Placepot pointers – Sunday December 11

CARLISLE - DECEMBER 11

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £90.10 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Carlisle: 

Leg 1 (12.00): 3 (Compadre), 7 (Katara Bay) & 10 (Testify)

Leg 2 (12.30): 2 (Freddie’s Portrait), 4 (Halcyon Days) & 8 (Storm Alert)

Leg 3 (1.05): 1 (Above Board) & 4 (Front At The Last)

Leg 4 (1.35): 2 (Saroque), 6 (Fill The Power) & 4 (Cyclop)

Leg 5 (2.10): 2 (Gevrey Chambertin) & 5 (One For Harry)

Leg 6 (2.40): 3 (Fionn Mac Cul) & 1 (Lake View Lad)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.00: With eight successful units of the Cheltenham (£119.70) Placepot yesterday, I can approach Sunday’s card with a little more confidence, a factor which invariably makes all the difference. Five-year-olds have secured seven of the 12 available toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include three of the five winners.  Jonjo O’Neill’s horses are running a lot better now (five of his last seventeen runners had won before Saturday’s sport was contested) and having saddled the winner of event twelve months ago, Jonjo could double up with his five-year-old raider COMPADRE.  The Venetia Williams representative KATARA BAY was a beaten favourite on his debut at Warwick and can only run a better race here, whilst TESTIFY completes my trio against the field.
Favourite factor: Five of the six (odds on) favourites have won their respective events to date.  Last year’s 10/11 market leader reached the frame behind the second favourite which won at 10/3.

12.30: Like Jonjo, Donald McCain’s inmates have (seemingly) emerged from a quiet spell whereby FREDDIE’S PORTRAIT is given an each way/Placepot chance here, with connections possibly having most to fear from HALCYON DAYS and STORM ALERT.  Rebecca Menzies (Halcyon Days) is enjoying a purple patch and Wednesday’s Hexham (heavy ground) winner should figure prominently again if the seven-year-old has recovered from his exertions.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Carlisle card.

1.05: Five-year-olds have secured 11 of the 12 available toteplacepot positions (via 70% of the total number of runners), statistics which include all five (15/2--9/2—4/9--8/15--1/5) winners.  Jonjo O’Neill seems to like ‘educating’ his young chasers at this venue and ABOVE BOARD is certainly an interesting recruit to races over the bigger obstacles.  That said, Donald McCain has saddled two winners and a runner up via the last three renewals when represented, whereby the chance of FRONT AT THE LAST is also respected.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have gained Placepot positions by winning their respective events.

1.35: Although a well beaten favourite at Haydock last out, SAROQUE disappointed in a much better race that day and with conditions probably to his liking here, the nine-year-old can return to winning ways for the Venetia Williams team.  A four time winner (two each on soft and heavy ground), SAROQUE might have to repel challenges from the likes of FILL THE POWER and CYCLOP at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Carlisle programme.

Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/2—Ballyben (soft)

1/5—Fill The Power (good)

5/12—Basford Ben (2 x good – 2 x soft & heavy)

2.10: David Pipe (GEVREY CHAMBERTIN) and Nicky Richards (ONE FOR HARRY) have their respective teams running well and as both horses have won at this venue under the prevailing conditions, this pair should see us safely through to the Placepot finale if we were live going into this penultimate leg.
Favourite factor: Only one of the three marker leaders (winner at 3/1) has secured a Placepot position to date.

Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/1—Gevrey Chambertin (soft)

1/3—Shades Of Midnight (soft)

2/3—Knockara Beau (soft & heavy)

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2/5—One For Harry (good to soft & soft)

1/4—Milborough (soft)

2.40: Owner Trevor Hemmings loves greeting winners in the north-west and Venetia Williams could be saddling her second winner on the card having declared FIONN MAC CUL.  99.9% of Venetia’s inmates seem to appreciate plenty of moisture in the turf and having scored here on his only previous visit, the five-year-old (joint youngest horse in the line-up) can maintain his unbeaten record at Carlisle.  LAKE VIEW LAD is preferred to Revocation As the main threat.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have obliged thus far at 11/8 & 11/10, whilst last year’s 11/8 market leader finished second in the four runner (win only) contest.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/1—Fionn Mac Cul (heavy)

1/2—Captain Redbeard (soft)

1/2—Palm Grey (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Carlisle card on Sunday followed by their seasonal stats + profits/losses accrued:

5 runners—Jenny Candlish (1/6 – slight loss)

4—Donald McCain (5/22 – Profit of 3 points)

4—Neil Mulholland (No runners)

4—Lucinda Russell (0/15)

3—Venetia Williams (No runners)

2—Nick Alexander (0/8)

2—Stuart Coltherd (0/3)

2—Keith Dalgleish (1/1 – Profit of 1 point)

2—Sue Gardner (No runners)

2—Micky Hammond (0/7)

2—Ben Haslam (0/1)

2—Iain Jardine (1/3 – Profit of 3 points)

2—Malcolm Jefferson (5/9 – Profit of 6 points)

2—Bruce McTaggart (No runners)

2—Rebecca Menzies (0/3)

2—Jonjo O’Neill (0/4)

2—David Pipe (0/1)

2—Katy Price (No runners)

2—Nicky Richards (0/9)

2—Sue Smith (2/14 – Profit of 2 points)

+ 17 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

67 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Southwell (NH): £53.90 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced

 

 

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