SALISBURY – JUNE 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £4.00 (6 favourites: 5 winners & 1 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Salisbury:
Leg 1 (2.15): 3 (Red Cardinal) & 2 (Agent Gibbs)
Leg 2 (2.45): 7 (Desert Command), 2 (King Crimson) & 3 (Noble Asset)
Leg 3 (3.15): 12 (Tangba), 14 (Trainnah) & 4 (Tenerezza)
Leg 4 (3.45): 3 (Charming Thought) & 11 (Strath Burn)
Leg 5 (4.20): 3 (Curve Ball) & 9 (Zebby Sizz)
Leg 6 (4.55): 3 (Secret Insider), 5 (Greenfyre) & 6 (Stars N Angels)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page (includes 'whetting the appetite for Royal Ascot' stats)
2.15: Four-year-olds have won seven of the ten renewals, yet vintage representatives were conspicuous only by their absence two years ago which make the stats even more impressive. The last nine gold medallists were burdened with a minimum weight of nine stones whereby four-year-old declarations RED CARDINAL and AGENT GIBBS stand out from the 'six strong crowd' in this 'short field' opening contest. The duo are listed in order or preference at the overnight stage. New readers might want to know that the term 'short field' relates to five/six/seven runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify for each way/Placepot purposes.
Favourite factor: Seven of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include five winners.
2.45: The last fourteen winners have all carried weights of 9-4 or more whilst 11 of the last 12 gold medallists were burdened with at least 9-10. It is interesting to note that Andrew Balding is not represented this year as he saddled DESERT COMMAND to victory in the contest twelve months ago, the six-year-old now being in the care of sprint king Robert Cowell. Among the higher weighted entries are KING CRIMSON and NOBLE ASSET who should both figure prominently in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: 12/23 favourites have reached the frame, statistics which include four three winners. Eight of the eighteen winners during the study period were returned in double figures.
3.15: At least four horses in the line up ran well on their respective (three-year-old) debuts and the pick of them might prove to be TANGBA for Roger Varian who has saddled two of his five runners at Salisbury to winning effect this season at odds of 14/1 and 11/2. Roger's Dansili representative might offer better value for money than the likes of TRAINNAH and ECUREUIL. David Lanigan's TENEREZZA could outrun his odds.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Salisbury card.
3.45: Recent winners of this Listed race include Sakhee’s Secret, Etlaala, Moss Vale, Libranno, Avonbridge and Professor, notwithstanding last year's gold medallist ABSOLUTELY SO. ’Team Hannon’ have won five of the last eight renewals which is a terrific record, especially as Richard was not involved in two of the ‘missing years’ whilst securing two silver medals and a bronze on other occasions. Richard's BURNT SUGAR has a bit to prove according to the official figures but I am not ignoring his each way claims by any means. CHARMING THOUGHT is the dark horse in the contest as we have not seen the 'Middle Park' (soft ground) winner for the thick end of two years now. Charlie Appleby's winner is not 'one dimensional' by any means, having gained his two previous juvenile success under fast conditions. STRATH BURN is the other potential winner of the race from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Nine of the fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three successful market leaders), whilst the biggest priced winner to date was returned at 18/1 two years ago. Seven winners during the last twelve years scored at a top price of 9/2.
4.20: FARLEIGH MAC could prove to be the pick of the runners with experience with a run under his belt (beaten five lengths on debut as an unconsidered 33/1 chance), though it would be a little disappointing if one of the newcomers failed to land the contest. The leading principles should prove to be CURVE BALL and ZEBBY SIZZ from what I have heard/read.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Salisbury card via the 'novice route' which the BHA introduced this season.
4.55: Three-year-olds have won five of the last six contests with vintage representative coming to the gig on a five time on this occasion. SECRET INSIDER might lead home GREENFYRE and STARS N ANGELS this time around. Don't forget to drop down to the overview if you have not already done so.
Favourite factor: Four of the last six favourites have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which two winners.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Salisbury card on Sunday:
5--David Simcock (9/29 at Salisbury during the last five years)
4--Andrew Balding (22/151)
3--David Evans (14/104)
3--Richard Hannon (35/202)
3--Charlie Hills (7/70)
2--Michael Appleby (0/7)
2--Mick Channon (10/124)
2--Robert Cowell (0/6)
2--Sylvester Kirk (4/80)
2--David Lanigan (3/15)
2--Brian Meehan (1/43)
2--Rod Millman (11/106)
2--Hugo Palmer (2/10)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (12/74)
2--Ian Williams (5/26)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
66 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividend at Doncaster last year:
£198.80 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Whetting your appetite for Royal Ascot next week:
Only Aidan O'Brien landed doubles on any one day (twice) in 2016:
Day 1 (Tuesday): 8/1 (5/1 & 8/15*)
Day 3 (Thursday): 142/1 (12/1 & 10/1)
The only day on which Aidan has failed to land a double during the last five years is on the Friday of the meeting, with John Gosden ruling that particular roost.
John has saddled six winners on the Friday of the meeting during the study period, including a 142/1 treble in 2012 & a 47/1 double in 2011.
The time is ticking down to Royal Ascot - it won't be long now!