EXETER – FEBRUARY 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £1,080.70 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Exeter:
Leg 1 (1.50): 1 (Fly Camp), 2 (Misterton) & 3 (Mr Clarkson)
Leg 2 (2.20): 1 (Finian’s Oscar) & 3 (Whatmore)
Leg 3 (2.50): 4 (Ballymalin), 14 (Eamon An Cnoic) & 2 (Barney Dwan)
Leg 4 (3.20): 4 (Harry Topper), 8 (Whats Happening) & 11 (Shotavodka)
Leg 5 (3.50): 4 (Tea For Two) & 1 (Alary)
Leg 6 (4.20): 4 (Gala Ball), 1 (Charmix) & 6 (Minella Charmer)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: First and foremost I must offer apologies for the delayed brief analysis today due to illness. Upwards and onward by suggesting that this is a typical Exeter novice hurdle event which includes plenty of horses with decent careers in the making. Leading the way this time around are FLY CAMP, MISTERTON and MR CLARKSON. Harry Fry (MISTERTON) comes into the race on a hat trick, though his six-year-old has serious rivals to overcome. That said, six-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests.
Favourite factor: Four renewals have passed without a winner favourites being recorded since back to back marlet leaders obliged in 2010/11.
Record the course winner in the opening race:
2/2—Mr Clarkson (2 x soft)
2.20: Five-year-olds have won five of the last six renewals, with the penultimate stage entry FINIAN’S OSCAR having scared off most of the rivals which might have extended Colin Tizzard’s rising star. WHATMORE is expected to chase home the favourite, albeit at a distance which is difficult to predict. My guess; eight lengths!
Favourite factor: Market leaders have claimed five of the last seven renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner scored at 9/2.
2.50: The most open race on the card by a country mile from my viewpoint and if you make it through this leg, you might well land the Placepot dividend I’ll wager. My trio against the field consists of BALLYMALIN, EAMON AN CNOIC and BARNEY DWAN. One of the other points to raise in the return to the track of Red Sherlock after a break of three years. David Pipe’s representative was a horse of immense potential and it would be good to witness the eight-year-old getting safely round whilst showing some of his old ability.
Favourite factor: All three favourites have finished out with the washing thus far in a race which witnessed Uknowhatimeanharry winning off an official mark of 138. Harry Fry’s raider having won at Cheltenham recently 29 pounds higher in the weights!
Record the course winner in the third on the card:
2/5—Fingal Bay (2 x heavy)
3.20: Another in the series of the popular races for veterans for steeplechasers hoping to extend their successful careers, albeit at a lower level than once was the case. Dual course and distance winner HARRY TOPPER is my idea of the value for money each way call in the contest, whilst also suggesting that WHATS HAPPENING and SHOTAVODKA should give investors a decent run for their respective connections.
Favourite factor: Both favourite have prevailed thus far.
Record the course winner in the fourth event:
2/2—Harry Topper (good to soft & heavy)
2/3—Masters Hill (2 x good to soft)
2/5—Theatrical Star (good & heavy)
1/4—As De Fer (heavy)
3.50: Eight and nine-year-olds have (equally) secured four of the five renewals between them, stats which go against ALARY, though Colin Tizzard’s raider appears to be the main threat to TEA FOR TWO.
Favourite factor: Only two of the five market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (5/2) gold medallist. That said, two of the beaten favourites perished in ‘win only’ events.
Record the course winner in the penultimate leg:
1/2—Carraig Mor (good to soft)
2/2—Tea For Two (good & heavy)
4.20: GALA MIX looks to have a decent chance though I must report that trainer Philip Hobbs was responsible for three beaten favourites on the corresponding card last year. CHARMIX and MINELLA CHARMER are the potential jokers in the pack this time around.
Favourite factor: Twwo of the four favourites have finished in the frame (one winner) in the Placepot finale to date.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Sunday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
9 runners—David Pipe (3/23 – loss of 13 points)
4—Harry Fry (6/15 – Profit of 13 points)
4—Tom George (1/9 – Profit of 2 points)
4—Philip Hobbs (4/27 – loss of 17 points)
4—Alan King (3/10 – Profit of 5 points)
4—Colin Tizzard (3/16 – loss of 4 points)
3—Peter Bowen (0/6)
3—Nigel Hawke (1/9 – loss of 5 points)
3—Fergal O’Brien (1/4 – loss of 1 point)
2—Kim Baily (0/7)
2—Nigel Henderson (1/5 – Profit of 6 points)
2—Neil Mulholland (0/8)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (1/5 (Profit of 4 points)
2—Evan Williams (3/5 – Profit of 10 points)
2—Nick Williams (0/4)
2—Richard Woolacott (0/12)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
76 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
There is no history relating to the meeting at Sedgefield