PONTEFRACT – JUNE 19
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £4,393.30 (6 favourites: 2 winners & 4 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (2.10): 6 (Panther In Pink), 10 (Vaulted) & 8 (Rainbow Chimes)
Leg 2 (2.40): 5 (Pastoral Music), 1 (Pumblechook) & 3 (Waiting For Richie)
Leg 3 (3.10): 7 (Banksea) & 6 (Invictus)
Leg 4 (3.40): 6 (Loving Things) & 1 (Barsanti)
Leg 5 (4.10): 8 (Stanarley Pic), 5 (Waterclock) & 4 (See And Be Seen)
Leg 6 (4.40): 5 (Simply Shining) & 2 (Persun)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: If you look at the foot of the column, you might be surprised to note how well Ann Duffield has done with her juveniles here at Pontefract during the last five years and with two representatives this time around (PANTHER IN THE PINK and RAINBOW CHIMES), this underrated trainer could improve her 17% ratio further still. PANTHER IN THE PINK is a Zebedee raider who should be ready at the first time of asking, whereas Ann's Galileo representative RAINBOW CHIMES will get a distance of ground in time though that said, the booking of champion jockey Silvestre De Sousa catches the eye. On the other hand, the pair have teamed up before with a 1/14 stat in place before Sunday's sport is contested. Other potential winners in the race include VAULTED (Richard Fahey) and FANCY DAY (Mark Johnston).
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings post Royal Ascot.
2.40: Only five runners line up for the second race on the card and it would come as no surprise whichever of the declarations prevailed. The five runners have contested seven races without posting a score between them which emphasises my point. PASTORAL MUSIC and (possibly) PUMBLECHOOK appear to be the pick of the experienced raiders, though it is perfectly plausible to envisage a victory for Tom Tate's newcomer WAITING FOR RICHIE.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/11 market leader could only finish second to a 16/1 chance in a 'short field' contest two years ago before last year’s 10/11 favourite finished last of three.
3.10: Only fifteen three-year-olds have contested this event to date, producing two winners, three seconds, two thirds and three fourth placed efforts in the process, whilst all ten winners have carried nine stones or more. BANKSEA is the lone junior representative this time around and with four-year-olds having won three of the last four contests, DARSHINI and INVICTUS should figure prominently. BANKSEA hails from the Luca Cumani yard which enjoys a 38& strike rate at the track during the last five years, ratios which increase to 44% (7/16) with his three-year-olds.
Favourite factor: Eight of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners) via ten renewals to date.
Record of course winners in the third race:
2/3--Dance King (good to firm & good to soft)
3.40: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 6-4 during the last decade and having pinned my faith in the Cumani stable in the previous race for reasons which the stats explain, I have to home in on their four-year old representative LOVING THINGS on this occasion. BARSANTI and SWEEPING UP (form a toteplacepot perspective) also have to be included in the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: Seven of the eleven market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners.
4.10: I have made reference to these Pontefract staying events plenty of times, but I reiterate that this contest resembles a graded greyhound race with the greatest respect to our canine friends, whereby horses go into the traps shaking hooves, begging the question, whose turn is it to win today? That said, the first mentioned horse three years scored at 10/1 which renewed my enthusiasm for these contests! Upwards and onward by declaring that STANARLEY PIC, SEE AND BE SEEN and WATERCLOCK will represent yours truly in my Placepot permutation on Sunday. From a win perspective, the first named Alan Swinbank raider makes most appeal, especially as Alan's runners are hitting the target with some regularity now.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. statistics which include three favourites who prevailed during the study period.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest:
1/1--Win Place & Sho (good to soft)
1/3--Bulas Belle (good to firm)
1/1--See And Be Seen (good)
1/1--Almost Gemini (heavy)
2/21--Riptide (good & good to firm)
2/13--Madam Lilibet (soft & heavy)
4.40: Richard Fahey saddled the first winner of this event twelve months ago and the trainer has employed the services of seven pound claimer Adam McNamara to reduce the burden of SIMPLY SHINING to a potential weight of nine stones, just sixteen ounces short of what last year's winner carried to victory. Indeed, the vast majority of handicap winners for Richard Fahey over the last twenty odd years of studying races have carried this type of weight (or less) which suggests that the six-year-old will be included in my overnight mix. PERSUN is marginally preferred to CADMIUM as the main threat to the selection.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 2/1 favourite missed out on a Placepot position by finishing third in a five runner contest.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Sunday:
5--David O'Meara (0/11 at Pontefract this season)
4--Richard Fahey (4/17 - winners at 11/2-7/2*-7/2**-7/2)
4--Micky Hammond (0/12)
3--Ann Duffield (0/2)
3--Mark Johnston (5/11 - winners at 4/1-11/4-11/4-7/4*-3/10*)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (2/5 - winners at 7/2 & 10/11*)
2--Mick Channon (---)
2--Luca Cumani (0/1)
2--Ed Dunlop (1/1 - winner at 7/2)
2--Hughie Morrison (---)
2--Michael Scudamore (0/3)
2--Sharon Watt (0/5)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
67 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hexham: £51.40 - 6 favourites - 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Worcester: £216.80 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 unplaced
Represented trainers in the juvenile event at 2.10 (five year study of two-year-old stats):
1/6--Marco Botti (Alice's Dream)
No runners--Clive Mulhall (Beau Strata)
7/49--Mark Johnston (Fancy Day)
0/3--Sir Michael Stoute (Lucrezia)
No runners --Mick Easterby (Miss Sheridan)
6/26--Ann Duffield (Panther In The Pink & Rainbow Chimes)
0/3--Sharon Watt (Queens Parade)
1/5--James Given (Savannah Slew)
15/60--Richard Fahey (Vaulted)