GOODWOOD - AUGUST 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £790.40 (7 favourites - 2 winners & 5 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (2.10): 1 (Macaque) & 2 (Ibn Al Emarat)
Leg 2 (2.45): 7 (Iconic Belle) & 2 (Delannoy)
Leg 3 (3.20): 5 (Tribal Conquest), 9 (Karawaan) & 7 (Frontispiece)
Leg 4 (3.55): 2 (Unison), 3 (Stanley) & 11 (City Ground)
Leg 5 (4.30): 6 (Bless Him), 8 (Solomon’s Bay) & 4 (Viscount Barfield)
Leg 6 (5.05): 1 (White Chocolate), 3 (Three Duchesses) & 5 (Lady Bergamot)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Although Macaque is registered as a last time out winner, Andrew Balding’s 1/16 favourite barely had to get out of bottom gear to win by 24 lengths whereby the seven pound ‘penalty’ suggests that Andrew’s Rock Of Gibraltar could be vulnerable but in this grade/company, it’s not easy to see which of the seven rivals will get the February foal off the bridle. IBN AL EMARAT and Mick Channon’s newcomer ZAPPA (still holds an entry in a Chepstow event on Monday) might get young Joshua Bryan raising his whip at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings.
2.45: Eve Johnson Houghton is the top trainer at this corresponding meeting of late whereby her only runner on the card has to be of interest, namely DELANNOY. That said, Jim Crowley’s mount has yet to finish ‘in the three’ via seven assignments to date whereby Eve’s Le Havre gelding is definitely entering my ‘last chance saloon’. ICONIC BELLE has a ton in hand here if official figures to be believed though in selling races which are as weak as this, it takes a brave punter to dive in with all guns blazing.
Favourite factor: Five of the seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four (2/5-10/11-7/4-7/2**) winners.
3.20: Horses carrying a maximum burden of 9-1 have secured nine of the eleven available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include four (11/1-9/1-8/1-7/2) of the five winners. If you believe in the stats, you are probably drawn towards TRIBAL CONQUEST and the Sir Michael Soute pair KARAWAAN and FRONTISPIECE.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions to date by securing silver medals.
3.55: Regular readers will know I place as much emphasis on the pilots in these amateur rider races as much as the equine ‘stars‘ on parade (at the very least). Emma Sayer (UNISON), James King (STANLEY) and Sarah Brotherton (CITY GROUND) probably have most reason to look forward to this year’s renewal.
Favourite factor: The first two favourites both scrambled into third place to claim toteplacepot positions, though the last two (9/2 & 11/4) market leaders let the side down by both finishing nearer last than first.
4.30: Three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 6-4 via the last fifteen renewals and the lead could be extended this time around with BLESS HIM, SOLOMON’S BAY and TOMYRIS having been declared. VISCOUNT BARFIELD was taken out of a better race at York on Friday and Andrew Balding’s four-year-old has to be considered a threat to the junior representatives.
Favourite factor: Ten renewals have slipped by since the last favourite prevailed though that said, nine of the last seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, albeit those stats include just two winners.
5.05: Trainers towards the top of the tree have bagged all four renewals to date and in David Simcock (White Chocolate), Michael Bell (Three Duchesses) and James Fanshawe (Lady Bergamot) in the mix, we can sleep safely in our beds on Saturday, knowing that we have (at least) the Placepot finale all nicely wrapped with a bow sealing the knot. I have finally ‘lost it’. I hope you are enjoying your Bank Holiday weekend.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have finished in the money without winning their respective events.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Beverley: £2,069.30 – 7 favourites – 2 winners & 5 unplaced
Yarmouth: £52.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced