WINCANTON – MARCH 26
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Wincanton:
Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Azzuri) & 2 (Copain De Classe)
Leg 2 (2.45): 1 (Pressurize), 6 (Frampton) & 4 (Moss On The Mill)
Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Misterton), 3 (Mister Buck’s) & 1 (Kayf Adventure)
Leg 4 (3.45): 2 (Charmix) & 1 (Antartica De Thaix)
Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (General Girling), 5 (How’s Vienna) & 1 (Shanann Star)
Leg 6 (4.45): 8 (Winningtry) & 3 (Bellamy)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.15: The ground should be drying out nicely whereby I would not be surprised if the “heavy in places” description is officially removed from the going report before flag fall. Soft ground would be fine for AZZURI judged on his winning effort last time around and with Dan Skelton having saddled five winners during the last three days, AZZURI is taken to win the opener with something to spare over the likes of COPAIN DE CLASSE and Ruby Russet.
Favourite factor: This is a new meeting which often occurs at this time of year when the dates of the Easter weekend change on an annual basis. If you are interested in such matters; have a look at the relevant numbers that follow. If not; move on rapidly! Easter Sunday cannot be celebrated before March 22 and never later that April 25. Since 1800, Easter Sunday has only ever fallen on the first possible date on one occasion which was in 1818 – the next year it is due to fall on that day is in 2285, some 268 years from now. If bookmakers had their way, they would be offering 7/4 that Richard Johnson will ride a winner that day! If you didn’t know before, you are now aware that I am a ‘numbers junkie’!
2.45: As far as the ground is concerned, Venetia Williams will not want the going to dry out too much for PRESSURIZE though with Charlie Deutsch stealing another three pounds from the officials, I still expect the top weight to score. Charlie has only had one ‘outside ride’ since before the Cheltenham Festival began which is unbelievable from my viewpoint. FRAMPTON could go well at a price after a long lay-off, whilst MOSS ON THE MILL is another contender in the mix.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/4—Flaming Charmer (heavy)
3.15: Harry Fry has won with six of his last twelve runners whereby MISTERTON could prove to be the value for money call over MISTER BUCK’S and KAYF ADVENTURE. All three relevant trainers (adding Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs respectively) saddled winners at Newbury on Saturday and the notion is to include all three runners into the Placepot equation for fear of this developing into a ‘win only’ event should a non-runner rear its ugly head.
3.45: A match in all but name here with CHARMIX and ANTARTICA DE THAIX having stones in hand of the other pair according to official ratings. Both horses have won on soft ground and although the latter named Paul Nicholls raider is two pounds ‘well in’ accord to BHA numbers, I believe the horse which jumps the best here will prevail, pure and simple.
4.15: I cannot imagine (respectfully) that Simon Hodgson has enjoyed a better month than is currently the case, the trainer boasting March stats of 3/6, a ratio which has produced 65 points of level stake profit. A local trainer from the wonderfully named Queen Camel village, Simon saddles his hat trick seeker GENERAL GIRLING with an obvious chance with juice still in the ground. Seven pound claimer Mitchell Bastyan has ridden three winners from just eight opportunities over fences and I would imagine the whole village will be on parade this afternoon to hopefully witness another success for the team. Connections might have most to fear from HOW’S VIENNA and course winner SHANANN STAR.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race:
1/4—Shanann Star (soft)
1/5—General Girling (heavy)
4.45: WINNINGTRY should be able to amble round his local track to collect in the last leg of our favourite wager with only BELLAMY to beat from my viewpoint. Paul Nicholls is looking to pick up some ‘cheap money’ here in his quest to overhaul Nicky Henderson at the top of the Trainers’ Championship table besides which, an easy four grand is nice work if you can get it!
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Sunday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Colin Tizzard (4/46 – loss of 24 points)
3—Paul Nicholls (20/41 – Profit of 9 points)
2—Harry Fry (0/13)
2—Sue Gardner (0/6)
2—Mark Gillard (0/13)
2—Simon Hodgson (2/14 – Profit of 52 points)
2—Neil Mulholland (7/34 – Profit of 28 points)
2—Jeremy Scott (1/18 – loss of 15 points)
2—Dan Skelton (0/6)
+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
43 declared runners