SALISBURY – APRIL 30
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £40.10 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Salisbury:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Jumira Prince), 5 (See The Master) & 9 (Primadonia)
Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Del Parco) & 4 (Malcolm The Pug)
Leg 3 (3.00): 4 (Take Shelter) & 1 (Campion)
Leg 4 (3.30): 3 (Adamant), 4 (Elas Ruby) & 6 (Galactic Prince)
Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (Stone The Crows) & 2 (Nadaitak)
Leg 6 (4.30): 7 (Great And Small), 2 (The Tartan Spartan) & 6 (Paris Protocol)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: There is some interesting overnight money developing for PRIMADONIA who left the Hannon yard following just one run last year when trailing home last at Windsor in a race in which he was returned as favourite. The jury remains out, though it’s worth noting that Richard Hughes tries to pick up the pieces, the former jockey having ridden for the Hannon yard for so many season as son-in-law to Hannon senior. More obvious winners from what we have witnessed to date include JUMIRA PRINCE and SEE THE MASTER, given that the Irish raider Sharp Defence is omitted because of the skinny (5/4) odds on offer.
Favourite factor: Four of the last seven market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include two winning favourites.
2.30: Clive Cox has saddled two of his last four runners to winning effect and DEL PARCO can carry on the good work on behalf of the team. Moonwise could be anything representing the Ralph Beckett yard whose runners invariably go well at Salisbury, though lack of a run just offers MALCOLM THE PUG the call as the main threat to the selection.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening race on the card whereby the same stats apply.
3.00: It’s hardly surprising that Richard Hannon has declared three runners in his attempt to land a five-timer in the contest, the first of those four winners having been saddled by his dad. The pick of their trio this time around will hopefully prove to be CAMPION and HIGHLAND MARY. That said, James Tate went oh so close to landing a four-timer on Saturday when only a neck denied the trainer an even better day than he had. James has declared TAKE SHELTER with an obvious chance, the Harbour Watch filly being the only stable representative on the day.
Favourite factor: Five favourites have won during the last decade, whilst eight gold medallists scored at a top price of 8/1. The last five market leaders have all finished in the frame.
3.30: Nine of the last ten winners carried a minimum burden of nine stones which reduces the field from ten down to four if you take the weight stats seriously. It’s difficult to look beyond ADAMANT and ELAS RUBY in all honesty, especially from a Placepot perspective. That said, GALACTIC PRINCE could become a player if the forecast rain arrives on cue around lunch time. A soft ground winner here last season, Andrew Balding’s raider might need some juice in the ground to bring out his best though it’s worth noting that Andrew was the leading trainer here last year on the nine winner mark.
Favourite factor: Three favourites have won via the last eight renewals during which time, all eight gold medallists scored at a top price of 17/2. Five of the last ten market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the fourth race:
1/1—Viking Hoard (good to soft)
1/1—Galactic Prince (soft)
4.00: Eight of the last nine winners have carried 9-3 or more though unfortunately, that only eliminates one runner on this occasion. Roger Charlton has saddled four of his last five runners to winning effect whereby confidence will be high in the camp that STONE THE CROWS can score here en route to better things. Hamdan Al Maktoum’s Teofilo newcomer NADAITAK is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last eight winners have scored at a top price of 4/1, four of which were returned as favourites. Seven of the last eight market leaders have finished in the frame.
4.30: Four-year-olds have secured six renewals during the last decade which suggests that this year’s trio of vintage representatives will do from a Placepot perspective, namely GREAT AND SMALL, THE TARTAN SPARTAN and PARIS PROTOCOL. For the record, the threesome is offered in order of preference at the time of writing, from a value for money perspective at least.
Favourite factor: Eight winners have scored a top price of 8/1, statistics which include three successful favourites. Eight of the eleven market leaders secured Placepot positions during the study period.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Paris Protocol (good to soft)
1/3—Plymouth Sound (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Salisbury card on Sunday – followed by their ratio at the track last season + profits/losses accrued:
8 runners—RIchard Hannon (7/78 – loss of 17 points)
5—Rod Millman (2/33 – loss of 16 points)
5—John Patrick Shanahan (No runners)
4—Henry Candy (3/28 – loss of 11 points)
3—Andrew Balding (9/45 - loss of 1 point)
3—Ralph Beckett (6/34 – loss of 6 points)
3—David Elsworth (1/14 – loss of 11 points)
3—Richard Hughes (1/20 – loss of 18 points)
3—Sir Michael Stoute (5/18 – Profit of 6 points)
2—Mick Channon (2/30 – loss of 20 points)
2—Clive Cox (3/27 – loss of 15 points)
2—Paul Henderson (0/2)
2—Gary Moore (2/8 – Profit of 8 points)
2—Tony Newcombe (0/5)
2—John O’Shea (0/6)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
77 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Thirsk: £326.60 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced