Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £740.10 (7 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)
2.10: Alan King has three chances on the Market Rasen card at a venue where Alan could do with improving his ratio which sits at just 11% during the last five years. That said, all of Alan's seven winners during the study period have emerged over hurdles and it might take a half decent type to lower the colours of Alan's dual winner AWESOME ROSIE, despite the fact that Tom Bellamy's mount has to give weight to all 10 rivals. CHOCCA WOCCA has done precious little wrong thus far however, following up a debut victory with a silver medal in Aintree's Mares Bumper event at the Grand National meeting. MISS RANGER looks booked for third spot unless conditions dry out significantly overnight.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Market Rasen with which to open proceedings.
2.45: The penalised mares look to have an edge in this event which could be worth recording for future use, especially with 'dark horses' SECRET DOOR and MISS ESTELA receiving weight from five rivals. Hat trick seeker CLEMENCY could still take the beating however, the Halling mare having pleased Nicky Henderson of late via two tenacious successes. CLEMENCY was previously running a big race and was still in with a chance of beating the boys when coming to grief at Warwick. MISS TIGER LILY remains an interesting prospect.
Favourite factor: This is the second new race on the Market Rasen programme.
3.20: One of the few course winners on the card, TEMPLATE could take advantage of a weight scenario here which is compounded as Harry Fry has jocked up a seven pound claimer on his Iffraj gelding. That said, CONTILLION is a winner of three of his last four assignments and Ian Williams has also engaged a 'conditional pilot' who will ease the burden by no less than 10 pounds. APTERIX completes my trio against the other four contenders.
Favourite factor: Yet another new race to cope with!
Market Rasen record of course winners in the third race:
3.55: All four winners of this event have carried 11-4 or more whereby this year's only qualifier WINGS ATTRACT should be home and hosed, on paper at least. Unfortunately that might be the case if this were a handicap event but in novice chase circles two horses are rated much higher than the Chris Bealby raider, receiving seven pounds in weight into the bargain! Listed in order of preference, the two thoroughbreds in question are BALLYALTON and DEEP TROUBLE. As if that was not enough to complicate matters, the two 'dark horses' down the bottom of the list cannot be discounted at the overnight stage, namely LOCKSTOCKANDBARRELL and FAIRYTALE THEATRE.
Favourite factor: Favourites came to the gig on a hat trick 12 months ago, the inaugural market leader having finished second whereby all three 'jollies' had secured toteplacepot positions. All that good work came to an end last year when the 2/5 (Nicky Henderson trained) market leader could only finish third of four finishers in a 'short field' contest. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and toteplacepot perspectives.
4.25: Nine assignments have come and gone since THE MUMPER gained his only success on handicap debut and after a decent effort at Doncaster last time out, Alan King has found a perfect opportunity for Tom Bellamy's mount to regain the winning thread, especially as Tom negates the recent rise by the official assessor via his three pound claim. PANDY WELLS and MONDO KANE are expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 11/4 favourite could only finish fifth of seven behind horses which filled the short field frame at 7/1 & 9/2.
Market Rasen record of course winners in the fifth race:
5.00: All four winners to date have carried 10-13 or more which cuts the field in half in terms of qualifiers this time around. Three horses automatically fail the weight trend, whilst another looks set to drop in the 'inferior' sector of the handicap via a jockey claim. That claim is disappointing to a fashion as I could have given beaten favourite Veroce another chance in this grade/company. Upwards and onward adhering to my 'anorak tendencies' however, by suggesting that MOYODE WOOD, TANNER HILL and BASFORD BEN should secure a Placepot position or two between them if we are live going into the last leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: The last two favourites had finished second (securing toteplacepot positions in the process) following the first contest when both joint favourites finished out of the frame. Unfortunately, last year's 9/2 favourite finished out with the washing.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Market Rasen card on Sunday:
48 declared runners