PLUMPTON – APRIL 2
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £180.70 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 46.3% units went through – 11/10 (Win only – 8/11* unplaced)
Race 2: 93.4% of the remaining units when through – 4/11* & 3/1
Race 3: 44.8% of the remaining units went through – 5/4* (Win only)
Race 4: 52.7% of the remaining units went through – 4/5* (Win only)
Race 5: 13.5% of the remaining units went through – 4/1 (Win only – 5/4 * unplaced)
Race 6: 48.7% of the units secured the dividend – 9/2 & 7/4*
Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (1.55): 1 (Sussex Ranger)
Leg 2 (2.25): 2 (Tara Bridge), 3 (Pearls Legend) & 1 (Mick Thonic)
Leg 3 (3.00): 3 (Snippertydoodah), 4 (Bagging Turf), 1 (Loves Destination) & 2 (Diva Du Maquis)
Leg 4 (3.35): 5 (Beau Bay) & 2 (Casse Tete)
Leg 5 (4.10): 2 (Cassievellaunus) & 1 (Welluptoscratch)
Leg 6 (4.45): 5 (Show’s Over), 6 (Yourholidayisover) & 1 (Mr Muddle)
Suggested stake: 144 bets to 10p stakes
1.55: There is no reason whatsoever why this race will not turn into a procession for SUSSEX RANGER, unless Gary Moore’s four-year-old representative slithers on landing at one of the obstacles. Jamie Moore’s mount was only beaten a length and a half on heavy ground at Chepstow in January which offers more confidence in the banker Placepot selection, should you require such information.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/11 market leader duly obliged.
2.25: PEARLS LEGEND had his preferred ground in place when winning this event twelve months ago and these conditions will not play to his strengths. That said, it’s impossible to leave any of the three horses on the Placepot side-lines whereby I’m hoping the defending champion can score (possible outsider of three) beating heavy ground winner TARA BRIDGE and MICK THONIC in the process, those two horses having been listed in order of preference.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/4 favourite finished last of four as the horses finished in ‘reverse order’ in terms of the odds on offer.
Record of the course winner in the second contest on the card:
1/1—Pearls Legend (good to firm)
3.00: Regular readers will be aware that handicap hurdle races beyond the minimum distance offer the worst favourite ratios in either code of the sport. Add the ground scenario alongside this being a contest for mares who would rather be snug and warm in their stable boxes at home and you can see why I am including all four runners in my Placepot equation. If pushed to name a winner, I guess I would opt for dual heavy ground course winner SNIPPERTYDOODAH, albeit with no degree of certainty whatsoever.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Plumpton card.
Record of the two course winners in the third event:
2/7—Loves Destination (heavy & soft)
2/7—Snippertydoodah (2 x heavy)
3.35: BEAU BAY has two engagements for today pencilled in though I can assure you writing this just across the Severn Bridge that Chepstow has very little chance of staging racing this afternoon as it has been raining all night here in the west country. Dr Richard Newland’s seven-year-old has won all six races with plenty of moisture in the turf and is expected to go in again at the main expense of CASSE TETE.
Favourite factor: This ‘Sussex Champion Chase’ is the second new race on the Plumpton programme.
Record of the two course winners in this Class 2 contest:
1/1—Royal Vacation (soft)
1/3—Dusky Lark (soft)
4.10: Daniel Steele’s Danehill Dancer gelding CASSIEVELLAUNUS is not asked to do a great deal more here following a recent course victory which was gained under conditions not unlike those which will be in evidence this afternoon. WELLUPTOSCRATCH has been keeping better company though this ground is a leveller as far as he is concerned and then some.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/4 favourite found one too good when securing a Placepot position
Record of the two course winners in the field:
4.45: SHOW’S OVER receives plenty of weight here on what is likely to be desperate ground by the time flag fall is reached fn the course gets the green light later this morning. YOURHOLIDAY IS OVER and MR MUDDLE are expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: This is another new race to close out our favourite wager.
Record of the three course winners in the Placepot finale:
3/10—Mr Muddle (good – good to firm – soft)
1/7—Gores Island (good)
Record of the two course winners in the seventh (non Placepot) event on the card:
1/5—Yokon Delta (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.