FAKENHAM – JUNE 4
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £26.00 (6 favourites: 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Fakenham:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Cosmic Statesman) & 5 (Presenting Berkley)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Amiral Collonges), 3 (Speed Demon) & 2 (Shady Deal)
Leg 3 (3.00): 5 (Coroberee), 6 (Ritasun) & 1 (Amalfi Doug)
Leg 4 (3.30): 3 (Get Rhythm), 2, (Stynes), 4 (The Way You Dance) & 1 (Eye Of A Tiger)
Leg 5 (4.00): 6 (Present Trend), 5 (Beaumont’s Party) & 4 (Roja Dove)
Leg 6 (4.30): 3 (Shaiyzar) & 7 (Repeat The Feat)
Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Neil King generally does well at this venue and it’s worth noting that COSMIC STATESMAN is Neil’s only runner on the card on this occasion. PRESENTING BERKLEY is the only raider at Fakenham from Tim Vaughan’s yard as well and this pair might dominate at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
2.30: James Evans boasts a fine record at Fakenham as you can determine below though that said, course winner AMIRAL COLLNGES will not be sent off at some of the marvellous prices that James has won with in recent years. SPEED DEMON is the obvious danger with the Dan Skelton yard continuing to church out consistent winners. SHADY DEAL demands to be included in the mix, given that this is a ‘win only’ event. 13-year-old That’s The Deal receives plenty of weight but at that age, younger raiders are preferred this time around.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Fakenham card.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/1—Amiral Collonges (good to firm)
4/18—That’s The Deal (good to firm, good, good to soft & soft)
3.00: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five contests whereby COROBEREE and RITASUN are the first names on the team list. COCOBEREE represents Dan Skelton, whilst Harry Whittington’s newcomer RITASUN reached a reasonable mark of 78 on the level. AMALFI DOUG is the likeliest joker in the pack if the vintage is to be denied.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites to date secured two gold medals and two of the silver variety, with the other pair of market leaders (6/4 & 9/4) finishing out with the washing.
3.30: With just the four runners in the race, the sensible thing to do is include all four declarations before retiring to the bar, hoping that the horse with the lowest number of Placepot units prevails. If someone pointed a gun to my head requesting an order of preference, GET RHYTHM, STYNES, THE WAY YOU DANCE and EYE OF A TIGER would be the call.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/8 market leader fell when still going well enough in the second half of the contest.
4.00: 17 of the 21 available toteplacepot positions in the finale have been secured by horses carrying weights of 11-5 or less, statistics which include seven of the eight winners at 6/1-5/1-9/2-11/4-11/4-9/4-7/4. The pick of this year’s four relevant horses should prove to be PRESENT TREND, BEAUMONT’S PARTY and ROJA DOVE.
Favourite factor: Seven of the nine favourites have finished in the money thus far, statistics which include four winners.
4.30: The last seven winners have carried less than this year’s head of the handicap, whereby Court Dismissed is, well, dismissed! SHAIYZAR and REPEAT THE FEAT are marginally preferred to Provincial Pride on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Winning favourites were conspicuous by their absence since 2007 before one of the 4/1 joint favourites (in 2014) scored. The last two market leaders have reverted to type by finishing out with the washing. Four of the last nine market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
2/23—Peak Seasons (good & good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Fakenham card on Sunday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
3 winners—David Thompson (5/26 – Profit of 50 points)
2—Michael Chapman (1/39 – loss of 34 points)
2—James Evans (5/15 – Profit of 32 points)
2—Richard Ford (0/3)
2—John Jenkins (3/18 – loss of 7 points)
2—Donald McCain (1/9 – loss of 3 points)
2—Graeme McPherson (0/1)
2—Dan Skelton (13/45 – loss of 2 points)
+ 17 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
36 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Perth: £292.20 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced