PONTEFRACT - AUGUST 14
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £86.60 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (2.15): 2 (Computerable), 3 (Dusty Bin) & 9 (Gokena)
Leg 2 (2.45): 6 (Mainstream) & 7 (Regal Monarch)
Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Rocktherunway) & 1 (Tuscan Gold)
Leg 4 (3.45): 3 (Mehronissa), 2 (Imtiyaaz) & 9 (Priceless)
Leg 5 (4.20): 6 (Huntlaw), 5 (Zealous) & 2 (Drifting Spirit)
Leg 6 (4.50): 9 (Russian Finale) & 7 (Hilldale)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Pontefract - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: Kevin Ryan has won with three of the last seven runners he has saddled in this race, having secured a 16/1 bronze medal in one of the years when the trainer lost out from a win perspective. Kevin saddles two runners this time around, albeit both horses need to improve from their respective debuts to become involved in the finish, namely DUSTY BIN and GOKENA. That said, only COMPUTABLE stands out from the crowd with Tim Easterby's Compton Place colt attempting to make up for two recent beaten favourite assignments.
Favourite factor: Eight of the last 17 favourites have won, whilst 13 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the period.
Draw factor (five furlongs):
1-3-2 (8 ran-good to firm)
3-6-4 (8 ran-good)
1-3-2 (8 ran-good to firm)
5-2-4 (10 ran-good to firm)
1-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)
9-6-4 (9 ran-good)
3-1 (5 ran-good to firm)
1-6-4 (9 ran-good)
5-2-9 (9 ran-good)
3-9-4 (11 ran-good)
7-11-17 (18 ran-good to soft)
1-7 (7 ran-good to firm)
7-8-1 (11 ran-good to firm)
5-10-9 (13 ran-good to firm)
10-5-6 (15 ran-good to firm)
12-11-10 (13 ran-good to firm)
12-1-11 (12 ran-good)
2.45: Three-year-olds had won five of the previous seven contests before trainers took leave of their senses three years ago when no junior raiders were declared. A 9/2 chance snared the silver medal in 2014 for good measure alongside another silver medal representative twelve months ago. MAINSTREAM and REGAL MONARCH represent Sir Michael Stoute and Mark Johnston respectively, and we can (hopefully) look forward to the type of tussle that their runners used to offer up in three-year-old handicap races at main meetings for so many years.
Favourite factor: Six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won via fifteen renewals to date. Ten of the seventeen favourites have snared toteplacepot positions in the process.
3.15: 12 of the last 14 winners have carried weights of 8-10 or more whereby two of the 'dead eight' entries are eliminated this time around. The pick of the remaining runners will hopefully prove to be ROCKTHERUNWAY and course and distance winner TUSCAN GOLD. Last year's beaten favourite Riptide will be a popular order again no doubt, though I fancy the afore mentioned pair on these terms.
Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the last eighteen years, whilst 11 of the 20 market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions.
3.45: Four-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals, with MEHRONISSA preferred to IMTIYAAZ relating to two of this year's trio of vintage representatives. That said, there are some lively three-year-olds in the field and no mistake with yours truly opting for PRICELESS via half a dozen relevant declarations. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to LA RIOJA.
Favourite factor: Three favourites (including two odds on chances) have scored via seventeen renewals to date. That said, only two of the other fifteen market leaders have finished in the frame.
Draw factor (six furlongs):
3-9 (7 ran-good)
2-10-1 (10 ran-good)
7-2-1 (12 ran-good to firm)
11-7-14 (12 ran-good to firm)
1-2-9 (11 ran-good to firm)
6-3-5 (12 ran-good to firm)
11-2-10 (11 ran-good to soft)
12-2-7 (9 ran-good)
7-16-1 (17 ran-good)
8-4-6 (12 ran-good to soft)
1-4-3 (10 ran-good to firm)
12-6-4 (12 ran-good to firm)
7-9-8 (9 ran-good to firm)
9-8-11 (13 ran-good to firm)
3-5 (7 ran-good)
9-1 (7 ran-good to firm)
4.20: Nine of the last fourteen winners have carried weights of 8-13 or less and the trend could continue here via the relevant six 'qualifiers', namely HUNTLAW and ZEALOUS. That said, my eyes are also attracted to DRIFTING SPIRIT, even though Richard Fahey's raider sits 32 ounces above the 'superior' weight barrier.
Favourite factor: Four of the seventeen favourites have won to date, with eight market leaders securing toteplacepot positions in the process.
4.50: Three-year-olds have won 14 of the last 15 contests, though 'sporting' trainers are only conspicuous by their absence as no older horses have been entered in the Placepot finale. RUSSIAN FINALE would not have to step up too much on her debut effort here at this track to go close in this company/grade. Connections probably have most to fear from HILLDALE.
Favourite factor: 11 of the last 17 market leaders have obliged (beaten joint favourites were returned four years ago).
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Sunday:
4--Richard Fahey (7/43 at Pontefract this season - winners at 7/2-7/2-7/2***-11/2-6/1-10/1-14/1)
4--Mark Johnston (9/26 - winners priced between 3/10* & 4/1)
3--Michael Dos (0/22)
3--Tim Easterby (2/26 - winners at 16/1 & 8/1)
3--Alan Swinbank (1/10 - winner at 6/1)
2--Declan Carroll (1/4 - winner at 20/1)
2--Mick Channon (0/5)
2--David Nicholls (0/6)
2--Brian Ellison (1/13 - winner at 16/1)
2--Richard Guest (2/7 - winners at 12/1 & 11/1)
2--Micky Hammond (0/25)
2--Paul Midgley (1/16 - winner at 3/1)
2--Kevin Ryan (4/21 - winners at 16/1-7/1-7/4-13/8*)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
66 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Southwell (NH): £53.90 - 6 favourites - 5 winners & 1 unplaced
Pontefract overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.15:
0/12--Brian Ellison (Ashurst Beacon)
3/43--Tim Easterby (Computable)
6/39--Kevin Ryan (Dusty Bin & Gokena)
1/2--Declan Carroll (Justanotherbottle)
3/23--Mick Channon (Lightoller)
0/7--Nigel Tinker (Sheepscar Lad)
No runners--Chris Grant (Yellow Bird)
0/8--Paul Midgley (Emerald Secret)
0/7--Richard Guest (Nyx)
0/2--David Brown (Sky Gypsy)