Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Sunday 25th March

DONCASTER – MARCH 25

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £160.00 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions offered in brackets:

 

Race 1: 54.0% units went through – 28/1, 10/1, 7/2* & 8/1

Race 2: 59.9% of the remaining units when through – 15/8*, 25/1 & 11/4

Race 3: 75.5% of the remaining units went through – 4/7*, 9/2 & 25/1

Race 4: 19.9% of the remaining units went through – 33/1, 13/2**, 16/1 & 20/1 (13/2**)

Race 5: 34.8% of the remaining units went through – 15/8* & 50/1

Race 6: 27.0% of the units secured the dividend – 20/1, 14/1, 8/1 & 9/1 (9/2)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Doncaster: 

Leg 1 (2.25): 8 (Right Action), 11 (Know Your Limit), 9 (Colonel Frank) & 7 (Lost At Sea)

Leg 2 (3.00): 2 (First Contact) & 12 (Stealth)

Leg 3 (3.35): 7 (Explain), 9 (Dark Defender), 11 (Private Matter) & 8 (Mobsta)

Leg 4 (4.10): 5 (Royal Line) & 1 (Great Hall)

Leg 5 (4.45): 8 (Archippos), 10 (Music Seeker) & 3 (Tuff Rock)

Leg 6 (5.20): 3 (Broderie) & 7 (Dr Richard Kimble)

Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.25: Richard Fahey has saddled five of the last 13 winners of this opening event (was also responsible for the runner up last year at 10/1) and the quintet were all four-year-olds which makes for interesting reading.  Richard has declared four horses on this occasion, with his lone four-year-old raider RIGHT ACTION taken to lead his stablemates home, as was the case twelve months ago. Four-year-olds have won five of the last six contests for good measure, whereby my short listed trio to accompany Right Action comprises of KNOW YOUR LIMIT, COLONEL FRANK and LOST AT SEA.

Favourite factor: Nine of the last 15 favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include two winners.

Record of the course winners in the opening event:

1/5—Right Touch (good to soft)

1/5—Twin Appeal (good to soft)

1/9—Boots And Spurs (good)

1/2—Lost At Sea (good to soft)

1/13—Khelman (heavy)

2/2—Act Echo (good to firm & good to soft)

 

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3.00: We can only suppose that PREVENT will turn out to be an above average type, especially in the excellent care of Ralph Beckett and his team.  As for now, I expect the experience already gained by the likes of STEALTH and (particularly) FIRST CONTACT might prove too much for the Poet’s Voice gelding at the first time of asking.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Doncaster card.

 

3.35: Four and five-year-olds have won 14 of the last 17 renewals between them, including twelve of the last thirteen contests. Richard Fahey has secured three of the last eight renewals, whilst the last ten winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-3.  Putting the stats into the deep far fryer produces names such as EXPLAIN, DARK DEFENDER and PRIVATE MATTER.  MOBSTA is a regular at this opening weekend of the season and Mick Channon’s raider should be there or thereabouts at the business end of the contest.

Favourite factor: Eight of the last thirteen winners have scored at 66/1--40/1--33/1—33/1--16/1--16/1--14/1--14/1, whilst four of the other six gold medallists were returned at 25/1--12/1--7/1--7/1 during the study period. Eleven of the twenty favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners.

Effect of the draw (latest renewal shown first):

8-15-13-14 (22 ran –good)

21-1-5-18 (20 ran-soft)

3-16-6-5 (21 ran-good to soft)

1-7-2-16 (18 ran-soft)

6-4-8-10 (18 ran-soft)

15-11-4-3 (22 ran-good)

4-17-8-14 (20 ran-good)

2-16-8-13 (18 ran-good to soft)

2-10-22-21 (20 ran-good to firm)

1-6-4-3 (17 ran-soft)

15-11-6 (15 ran-good)

3-7-2-5 (22 ran-good)

9-10-22-14 (22 ran-good)

22-12-20-15 (21 ran-good to soft)

Record of course winners in the fourth race:

1/2—Justanotherbottle (good to soft)

2/4—Naadirr (2 x good)

1/4—Captain Colby (good)

2/7—Mobsta (2 x soft)

 

4.10: Four-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals and vintage representatives are 6/4 against extending their good recent run before the form book is consulted. John Gosden has declared vintage representative ROYAL LINE who might have GREAT HALL to beat here, with Mick Quinn’s eight-year-old always seemingly that bit better with some juice in the ground.

Favourite factor: Five of the last ten favourites have prevailed, though only two of the other nine market leaders (in total) additionally secured toteplacepot positions via ten renewals during the last fourteen years.

 

4.45: Last year’s winner ARCHIPPOS returns to defend his crown and with Phil Kirby’s team in fine form just now (five of his last thirteen runners have won), the five-year-old is the first name on the team sheet.  Joining him there are MUSIC SEEKER and TUFF ROCK, especially as four-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals of this event.  MUSIC SEEKER won at the first time of asking last year on soft ground, whereby Declan Carroll’s representative could be the value for money call in the contest.

Favourite factor: Two of the last eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include one (4/1**) winner.

Record of the two course winners in the field:

1/3—Archippos (good)

1/3—Mutarakez (good to soft)

 

5.20: Mark Johnston has won two of the last three renewals in which his stable was represented whereby the chance of DR RICHARD KIMBLE is greatly respected.  That said, Mark’s Lawman gelding might need every pound of the ten he receives from BRODERIE with Charlie Appleby sending out winners for fun of late.  Talking of in-form trainers, Phil Kirby has to be mentioned in dispatches whereby Rayna’s World could outrun his odds.

Favourite factor:  Market leaders have won two of the seven renewals to date, with five gold medallists have scored at a top price of 6/1.  Three of the seven favourites have secured Placepot positions, though four renewals have slipped by since a market leader scored.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

ASCOT ON SUNDAY – IF YOU’RE PLAYING THE PLACEPOT AT THE MEETING: 

Last year’s dividend: 132.00 (7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions offered in brackets:

Race 1: 35.9% units went through – 3/1*, 33/1 & 13/2

Race 2: 42.1% of the remaining units when through – 9/1, 7/2 & 7/2 (3/1)

Race 3: 35.6% of the remaining units went through – 15/8 (win only – 5/4*)

Race 4: 71.0% of the remaining units went through – 11/4 & 2/1*

Race 5: 32.6% of the remaining units went through – 12/1, 5/1 & 10/1 (9/2)

Race 6: 44.3% of the units secured the dividend – 11/1, 7/2** & 8/1 (7/2**)

 

 

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