SEDGEFIELD – JANUARY 28
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £76.70 (7 favourites: 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Sedgefield:
Leg 1 (1.10): 4 (Black Art), 7 (Nautical Twilight) & 1 (Tontos Spirit)
Leg 2 (1.40): 1 (Bollin Ace), 2 (Burrenbridge Hotel) & 4 (Beau Bay)
Leg 3 (2.10): 2 (Aaron Lad) & 1 (Blottos)
Leg 4 (2.40): 1 (Ascendant) & 5 (Rock Of Leon)
Leg 5 (3.10): 1 (Viens Chercher), 5 (Dica) & 3 (Rear Admiral)
Leg 6 (3.40): 7 (Wazowski), 2 (Banny’s Lad) & 5 (Oregon Gold)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.10: Last year’s winner TONTOS SPIRIT returns to defend his crown though whether the Authorised gelding will get the run of the race out in front as was the case last year is a matter for debate. Danny Cook will still have the cheers of the Cheltenham crowd ringing in his ears I’ll wager following the victory of Definitely Red yesterday but it’s back to earth here (hopefully without a bump) when climbing aboard BLACK ART for his regular boss Sue Smith. NAUTICAL TWILIGHT (Malcolm Jefferson’s only runner on the card) completes my short list for the opening event.
Favourite factor: The first two market leaders claimed gold and silver medals alongside Placepot positions before last year’s 9/4 joint favourites finished out with the washing.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
1/2—Tonto’s Spirit (good to soft)
1/2—Black Art (soft)
2/9—Prince Khurrum (2 x good to firm)
1/8—Nautical Twilight (soft)
1.40: The 5/1 quote chalked up in the trade press about BOLLIN ACE looked a tad fanciful at first glance, with Tim Easterby’s raider appearing more like a 7/2 chance the more I look at the race. Hampered before falling on his seasonal debut in a warm race at Wetherby, this small field will give Tim’s Bollin Eric gelding some time to regain any lost confidence whereby I can visualise Brian Hughes getting a decent run from the seven-year-old in this ‘win only’ contest. BURRENBRIDGE HOTAL is marginally preferred to BEAU BAY as the pick of the dangers though inevitably, I will opt for all three horses in my permutation.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/10 favourite duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
2/6—Bollin Ace (soft & heavy)
2.10: The famous green, white and yellow colours of Trevor Hemmings will shine out of the gloom once again at Sedgefield as the popular trainer goes for victory number 15 at the venue with course winner BLOTTOS, with connections probably having most to fear from AARON LAD on this occasion. A non runner would certainly put the cat among the pigeons though as long as all five runners stand their ground, this pair should see us safely into the second half of our favourite wager. If I had to choose the two at the odds on offer in the dead of night, I would opt for AARON LAD given Dr Newland’s fine record at the track in recent years.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Sedgefield card
Record of the course winner in the third contest:
2.40: As short as 1/3 in a place overnight, there is some opposition to ASCENDANT on the exchanges at the time of writing, suggesting that 8/15 might even be available by the time that the flag falls for this contest. That said, only ROCK OF LEON is retracting in price to a fashion and either way, it’s difficult to look beyond this pair realistically.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 (Ascendant) fell at the third flight.
Course winners in the fourth race:
1/2—Ascendant (good to firm)
1/16—Captain Sharpe (soft)
3.10: Yesterday’s ‘hero’ Brian Ellison saddles four runners on the card and I fancy that VIENS CHERCHER represents the best value of the quartet in this interesting event. DICA still has plenty going for him even at the age of twelve following a five pound hike in the weights. REAR ADMIRAL is added into the Placepot equation.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have finished in the frame by winning their respective events via four contests to date.
Course winners in the fifth event:
1/1—Viens Chercher (good to firm)
2/4—Dica (good & soft)
6/15—Discoverie (4 x soft & 2 x good to soft)
3.40: I took advantage of the 33/1 on offer about OREGON GOLD at the time of night when Saturday revellers might have taken to their beds. Henry Brooke’s mount should be around half of that price from my viewpoint, though I have been wrong once or twice (!) before. I accept that more logical winners include WAZOWSKI and (arguably) BANNY’S LAD but at 33’s, I’ll be happy to watch my speculative call finish third behind the other pair.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 10/11 market leader scraped into a Placepot position behind horses retuned at 8/1 & 7/1.
Course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/3—Banny’s Lad (good & heavy)
4/9—Dark And Dangerous (3 x soft & good to soft)
2/9—Ever So Much (2 x good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Sedgefield card on Sunday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
4 runners—Micky Hammond (3/34 – loss of 22) – 28/202 – loss of 45
4—Donald McCain (9/41 +7) – 56/267 – loss of 21
4—Sue Smith (4/24 – loss of 7) – 24/190 – loss of 60
3—Brian Ellison (6/27 – loss of 7) – 34/144 – loss of 14
3—Chris Grant (2/25 +3) – 14/139 – loss of 26
2—Mick Easterby (1/2 +1) – 4/30 – loss of 11
2—Tim Easterby (0/3) – 6/69 – loss of 37
2—Ben Haslam (2/8 – slight loss) – 7/47 – loss of 10
2—Kenny Johnson (0/14) – 1/38 – loss of 23
2—Dr Richard Newland (1/3 – slight loss) – 4/13 +5
2—Ken Slack (0/10) – 19/65 +28
2—Victor Thompson (0/12) – 5/83 – loss of 55)
+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
53 declared runners