Placepot pointers – Sunday August 28

GOODWOOD - AUGUST 28

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £30.90 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 4 placed - 1 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood: 

Leg 1 (2.05): 4 (Carducci) & 1 (Kuraka)

Leg 2 (2.35): 5 (Pastoral Star), 8 (Sweet Dream Lady) & 3 (Becca Campbell)

Leg 3 (3.10): 5 (You're Hired), 4 (In The Red) & 3 (New Caledonia)

Leg 4 (3.45): 6 (Pink Ribbon), 2 (Giovanni Di Bicci) & 3 (Stanley)

Leg 5 (4.20): 8 (Tashweeq) & 7 (So Beloved)

Leg 6 (4.55): 5 (Myopic) & 3 (Dawn Horizons)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.05: Richard Hannon Senior had a decent record in this event when he held the license, though 'Junior' has not been as fortunate, with an 8/15 chance turned over on behalf of the yard twelve months ago.  CARDUCCI is the relevant representative this time around and gradually, Richard's Poet's Voice filly is getting the hang of racing, so much so that she was only denied by a short head at Salisbury last time out.  Connections probably have the most to fear from Karl Burke's newcomer KURAKA and (possibly) SILVER CHIMES this time around.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have obliged via the last eleven years, albeit two 20/1 winners were also registered during the period.  Only three of the other eight market leaders since 2005 additionally secured a toteplacepot position.  Although last year's 8/15 market leader snared a Placepot position, it was by winning the relevent event.

2.35: I'm hoping that the selling stats below lead to you to finding the winner of the second race on the card, with PASTORAL STAR and SWEET DREAM LADY 'short listed' immediately after researching the figures.  Eve Johnson Houghton has her team in great form, whereby the chances of BECCA CAMPBELL and SPINNING PEARL are also respected.

Favourite factor: Four of the five market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three (2/5-10/11-7/4) winners.

Represented trainer records in selling events during the last five years at all tracks:

1/5--Daniel Kubler (Harry's Endeavour)

3/20--Jim Goldie (Picture Painter)

2/14--Eve Johnson Houghton (Becca Campbell & Spinning Pearl)

1/3--Amanda Perrett (Gabster)

5/23--Hughie Morrison (Pastoral Star)

0/12--Linda Jewell (Its A Sheila Thing)

7/30--Gary Moore (Sweet Dream Lady)

3.10: Horses carrying a maximum burden of 9-1 have secured nine of the ten available toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include all three four (11/1-9/1-8/1-7/2) winners.  If you believe in the stats, only YOU'RE HIRED, IN THE RED and NEW CALEDONIA can be considered, the trio being listed in order of preference at the overnight stage.   If you struggle with stats, I have little doubt that you will turn to FIDAAWY given the outstanding form of Sir Michael Stoute just now, notwithstanding his terrific figures at the track this season which you see below.

Favourite factor:  Three of the four favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions to date by securing silver medals.

Record of the course winner in the field:

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1/1--You're Hired (good to firm)

3.45: Regular readers will know I place as much emphasis on the pilots in these amateur rider races as much as the equine ‘stars‘ on parade (at the very least).  PINK RIBBON and GIOVANNI DI BICCI represent yours truly accordingly on this occasion. Five-year-olds have won all three renewals thus far, with STANLEY arguably being the pick of the trio of relevant raiders this time around.

Favourite factor: The first two favourites both scrambled into third place to claim toteplacepot positions, though last year's 9/2 market let the side down by finishing nearer last than first.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest:

1/2--Pink Ribbon (good)

1/3--Viictor's Bet (good)

4.20: Three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 5-4 via the last fourteen renewals, whilst ’Team’ Hannon have won with three of the last eight horses they have entered. Richard saddles COULSTY on this occasion, albeit many people will consider that SO BELOVED is almost a 'winner without a penalty' after a fine effort at York recently. It will have surprised many pundits that the official assessor has dropped David O'Meara's raider a pound despite SO BELOVED having been denied a clear run at a vital time of the relevant event.  Against that of course, is that David has been known to be in better form with his horses.  Three-year-old TASHWEEQ completes my trio against the other five contenders

Favourite factor: Nine renewals have slipped by since the last favourite prevailed though that said, whilst nine of the last sixteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include just two winners.

Record of the course winner in the line up in the fifth race:

1/4--So Beloved (soft)

4.55: Engage scored at the first time of asking but five subsequent efforts will have disappointed punters and connections alike. It is not difficult to opt for others accordingly, with MYOPIC and DAWN HORIZONS making slightly more appeal than Colonel Classic. Luca Cumani has enjoyed plenty of golden moments at this venue down the years and MYOPIC can be another winner for the ever popular trainer.

Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have finished in the money without winning their respective events.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Sunday:

4--Richard Hannon (7/50 at Goodwood this season - winners at 16/1-7/1-9/2-9/2*-7/2-3/1-3/1)

3--William Knight (1/16 winner at 10/3*)

3--Amanda Perrett (1/30 - winner at 9/1)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (8/24 - winners at 8/1-9/2-5/2*-9/4*-2/1*-15/8-7/4*-13/8*)

2--Michael Attwater (0/8)

2--John Bridger (1/14 - winner at 7/4*)

2--Mick Channon (4/33 - winners at 16/1-7/2*-5/2*-9/4*)

2--Jim Goldie (---)

2--John Gosden (3/17 - winners at 9/2-6/5*-10/11*)

2--Eve Johnson Houghton (0/15)

2--Pat Phelan (---)

+ 31 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

58 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Beverley: £8.50 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced

Yarmouth: £32.30 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 placed

 

Goodwood overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.05 (stats compiled before Saturday's sport was contested):

2.05:

0/3--Kark Burke (Kuraka)

No runners--Adam West (Nip Down The Jug)

No runners--Mark Hoad (Ultimat Power)

15/103--Richard Hannon (Carducci)

9/89--Mick Channon (Pavela)

1/14--Williams Knight (Silver Chimes)

No runners--Pat Phelan (Peloton)

 

 

 

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