SALISBURY – JUNE 18
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £27.70 (6 favourites: 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Salisbury:
Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Pow Wow) & 2 (Eolian)
Leg 2 (2.45): 2 (Justice Lady), 5 (Shackled N Drawn) & 4 (Mr Pocket)
Leg 3 (3.15): 5 (Nathalie), 3 (Line Of Beauty), 4 (Mahabba) & 7 (Opera Queen)
Leg 4 (3.45): 10 (Eqtiraan), 4 (Mr Lupton) & 2 (Dark Shot)
Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (Luna Eclipse) & 5 (Shabaaby)
Leg 6 (4.45): 5 (Bassmah) & 7 (Tai Hang Dragon)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday (Including some Royal Ascot stats to digest) - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: With four of Roger Charlton’s last six runners having run (no inmates were on show on Saturday), POW WOW should take the beating having scored over course and distance on similarly quick ground just three weeks ago. EOLIAN flopped when returned as an even money favourite last time out, though this faster ground should enable Andrew Balding’s runner to reach the frame at the very least on this occasion.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Salisbury card with which to open proceedings.
Record of the course winner in the opening race:
1/1—Pow Wow (good to firm)
2.45: Four-year-olds have won seven of the eleven renewals, yet vintage representatives were conspicuous only by their absence three years ago which make the stats even more impressive. The last ten gold medallists were burdened with a minimum weight of nine stones whereby four-year-old JUSTICE LADY jumps off the page being the only vintage representative in the field, whilst hailing from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap. SHACKLED N DRAWN and MR ROCKET might offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Eight of the eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six winners.
Record of the course winner in the second event:
1/6—Waseem Faris (good to firm)
1/2—Justice Lady (good to firm)
3.15: There will be worse 33/1 chances that OPERA QUEEN on the card I’ll wager though I appreciate that more likely winners include NATHALIE and possibly the two newcomers, namely LINE OF BEAUTY and MAHABBA. I don’t believe the race is as cut and dried between the two market principles as the betting suggests at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 15/8 favourite snared the bronze medal and a Placepot position when finishing behind horses which were returned at 14/1 & 7/1.
3.45: Recent winners of this Listed race include Sakhee’s Secret, Etlaala, Moss Vale, Libranno and Avonbridge. ’Team Hannon’ have won five of the last nine renewals which is a terrific record, especially as Richard was not involved in two of the ‘missing years’ whilst securing two silver medals and a bronze on other occasions. Stable representative EQTIRAAN is the only three-year-old in the field though a couple of juniors have won this race in recent years, one of which (Professor) hailed from the Hannon ranch. Richard Fahey saddled last year’s winner with MR LUPTON attempting the double on behalf of the stable, whilst DARK SHOT is the pick of the outsiders from my perspective.
Favourite factor: Ten of the sixteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three successful market leaders), whilst the biggest priced winner to date was returned at 18/1 three years ago. Eight winners during the last thirteen years scored at a top price of 9/2.
Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:
1/3—Pixieleen (good to firm)
4.15: Last year’s first named horse (Farleigh Mac) won at 6/1 and hoping to double up I’m opting for stable companion LUNA ECLIPSE to score for Andrew Blading who has some interesting runners on the card. Andrew’s Bahamian Bounty colt should enjoy this longer trip have put in all of his best finish ‘late doors’ on his debut here recently. Billesdon Brook offers little (or no) value for money according to the gospel of yours truly, preferring newcomers SHABAABY and (possibly) ALBA POWER instead, especially from a Placepot perspective.
Favourite factor: This was another new race on the Salisbury card last year via the 'novice route' which the BHA introduced fifteen months ago. The relevant market leader finished just out of the frame having been sent off at 11/4.
4.55: Three-year-olds have won seven of the last nine contests with vintage representative coming to the gig on a six-timer on this occasion. Three-year-olds are on offer at around the 4/9 mark before the form book is brought into the equation, with BASSMAH and TAI HANG DRAGON heading the seven representatives this time around.
Favourite factor: Five of the last seven favourites have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which three winners which were all returned at 13/8.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Dynamic Girl (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Salisbury card on Sunday followed by their ratios at the track this season:
5 runners—Andrew Balding (2/8 – Profit of 6 points to level stakes)
5—Richard Hannon (2/20 – loss of 12 points)
3—Malcolm Saunders (0/6)
2—Michael Blanshard (0/3)
2—Tony Carroll (0/3)
2—Clive Cox (2/8 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Richard Fahey (No previous runners this at Salisbury season)
2—Hugo Palmer (0/2)
2—Brendan Powell (0/2)
+ 37 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
62 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividend at Doncaster last year:
£70.00 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Whetting your appetite for Royal Ascot next week –I f you need convincing that one trainer needs to be followed, this should be all you need to know!
Only Aidan O'Brien landed doubles on any one day (three times) in 2016:
Day 3 (Thursday): 9/2 (10/11* & 8/15*)
Day 4 (Friday): 577/1 (33/1 & 16/1)
Day 5 (Saturday): 12/1 (7/1 & 8/11*)
Only Aidan O'Brien landed doubles on any one day (twice) in 2015:
Day 1 (Tuesday): 8/1 (5/1 & 8/15*)
Day 3 (Thursday): 142/1 (12/1 & 10/1)
Sir Michael Stoute intervened in 2014 when landing a 9/1 double on the final day of the meeting (11/4* & 7/4*), though only after Aidan O’Brien had set the ball rolling with a 20/1 double on the Thursday (10/1 & 10/11*) that week!
The time is ticking down to Royal Ascot - it won't be long now!