FONTWELL – MAY 27
Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:
2017: £33.30 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 2 unplaced – 1 Non runner)
Unfortunately - the Tote’s computer blew a gasket (or something similar I guess) whereby the race to race details that I offer on a daily basis are not available.
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell:
Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Don Lami) & 2 (Rothman)
Leg 2 (2.50): 6 (Code Of Law), 3 (Spiritofchartwell) & 8 (Two Hoots)
Leg 3 (3.25): 3 (Ringa Ding Ding) & 5 (Shillingsworth)
Leg 4 (4.00): 1 (Kings Lad), 4 (Bugsy Malone) & 5 (Shady Glen)
Leg 5 (4.35): 3 (Soulsaver), 10 (Zoltan Varga) & 8 (Cappielow Park)
Leg 6 (5.10): 2 (Kilmurvy) & 4 (Quick N’ Easy)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
- Thunderstorms are expected to hit many parts of the south, west and the midlands during the course of Sunday & Monday, so ensure that you keep your eyes on the non-runner board this Bank Holiday weekend.
2.15: Anthony Honeyball enjoyed a great season which finished a few weeks ago and DON LAMI took little time in getting the trainer off the mark in quick time when scoring earlier this month. Anthony’s five-year-old is the youngest horse in the field and probably possesses plenty of untapped potential which could be realised this term. Connections have most to fear from ROTHMAN I’ll wager but if Aidan Coleman’s mount (Don Lami) can repeat the effort from the last day, there should only be one winner.
Favourite factor: The first two market leaders snared gold and bronze medals alongside Placepot positions before last year’s 2/1 favourite finished out with the washing in a ‘short field’ event. New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from Placepot and each way perspectives.
Record of the two course winners in the opening race:
2/2—Don Lami (2 x good)
2.50: Five of the eight winners thus far have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones which eliminates the bottom three horses in the handicap if we take the stats seriously. The pick of the relevant trio from my viewpoint is Two Hoots which could scramble into the frame I guess. Horses towards the top of the list to home in on will hopefully prove to be CODE OF LAW and SPIRITOFCHARTWELL. Neil Mulholland sends out the first named raider with trainer boasting a 19% record here at Fontwell down the years. The ratio isn’t anything out of the ordinary, though a level stake loss of less than nine points via 268 runners at the track is no mean feat.
Favourite factor: Four of the seven favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include three winners. Last year’s 10/11 favourite was withdrawn at the start before a new market could be formed. Thankfully for ‘Potters’ who had invested in the jolly, the second favourite sneaked into the frame. In case you are a new reader who is just learning the (Placepot) ropes, any units on a market leader which becomes a non-runner automatically transfers onto the second favourite. In the case of joint or co favourites, the transfer applies to the horse with the lowest number on the race card i.e. horse number seven as opposed to number twelve.
Record of the two course winners in the field:
3/9—Spiritofchartwell (good – good to soft – soft)
1/5—Code Of Law (good to firm)
3.25: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 4-3 thus far, with just one contest having escaped their clutches to date. Paul Nicholls has long since taken note of such ‘edges’ and RINGA DING DING can be fancied to become winner number 155 at Fontwell during Paul’s outstanding career, with the trainer boasting a 33% strike rate at this venue down the years. Paul will not be losing any sleep over these rivals, the pick of which will probably prove to be fellow five-year-old SHILLINGSWORTH.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won six of the last seven renewals, whilst seven market leaders have finished in the frame via eight contests. The only 'jolly' to miss out was a Paul Nicholls favourite which was sent off at the shortest price of all the favourites at 4/11.
4.00: Even though only five runners have been declared, this could arguably be considered the toughest race on the card, especially from a Placepot perspective given the nature of its ‘short field’ status. All five runners have won within the last forty days to add interest to proceedings and my trio against the field consists of KINGS LAD, BUGSY MALONE and SHADY GLEN. Confidence would grow for Kings Lad if plenty of rain fell at the West Sussex venue. Although I have covered 60% of the field, I’m not overly confident about the outcome, a thought which would be extended should a non-runner rear its ugly head, turning the contest into a ‘win only’ event from a Placepot perspective.
Favourite factor: Only three of the six favourites have gained Placepot positions via one gold medal and two of the silver variety. That said, ten of the twelve available Placepot positions have been claimed by horses sent off at a top price of 7/1.
Fontwell record of the two course winners in the fourth event on the card:
1/3—Kings Lad (heavy)
3/9—Antony (2 x good & soft)
4.35: SOULSAVER is the second (and last) runner on the card for Anthony Honeyball who was mentioned earlier in despatches. Anthony has saddled far more winners at Fontwell (35 in total) than at any other venue in the land and both of his runners here on Sunday boast obvious claims. Offering a 50% strike rate at the track, SOULSAVER would not want the ground to become too soft but that said, his stamina would come into play which might negate the issue. Others for consideration include ZOLTAN VARGA and CAPPIELOW PARK on the best of his form.
Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one successful (9/2**) favourite.
Fontwell record of the course winner in the fifth leg of our favourite wager:
2/4—Soulsaver (good & good to soft)
5.10: I’m banking on the some of the forecast rain to fall in selecting KILMURVY as one of my two ‘selections’ in the last leg, opting for QUICK N’EASY as my back-up horse with just two horses to offer, given that I used up plenty of Placepot positions in my permutation earlier on the card. Never Learn is chosen as the reserve nomination. If the ‘Almighty’ is not too busy ‘moving his furniture around’ on Sunday, s/he might insist on all of the ‘dead eight’ declarations taking part in what could otherwise become a nightmare finale.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/2 favourite snared a Placepot position behind the 16/1 winner, before last year’s 2/1 market leader failed to follow suit.
Fontwell record of the two course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/6—Roparta Avenue (good)
1/4—Hard To Rock (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.