PONTEFRACT – JUNE 25
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £76.50 (7 favourites: 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Footsteps Forever), 1 (Clubbable) & 2 (Collateral Beauty)
Leg 2 (2.30): 2 (Cape Coast) & 1 (Count Simon)
Leg 3 (3.00): 5 (Sound Bar), 6 (Swiftsure) & 2 (Beardwood)
Leg 4 (3.30): 1 (Abingdon) & 6 (Signe)
Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Frederic), 4 (Aurora Grey) & 11 (Teak)
Leg 6 (4.30): 2 (Alpine Dream) & 3 (Pattie)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page (includes two-year-old Pontefract stats)
2.00: If you look at the foot of the column, Richard Fahey would appear to be the route to follow, though only the trainer (and his team) know how his two newcomers CLUBBABLE and COLLATERAL BEAUTY might perform on their first day at school. Sir Michael Stoute (PROCEDURE) does not do as well with his juveniles here at Pontefract as one might suspect, whereby FOOTSTEPS FOREVER (representing last year’s winning trainer Mark Johnston) might come on enough for his first run to figure prominently.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 13/8 favourite finished out with the washing.
2.30: Only four runners line up for the second race on the card, one less than last year which suggests that the future of the event looks ‘vulnerable’ to put it mildly. The four runners have contested eight races without posting a score between them which emphasises my point. Fair play to Julia Feilden and Sally Haynes for securing prize money here, albeit the contest should principally involve CAPE COAST and COUNT SIMON at the business end of the contest.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 4/11 market leader could only finish second to a 16/1 chance in a 'short field' contest three years ago before the second 10/11 favourite finished last of three. Thankfully for the majority of punters, last year’s 8/11 market leader obliged.
3.00: Only sixteen three-year-olds have contested this event to date, producing three winners, three seconds, two thirds and three fourth placed efforts in the process, whilst all ten winners have carried 8-13 or more. This year’s two junior representatives must break through the weight trends if they are to prevail between them though that said, relevant entries SOUND BAR and SWIFTSURE have been found good opportunities by Ralph Beckett and Sir Michael Stoute respectively. Both trainers will be desperate to get their names on the score-sheet, with twenty four beaten horses between them at the royal meeting. That said, Michael secured a couple of winners at ‘away meetings’ last week, whilst Ralph posted a victory at Beverley on Tuesday. If the pair are to be denied here, course winner BEARDWOOD looks to be the potential joker in the pack.
Favourite factor: Nine of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.
Record of course winners in the third race:
3.30: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 7-4 during the last eleven years and having pinned my faith in the 9/1 (four-year-old) winner last year, I’ll opt for ABINGDON, though the 2/1 quote in the trade press looks fanciful in the extreme. SIGNE is the obvious danger being unbeaten in three assignments to date though that said, the William Haggas filly only prevailed by the minimum margin on her lone turf contest to date.
Favourite factor: Seven of the twelve market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners.
4.00: I have made reference to these Pontefract staying events plenty of times, but I reiterate that this contest resembles a graded greyhound race with the greatest respect to our canine friends, whereby horses go into the traps shaking hooves, begging the question, whose turn is it to win today? If you want proof of that statement, you only have to digest the fact that five of the six course winners which contest the Placepot races at Pontefract this afternoon line up for this event. Upwards and onward however by suggesting that as the last six winners have carried a minimum weight of nine stones to victory, the likes of FREDERIC and AURORA GREY are worth consideration. That said, TEAK finished third to Oriental Fox in the ‘Queen Alexandra’ only two years ago, Mark Johnston’s raider having ‘doubled up’ in that race yesterday.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last nineteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three favourites which prevailed during the study period.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest:
1/2—Uncle Bernie (good)
1/3—La Fritillaire (good to soft)
2/16—Tuscan Gold (2 x good to firm)
4.30: Mick Channon is back among the winners again and PATTIE should surely go close here having been dropped down from Listed company to this handicap assignment. Tim Easterby landed the first of two massive blows for the north at the royal meeting yesterday and there is every chance that the in-form trainer can land the Placepot finale with his Chester winner ALPINE DREAM here, especially if pre-race showers evolve which would increase confidence relating to the marginal selection.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have missed out on Placepot positions in ‘short field’ event thus far. New readers might want to note that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two of more) on the Pontefract card on Sunday followed by their ratios at the track this season:
5 runners—Tim Easterby (3/14 – Profit of 7 points)
5—Mark Johnston (3/14 – loss of 2 points)
4—Sir Michael Stoute (1/2 – Slight profit)
2—Ralph Beckett (1/1 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Karl Burke (0/11)
2—Brian Ellison (0/8)
2—Richard Fahey (2/24 – loss of 19 points)
2—Ed de Giles (No previous runners)
2—William Haggas (0/1)
2—Sally Haynes (No previous runners)
2—Sarah Hollinshead (1/3 – Profit of 5 points)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
54 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hexham: £289.80 - 6 favourites - 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Worcester: £57.00 - 7 favourites - 4 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Represented trainers in the juvenile event at 2.10 (five year study of two-year-old stats):
17/69—Richard Fahey (+56 points of level stake profits) – 2 runners: Clubbable & Collateral Beauty
2/13—William Haggas (loss of 7 points) – Dreams Of Delphi
3/35—Tim Easterby (loss of 14 points) – 2 runners: Excellent Times & Travel Lightly)
10/53—Mark Johnston (loss of 24 points)
No previous runners for either David Loughnane or Sarah Hollinshead
3/19—Tom Dascombe (Profit of 1 point) – Miss Perception
1/9—Richard Guest (loss of 4 points) – Moremoneymoreparty
0/4—Sir Michael Stoute – Procedure
1/12—Michael Dods (loss of 7 points) – What Do You Think