PLUMPTON – SEPTEMBER 24
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £190.90 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (1.50): 5 (Sea Sovereign), 1 (Gibson Park) & 3 (Vancouver)
Leg 2 (2.20): 3 (Free Stone Hill) & 2 (Lord Huntingdon)
Leg 3 (2.50): 4 (Velvet Cognac), 5 (Fair To Middling) & 3 (Little Windmill)
Leg 4 (3.20): 4 (City Dreamer), 7 (Jumping Jack) & 1 (Lord E)
Leg 5 (3.50): 1 (Holly Bush Henry) & 2 (Bugsie Malone)
Leg 6 (4.20): 1 (Flashman) & 4 (Ramore Will)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: SEA SOVEREIGN has been the subject of some overnight support and with trainer Mark Pitman boasting 2/6 stats during the summer, Tom Scudamore’s mount is the first name on the team sheet. The trade press quote of 9/2 might be difficult to obtain however if you considering having a bet from a win perspective. Others to consider in a typical Plumpton opener include GIBSON PARK and VANCOUVER.
Favourite factor: All four favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include three (2/1, Evens & 1/3) winners.
2.20: It could prove to be a coincidence of course, but I cannot overlook the fact that seven-year-olds have won both contests to date via just three representatives. Given that the stats also offer eleven points of level stake profit into the bargain, FREE STONE HILL is the call, with LORD HUNTINGDON offered up as the main danger on the strength of his recent Bangor success. East Indies cannot be entirely overlooked given his course victory under similar projected conditions today.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders (via two renewals) have finished in the frame, including one of the two 10/3 joint favourites in the inaugural year which won the relevant contest.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/2—East Indies (good to firm)
2.50: The only horse for any money overnight (strangely enough) is for VELEVET COGNAC who has been backed in from 12/1 to 17/2 with BetVictor, with other firms also shortening up Lawney Hill’s nine-year-old gelding. A winner of two of his nine races ‘between the flags’, Velvet Cognac has been offered a reasonable assignment in this grade/company I guess, and the support has influenced yours truly to include Nick Schofield’s mount in my Placepot permutation. Joining him there are FAIR TO MIDDLING and LITTLE WINDMILL. As a concluding comment on the race, I have only just noticed that Lawney has saddled the winner of four of the last eight renewals of this event, coming into the race on a hat trick this time around! It will be interesting to see if the support for Velvet Cognac continues later this morning…
Favourite factor: Seven renewals have slipped by since the last favourite prevailed during which time, every market leader has failed to finish in the frame!
Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:
2/4—Little Windmill (2 x good to firm)
3.20: Alan King has saddled two of the last nine winners and his raider CITY DREAMER catches the eye, albeit he has been a ‘bleeder’ in the past. JUMPING JACK is an interesting newcomer for Chris Gordon who is invariably a trainer worth keeping on the right side here at Plumpton and at Fontwell. Readers might point to the fact that Chris has saddled nearly double the number of winners at Fontwell compared to today’s venue but that said, Chris boasts level stake profits of over 21 points here against an overall loss at Fontwell during the last five years. LORD E is asked to give seven pounds to five of his six rivals but Gary Moore knows the time of day and his debut Fontwell winner could be up to the task.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last decade during which time, nine gold medallists scored at a top price of 5/1.
3.50: HOLLY BUSH HENRY goes up in trip again following an improved effort when scoring at Worcester on Monday having been asked to run over two and half furlong more than he had tackled before. It’s worth noting that Jamie Moore retains the ride, whilst dad Gary is not represented in the contest. Could it be that Jamie suggested that dad might be wasting his time by taking on the projected favourite? 5/2 is still available in a few places but with Coral having shortened up HBH to 15/8 already, 5/2 might be difficult to obtain this morning. Connections might have most to fear from BUGSIE MALONE at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites (via four renewals) have finished in the frame, statistics which include three successful market leaders of one kind or another.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
1/6—Mercers Court (good)
4.20: According to the radar, rain might reach Plumpton about the same time as this race is due off though either way, conditions will not bother FLASHMAN who has won on ground either side of good in the past. Six-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals and that ‘coincidence’ (if you like) sways me towards naming RAMORE WILL as the main threat to the tentative selection.
Favourite factor: Four of the last seven favourites have won during which time, the biggest priced winner was sent off at 7/1. Six of the last seven market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
2/6—Flashman (good to firm & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Sunday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Dan Skelton (1/1 +1)
5—Neil Mulholland (1/2 – slight profit this season)
4—Chris Gordon (No previous runners)
4—Neil King (0/2)
4—Gary Moore (1/6 – loss of 4 points)
3—Seamus Durack (No previous runners)
3—Seamus Mullins (1/3 +3)
2—David Bridgwater (No previous runners)
2—Lawney Hill (No previous runners)
2—Alan King (0/1)
+ 16 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
50 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Uttoxeter: £291.50 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced