GOODWOOD – JUNE 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £32.70 (7 favourites: 5 winners & 2 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (1.50): 5 (Frontiersman), 4 (Cape Cova) & 9 (Stratum)
Leg 2 (2.20): 4 (Classic Mission) & 3 (Karnage)
Leg 3 (2.55): 6 (Pettochside), 7 (Whitecrest) & 5 (Emjayem)
Leg 4 (3.30): 6 (Cotton Club) & 9 (Ayr Of Elegance)
Leg 5 (4.00): 6 (Silver Coin) & 1 (Billy's Boots)
Leg 6 (4.35): 12 (Archellino's Leap), 13 (Easy Tiger) & 8 (Carnival King)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: This is a really intriguing way to kick off the card, especially with John Goden being double-handed in the contest. John won the race with a 1/3 chance twelve months ago, though neither STRATUM or his Cape Cross newcomer CAPE COVA will be anything like as short in a renewal which has attracted plenty of top trainers. The seven horses with experience have failed to cut down any trees between them to date, albeit STRATUM looks the pick of the bunch. That said, it might be CAPE COVA that wins the day on this occasion, providing that fellow debutantes FRONTIERSMAN and INTERCEPTED are nothing out of the ordinary. In terms of trends however, Charlie Appleby (FRONTIERSMAN) and William Buick have to be paid an enormous amount of respect, the trainer boasting a 4/5 ratio at the track this season, with William having ridden both winners for the handler here at Goodwood on Friday.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 9/4 favourite could only finish fourth in a 'short field' contest. New readers might like to know that the term 'short field' related to race which involve 5/6/7 runners in which only the first two horses home qualify for eachway/toteplacepot positions. Last year's 1/3 market leader evened up the score between the two 'armies', albeit not at a working man's price!
2.20: Now it came to pass that five-year-olds held a fine record record in this event, despite the fact that just two renewals have been staged. Vintage representatives have secured four of the available five Placepot positions via 44% of the runners, statistics which include both (5/2 winners). The fact that forecasts of 90/1 & 22/1 were secured as well suggests that with just one five-uyear-old in the line up, trainers have missed a trick! Only Jonathan Portman (CLASSIC MISSION) has seen the light, whereby his Bahamian Bounty gelding is the first name on the team sheet, despite the fact that Jonathan's raider is trying to break his maiden tag as the 25th time of asking. Potential dangers include JACOB CATS and KARNAGE.
Favourite factor: The two 5/2 favourites have both previaled thus far..
2.55: I nominated last year's successful 10/1 six-year-old winner first and foremost, though I am still far from convinced that a race for 'veterans' should include six-year-olds. Upwards and onward by suggesting that I would have wished for more rain for PETTOCHSIDE who is the only runner in the field with successful course experience (see impressive stats below) though that said, this seven time winner might still be able to score in this grade/company. The two horses either side of the tentative selection in the handicap could offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings, namely WHITECREST and EMJAYEM, the pair being listed in order of preference at the overnight stage.
Favourite factor: The two favourites to date 'boast' a single (silver) medal between them to date.
Goodwood record of course winners in the third event on the card:
3/6--Pettochside (2 x soft & 1 x good to soft)
3.30: Rod Millman has his team in sparkling form at the time of writing (before Saturday's sport was contested, with the trainer greeting three gold and two silver medallists (won at 20/1) via his last six runners. Ron has declared COTTON CLUB on this occasion and this self confessed 'stats anorak' simply has to involve the five-year-old in a race which should not prove difficult to win. The relevant 'anorak' has noted that four-year-old olds have won both contests to date however, whereby AYR OF ELEGANCE and PERCY VEER are added to the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have secured Placepot positions (gold and bronze medallists) thus far, albeit via only two renewals.
4.00: My research suggests that Jamie Osborne does well with his two-year-old 'selling representatives' whereby SILVER COIN is the call in this contest, especially as Jamie was making the right noises about his filly earlier in the year, though it will disappoint the trainer to have declared the Approve' raider in the lowest class on offer. BILLY'S BOOTS and TRUST THE INDIAN are nominated as the main dangers.
Favourite factor: This selling event for juveniles is a new race on the Goodwood card.
4.35: The bottom pair in the handicap look up against it with all six available Placepot positions thus far having been claimed by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-1. The pair of unbeaten course winners (albeit 1/1 records are in evidence) ARLECCHINO'S LEAP and EASY TIGER should figure prominently, possibly alongside the likes of CARNIVAL KING and SIR BILLY WRIGHT.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 2/1 favourite was beaten a neck when claiming a toteplacepot position in the finale before last year's 10/3 market leader went one better.
Goodwood record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/9--Czech It Out (good)
1/5--Aqua Ardens (good)
1/1--Arlecchino's Leap (good)
1/1--Easy Tiger (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Sunday:
3--Amanda Perrett (17/180 at Goodwood for the last five years and then this season: 0/11)
3--David Evans (1/22 - 0/8)
2--Charlie Appleby (12/55 - 4/5)
2--Michael Appleby (2/23 - No runners)
2--John Best (1/17 - No runners)
2--John Bridger (4/56 - 1/8)
2--Mick Channon (14/223 - 0/13)
2--Conor Dore (1/4 - No runners)
2--Robert Cowell (5/35 - 1/5)
2--Clive Cox (7/87 - 0/2)
2--Ed de Giles (0/12 - No runners)
2--Richard Fahey (9/127 - 0/2)
2--John Gosden (16/97 - 1/8)
2--Richard Hannon (29/223 - 3/16)
2--Philip Hide (0/10 - 0/2)
2--William Knight (5/81 - 0/7)
2--Stan Moore (0/24 - No runners)
2--Jamie Osborne (1/27 - 0/2)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
71 declared runners
Correpsonding Placepot dividend at the other meeting from last year:
Perth: £83.00 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)
Five years records of represented trainers at Goodwood in juvenile events at Goodwood - 4.00 on Sunday:
8/84--Mick Channon (Billy's Boots) - 0/3 this season
0/15--Stan Moore (Patrouille De Nuit & The Night Is Ours) - No runners yet this season
No juveniles have run during the study period--Bill Turner (Trust The Indian)
No juveniles have run during the study period--Alan Bailey (Black Redstart)
0/6--David Evans (Little Nosegay) - 0/1
0/5--Jamie Osborne (Secret Coin) - 0/1