 market leader found one too good when claiming a Placepot position before last year’s 2/1 market leader made amends.
Record of the course winners in the second event on the card:
1/1—Pretty Reckless (good to soft)
3.15: The 13/2 trade press quote about Alan King’s hat trick seeker NAYATI always looked fanciful and there is every indication that Alan’s Spirit One gelding can land the treble in this grade/handicap, though at probably no bigger price than 5/1 by the time that the starter drops his flag. That said, this is a competitive race, with the likes of WHAYZDJAZZ and TRESHNISH also having been declared.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 7/4 favourite was the only horse which failed to complete the course, whilst detectives are still out searching for last year’s 5/2 market leader.
Record of the course winner in the third event on the card:
1/3—Mr Kite (good)
3.50: Only CAPTAIN CHAOS and OZZY THOMAS can be taken seriously as we head into the second half of our favourite wager. For the record, the two runners are listed in order of preference.
Favourite factor: This is another new event on the Market Rasen programme.
Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:
1/29—The Society Man (soft) – this is not typo error!
4.20: Noel Williams does not saddle many runner but the Oxfordshire based trainer has already sent out a couple of winners this year and I fancy that MIDNIGHT MERLOT can take Noel’s 2018 strike rate to 25% this afternoon, with seemingly MUST HAVEA FLUTTER and NORSE LIGHT to beat.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders have claimed Placepot positions by winning their respective events at odds of 6/4 & 11/8.
Record of the course winners in the penultimate leg:
1/3—Sunny Legend (heavy)
1/3—Dartford Warbler (soft)
4.50: All six winners to date have carried a minimum burden of 10-10, with DAWNIERIVEER and THE LAST BRIDGE taken to land the Placpot dividend between them if we are live going into the final leg. DAWNIERIVER makes quite a lot of appeal given Bet365’s 6/1 quote, if you are up early enough to take advantage of their ‘generosity’.
Favourite factor: Only two of the seven favourites have finished in the frame via five renewals, whist we still await the first success market leader from a win perspective.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—The Last Bridge (heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runner (two or more) on the Market Rasen card on Sunday – followed by their ratios this season at the track (in brackets) this season and then their five year figures + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
6 runners—Dan Skelton (18/48 +27) – 36/132 +25
3—Sue Smith (1/14 - loss of 9 points) – 9/78 – loss of 44
3—Vic Thompson (First runners this season) – 1/7 +3
2—Jennie Candlish (1/5 +1) – 6/45 – loss of 21
2—David Dennis (1/3 +5) – 8/47 – loss of 14
2—Stuart Edmunds (2/9 – loss of 2) – 5/19 +2
2—Sam England (1/3 +1) – 1/10 – loss of 5
2—Andrew J Martin (0/2) – 2/11 +7
2—Graeme McPherson (2/14 – loss of 5) – 5/43 – loss of 12
2—Henry Oliver (1/3 +2) – 4/22 – loss of 6
2—Michael Scudamore (0/7) – 1/17 – loss of 13
2—Lucy Wadham (0/7) – 2/48 – loss of 2
2—Venetia Williams (0/2) – 8/33 – loss of 1
+ 18 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
50 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ffos Las: £274.80 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced