LEICESTER – DECEMBER 3
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £32.80 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (12.40): 1 (Coolanly), 4 (High Noon) & 10 (Vinndication)
Leg 2 (1.10): 2 (Octagon) & 4 (Clock On Tom)
Leg 3 (1.45): 3 (Fox Appeal), 5 (Astracad) & 6 (Grandads Horse)
Leg 4 (2.15): 2 (Oregan Gold), 6 (Belgammois) & 7 (Win Place And Sho)
Leg 5 (2.50): 3 (Grand Coureur) & 8 (Larkhall)
Leg 6 (3.20): 10 (Mahlerdramatic), 1 (Megabucks) & 3 (Western Wave)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.40: Five-year-olds have won nine of the last thirteen renewals, whereby the declaration of just two vintage representatives is baffling to say the least! Both COOLANLY and HIGH NOON are included in my Placepot mix as you might imagine. If the vintage raiders fail to deliver the goods this time around, VINNDICATION could prove to be the joker in the pack following a half decent Ludlow victory on debut in a bumper event.
Favourite factor: Eight clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won this race via 16 renewals during the last 18 years. 13 of the 17 jollies have finished in the frame. All 16 winners started at odds of 17/2 or less during the study period.
1.10: Seven-year-olds have won six of the thirteen renewals during the last fifteen years, whilst ten of the last eleven winners having carried a maximum burden of 11-3. Last year’s 5/1 winner (Trapper Peak) was the only vintage raider (as highlighted at the time) and though three relevant declarations are in place today, OCTAGON should prove to be the pick, albeit he carries two pounds more than the ideal burden according to the trends. Course winner CLOCK ON TOM could be the forecast call if that’s the way you want to play the contest.
Favourite factor: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have scored during the study period. 11 of the 14 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/2—Clock On Tom (good to soft)
1.45: Leicester can feel a little aggrieved that this new event for veterans has attracted just six runners, far fewer than is normally the case in these popular races. Upwards and onward in positive mode however by suggesting that FOX APPEAL, GRANDADS HORSE and ASTRACAD can keep us on track regarding our favourite wager. ASTRACAD has a decent pull in the weights against The Romford Pele on recent Aintree form, whilst that latter named raider has hardly been the most consistent of individuals down the years, albeit he won on debut for a new yard the last day.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Leicester card.
2.15: If you had to pick out one race which could upset the Placepot applecart on Sunday, this would be the one. Speculative selections have to be considered and OREGAN GOLD is the first name on the team sheet, whilst 28/1 chance BELGAMMOIS in not entirely ruled out of the equation. A more logical winner in the line up is WIN PLACE AND SHO from my viewpoint. Let’s hope that my ‘speculation’ is rewarded!
Favourite factor: The inaugural 6/4 favourite snared a toteplacepot position when finished second behind the 6/1 winner, before last year’s 7/2 favourite prevailed.
Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:
1/3—Catching Time (heavy)
2.50: The last two winners of the penultimate leg have won at 25/1 and 20/1 and though LARKHALL will not be that type of price this afternoon, James Bowen’s mount can give each way investors a decent run for their money at around the 9/1 mark. That said, GRAND COUREUR has realistic claims of being the first favourite to oblige in this event at the sixth time of asking.
Favourite factor: Three of the five market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions having finished second in their respective events.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race:
1/6—Bally Lagan (good)
1/3—Fingers Crossed (heavy)
1/2—Finnegan’s Garden (soft)
1/5—Larkhill (good to firm)
3.20: Bookmakers must be rubbing their hands this morning in anticipation of a potentially lucrative ‘getting out stakes’ in which punters will probably need more than their fair share to successfully name the winner. I can only become interested from a Placepot perspective, offering MAHLERDRAMATIC, MEGABUCKS and WESTERN WAVE against the field.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is another new contest on the programme.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Sunday – followed by their stats at the track this season and Profits/losses to level stakes:
No trainer has more than two runners on today’s card
56 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: Meeting abandoned