PLUMPTON – MARCH 27
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £101.50 (6 favourites - 1 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Average Placepot dividend (all codes) in 2016 (calendar year): £600.36
Average NH Placepot dividend in 2016: £803.17
Average Plumpton Placepot dividend in 2016: £967.98 (6 meetings)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (2.15): 2 (King Cool) & 9 (Whipcord)
Leg 2 (2.50): 8 (George Nympton), 3 (Bobbits Way) & 9 (Bonds Conquest)
Leg 3 (3.25): 7 (Gold Carrot), 2 (Like Sully) & 13 (Trapper Peak)
Leg 4 (4.00): 5 (Dormello Mio) & 6 (War Singer)
Leg 5 (4.35): 8 (Satellite) & 12 (Carqalin)
Leg 6 (5.10): 9 (Itoldyou), 8 (Golanova) & 4 (Dont Do Mondays)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.15: Five-year-olds have won four of the last six contests and with KING COOL and WHIPCORD among their number this time around, vintage representatives have definite claims of increasing the edge. If things have not worked well for you this weekend to date, there could be worse outsiders on the card than King Charlie who is Suzy Smith's only runner on the card, the trainer having snared a 541/1 double at the corresponding meeting two years ago.
Favourite factor: Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last six renewals, whilst seven of the last nine market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.
2.50: Ten-year-olds have won three of the last renewals whilst horses aged in double figures generally have claimed six victories during the last decade. Six of the last seven winners have carried a maximum burden of 10-10. GEORGE NYMPTON is the only entry in the line-up possessing ticks in both of the trend boxes whereby Zoe Davison's raider will be included in my Placepot mix, possibly alongside the likes of BOBBITS WAY and BONDS CONQUEST.
Favourite factor: The last two winners have scored at 16/1 & 12/1, whilst five winners in total during the last decade have won at 9/1 or more. Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the study period, whilst four of the eleven favourites secured Placepot positions.
Plumpton record of course winners in the second race:
3.25: Gary Moore's runners invariably demand respect at one if his local tracks and GOLD CARROT appears to have been found a decent opportunity following an ordinary (beaten favourite) effort at Fontwell last time out. Connections will welcome the promise of rain by the forecasters which beggars the question, why are meteorologists invariable right when predicting rain, but not when they expect the sun to shine? Upwards and onward by suggesting that LIKE SULLY and TRAPPER PEAK are expected to offer most resistance turning for home on the last circuit.
Favourite factor: Four of the five winners in total scored at a top price of 3/1. Two clear market leaders and one joint favouirte obliged, whilst four of the eight favourites finished in the frame (exact science).
Plumpton record of course winners in the third event on the card:
4.00: DORMELLO MIO returns to defend his crown, one of three runners on the card for Paul Nicholls. Taking the claim of the jockey into account, Paul's six-year-old could run off the same mark as when successful twelve months ago, despite winning three of his subsequent ten assignments. Although DORMELLO MIO has won on heavy ground, connections would prefer faster conditions I'll wager but should than scenario not be in evidence, WAR SINGER and course and distance winner BARATINEUR have to enter the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: One clear and one joint favourite have won via six renewals, with only three of the nine market leaders having claimed Placepot positions. That said, the biggest priced winner was returned at 8/1.
Plumpton record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/2--Billy No Name
4.35: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals, whilst Tim Vaughan is the only trainer to have saddled two winners of the race during the study period. Tim's five-year-old raider SATELLITE in the only stable representative at the track on Sunday and with rain in the offing, Tim's once classy individual makes plenty of appeal, given his top rated mark of 95 on the flat when SATELLITE won made favourite to win a Class two event on the level at Haydock a few years ago. David Pipe is wise to the vintage trend (as ever), saddling the only four-year-old in the line in CARQALIN, whilst BLUE RAMBLER should figure prominently again.
Favourite factor: The last two winners scored at 25/1 & 14/1 following almost total domination by favourites for a long period. Six marker leaders have won via nine renewals during the last decade, whilst eight of the nine favourites secured Placepot positions.
5.10: Thankfully the 'Sussex National' has been saved following the abandoned meeting at Plumpton earlier in the year. This year's race will be contested under much different conditions to normal unless a deluge of rain hits the track though either way, last year's winner ITOLDYOU should not be inconvenienced. Nine-year-olds come to the gig on a four timer having won five of the last seven renewals, whilst horses carrying 11-1 or less have secured eight of the last nine contests. Gary Moore has saddled two of the last three winners and putting all the stats and facts together produces a short list of ITOLDYOU, GOLANOVA and DONT DO MONDAYS. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to COOLKING.
Favourite factor: No favourite has prevailed during the last decade, though six of the ten market leaders have claimed Placepot positions.
Plumpton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/2--Dont Do Mondays
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Sunday:
6--Chris Gordon (2/22 at Plumpton this season)
6--Gary Moore (7/40)
4--Linda Jewell (1/15)
3--Paul Nicholls (1/4)
3--David Pipe (1/4)
3--Jamie Snowden (0/4)
2--Alexandra Dunn (3/8)
2--Johnny Farrelly (2/8)
2--John Ferguson (0/1)
2--Jonathan Geake (--)
2--Mark Hoad (0/11)
2--Alan Jones (0/2)
2--Charlie Mann (1/5)
2--Seamus Mullins (1/16)
2--Anna Newton-Smith (1/18)
2--Richard Rowe (0/12)
2--Colin Tizzard (3/15)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (0/1)
2--Paul Webber (1/2)
2--Ian Williams (0/2)
2--Noel Williams (0/4)
+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
76 declared runners