UTTOXETER – OCTOBER 8
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £11.20 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unpalced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Uttoxeter:
Leg 1 (2.25): 10 (Truckers Lodge) & 9 (The Twisler)
Leg 2 (2.55): 5 (Palmers Hill) & 9 (Who’s My Jockey)
Leg 3 (3.30): 9 (Templeross), 3 (Aqua Dude) & 2 (Allee Bleue)
Leg 4 (4.00): 4 (Sporting Boy), 1 (Oh Land Abloom) & 2 (Winterfell)
Leg 5 (4.35): 4 (Audacious Plan), 2 (Brownville) & 1 (Derrintogher Bliss)
Leg 6 (5.05): 2 (Corner Creek), 3 (Withoutdefavourite) & 4 (Irish Octive)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.25: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 3-2 via just five contests to date. Although not exactly drifting like a barge at the time of writing, TRUCKERS LODGE is not attracting much money at around 5/4 this morning, though his Placepot chance is there for all to see. Although nowhere near the mark of 106 on the level which he reached in his pomp, THE TWISLER probably retains enough ability to go close in this grade/company if his hurdling is up to scratch. LONGHOUSESSIGNOA completes my trio against the remaining seven contenders.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have secured Placepot positions thus far, stats which include one successful (11.10) market leader. Four gold medallists scored at a top price of 9/2 aside from a rogue 40/1 winner in 2015.
2.55: Four-year-olds have won four of the last eight contests, with this year’s eight relevant declarations attempt to land a hat trick on behalf of the vintage. The pick of the bunch should prove to be PALMERS HILL and WHO’S MY JOCKEY. You can tell that the NH season is picking up now with Venetia Williams saddling a couple of runners on the card, her last winner having been registered back in April. Hold fire before you plunge into her runners however as since 2013, Venetia’s October ratio stands at 4/47, compared to that of 51/282 in November during the same period.
Favourite factor: Five of the last eight favourites have prevailed with market leaders coming to the gig on a four-timer on this occasion. All nine winners scored at 11/2 or less, whilst the only favourite not to reach the frame was clear of its other rivals in second place when coming to grief at the last hurdle.
3.30: TEMPLEROSS is on offer at 11/4 with a few firms at the time of writing, though I doubt that price will be available by the time that the shops open later this morning. As short as 2/1 with Coral, the Twiston-Davies representative ought to go very close to winning this event on the strength of his best form. You need to look at my Sunday Stat Attack column later this morning to see why trainer Evan Williams in highlighted, albeit the report does not relate to this meeting. Either way though, his Flemensfirth gelding AQUA DUDE could start what should be a profitable week for the popular handler to winning effect. It is hardly an original comment, but ALLEE BLEUE is the pick of the rest of the bunch from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: The only favourite (via four renewals) not to finish in the Placepot frame was the shortest priced jolly which was returned at 4/7. That scenario seems to occur far too often via my studies! Two (5/6 & 8/13) jollies have won their respective events.
Record of the course winner in the third event:
4.00: Four of the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-3 which eliminates Solway Dandy (via a potential jockey claim) and Muthabir from the equation, given my self-confessed tendencies. Jonjo O’Neill boasts just about the best record here at Uttoxeter so far this season and having saddled six recent winners, Jonjo will be optimistic that SPORTING BOY can go one better than when finishing second at Newton Abbot which was a half decent effort. OH LAND ABLOOM and WINTERFELL are feared most.
Favourite factor: Two (10/3 & 2/1) favourites have won via six contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 8/1. The four beaten market leaders all finished out of the frame.
4.35: Readers might call it a coincidence of course, though I am duty bound to report that eight-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals. I agree that this type of trend is ‘diluted’ when talking of horses older than four yhears of age from my viewpoint though that said, eight-year-olds take three of the leading four places in the market at the time of writing! AUDACIOUS PLAN, dual course winner BROWNVILLE and DERRINTOGHER BLISS should snare a couple of Placepot positions between them I fancy.
Favourite factor: Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have scored during the last 10 renewals, whilst eight of the thirteen jollies have reached the frame during the study period.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
2/4—Brownville (good & soft)
1/5—A Tail Of Intrigue (good)
1/1—Lunar Flow (heavy)
5.05: CORNER CREEK, WITHOUTDEFAVOURITE and IRISH OCTAVE will represent yours truly in the last leg of our favourite bet. Michael Scudamore and Tim Vaughan have saddled winners at this corresponding meeting in recent years and the first named pair (respectively) should go well accordingly despite their form figures. IRISH OCTIVE has the benefit of a three pound claimer in the plate following his recent Worcester success.
Favourite factor: The only favourite (of just three to date) to secure a Placepot position was last year’s winner at odds of 2/1.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Uttoxeter card on Sunday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
3 winners—Brian Ellison (0/3)
3—Lisa Harrison (1/6 – loss of 2 points)
3—Nigel Hawke (0/5)
3—Jonjo O’Neill (8/37 +6)
3—Tim Vaughan (0/7)
3—Evan Williams (2/15 +8)
2—Kim Bailey (1/6 – loss of 4 points)
2—Ollie Greenall (0/4)
2—Philip Hobbs (2/10 – loss of 5 points)
2—Kenny Johnson (0/2)
2—Neil King (0/6)
2—Donald McCain (1/9 – loss of 3 points)
2—Fergal O’Brien (4/11 +16)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/11 – loss of 3 points)
2—Venetia Williams (0/1)
+ 31 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
67 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kelso: £2,759.20 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced