Placepot pointers – Sunday August 7

LEICESTER - AUGUST 7

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £39.70 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Leicester: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Dance Alone), 4 (Take Charge) & 3 (Bahamian Sunshine)

Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Zainholm), 1 (Mr Tyrrell) & 4 (Berengaria)

Leg 3 (3.00): 2 (Boutan) & 3 (Smart Mover)

Leg 4 (3.30): 4 (His Kyllachy) & 5 (Paling)

Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (Mustallib), 2 (Vibrant Chords) & 2 (Toriano)

Leg 6 (4.30): 2 (Jack The Laird) & 5 (Very First Blade)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Leicester - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: The five winners have been returned at 25/1-20/1-15/2-5/1-9/2-13/8, whereby you might care to take a longer look at the race than you might have planned.  Four of the six gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 8-13 which goes against the bottom weight on this occasion.  Kevin Ryan has his team in great nick just now which might allow his top weighted raider DANCE ALONE to break the maiden tag at the eleventh time of asking in a race which should not prove difficult to win. Connections might have most to worry about from TAKE CHARGE (David Brown) and BAHAMIAN SUNSHINE (Richard Fahey).  That said, it might be worth checking on Richard Fahey's weekend record because at the time of writing (Saturday morning), Fahey's last 33 runners had all been beaten.

Favourite factor:  Four of the six favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one 13/8 winner.

Record of course winners in the opening race

1/2--Case Key (good)

1/1--Bahamian Sunshine (heavy)

2.30: Via a process of elimination, it seems as though Sir Michael Stoute has unearthed a decent chance for his Street Cry newcome ZAINHOLM in this grade/company, the other four experienced runners only having pulled up the odd branch of a tree here and there.  The pick of those raiders should prove to be MR TYRRELL and BERENGARIA.  ZAINHOLM does not have any fancy entries to offer but Sir Michael would surely be disappointed if his March Colt failed to become competitive.

Favourite factor:  Seven of the eighteen favourites have won to date, though nine of the other eleven market leaders finished out of the frame.

3.00: Four-year-olds lead their juniors 12-4 in years from a win perspective in a race confined to the two vintages.  Toteplacepot stats: Three-years-olds 14/95 (14.7%)---Four-year-olds 31/98 (31.6%) via sixteen renewals to date. That said, the three-year-olds look to have the call this time around with MECCA'S MISSUS and course and distance winners BOUTAN and SMART MOVER having been declared.

Favourite factor: Six favourites have prevailed, whilst 18 of the 21 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, though it should be noted that horses have been beaten (from a win perspective) at odds of 1/2 and 4/6 during the study period.

Record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

2/3--Boutan (good & good to firm)

1/1--Smart Mover (soft)

3.30: Three-year-olds come to the gig on an eight timer, with the two older horses looking to have plenty to do at the weights this time around.  William Haggas can do precious little wrong at present (ratio of 9/18 between last Monday & Friday) where as you might expect, HIS KYLLACHY is the first name on the team sheet.  PALING and CAPE BANJO also deserve their respective places in the field.

Favourite factor:  Five favourites have won via ten renewals during the last thirteen years. Eight of the eleven market leaders during the study period secured toteplacepot positions, whilst the biggest priced winner was returned at 9/1.

Record of the course winner in the fourth race:

1/1--Daisy Boy (good to firm)

4.00: Horses carrying a minimum weight of 8-13 have secured 13 of the 15 available toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include five of the six winners at 12/1-8/1-7/1-6/1-9/2.  Three horses are eliminated via the weight stats on this occasion, with the remaining five declarations hopefully being led home by MUSTALLIB, VIBRANT CHORDS and (arguably) TORIANO in this 'dead eight' contest.

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Favourite factor: The eight market leaders to date (via six renewals) have produced just four silver medals and one of the bronze variety between them thus far.

4.30: Five different vintages have won this event,  with no clues forthcoming from handicap marks or successful trainers.  All in all, the six runners could produce any result it seems, though with the Dean Ivory yard in good form, this seems to be an opportunity for JACK THE LAIRD to get his head in front again following three recent silver medal efforts.  Connections might have most to fear from VERY FIRST BLADE and NOBLE ACT.

Favourite factor:  We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals, with only two of the five market leaders having finished in the frame (exact science) thus far.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/3--David's Beauty (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Sunday:

3--David Brown (1/4 at Leicester this season - winner at 11/1)

3--Mark Johnston (0/11)

2--Michael Appleby (1/14 - winner at 9/1)

2--Brian Baugh (1/3 - winner at 3/1)

2--Ralph Beckett (2/5 - winners at 3/1 & 5/2)

2--Michael Dods (0/2)

2--Richard Hannon (5/24 - winners at 12/1-5/1-5/2-7/4-6/4*)

2--Gary Moore (---)

2--Stuart Williams (0/5)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

49 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Windsor: £26.00 - No winners - 4 placed - 2 unplaced

The Chelmsford meeting is a new fixture on the calendar

 

Leicester overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.30:

10/52--Richard Hannon (Mr Tyrrell)

1/13--David Brown (Trading Punches)

5/25--Sir Michael Stoute (Zainhom)

7/51--Mark Johnston (Berengaria)

No runners--Mrs Ilka Gensera-Leveque (Cambridge Favourite)

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