Placepot pointers – Sunday May 15

RIPON – MAY 15 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £488.90 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Ripon: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 9 (Top Score) & 1 (Rainbow Mist)

Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Ashurst Beacon) & 3 (Sheppard's Gift)

Leg 3 (3.00): 2 (Springforth) & 5 (Zig Zag Girl)

Leg 4 (3.35): 3 (Stocking), 6 (Plagiarism) & 5 (Glenrowan Rose)

Leg 5 (4.10): 5 (Spring Offensive), 8 (Mukhaaam) & 4 (Swift Emperor)

Leg 6 (4.45): 2 (Robinnielly), 7 (Pickett's Charge) & 3 (Cape Love)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Although Global Applause let the form down (to a fashion) at Newbury on Saturday, the third placed effort by TOP SCORE was probably good enough to win a race of this nature, especially with the Saeed Bon Suroor yard in such good form.  Eighth placed Charlie Chaplin came in for a lot of support at York this week and the form of that Newmarket event on May Day has a solid look about it.  Others of interest include Thirsk winner RAINBOW MIST and GERRARD'S RETURN.

Favourite factor: The opening race is a new event with which to open proceedings at Ripon on Sunday.

2.30: Baltic Beau won at the first time of asking in April, though it's always a little disconcerting when horses contest selling events on debut.  The fact that the ground was soft that day is an issue as well, as much faster conditions will (in all probability) be in place on Sunday.  Stable companion ASHURST BEACON is preferred accordingly racing in popular (successful) colours, whilst SHEPPARD'S GIFT is entered for a big race at York in August.  Tim Easterby's Dick Turpin newcomer is under consideration at the time of writing alongside CUPPACOFFEE, who is also entered up in a race at Wetherby on Tuesday.

Favourite factor: This is the second division of the first race on the card.

3.00: Richard Fahey targets this race on an annual basis with what turn out to be reasonable individuals, even if they don't win this particular event. SPRINGFORTH will be worth watching accordingly, especially if there is money for the Mayson raider.  Others of interest in what appears to be an ordinary selling event include Areyoutheway and (particularly) ZIG ZAG GIRL.

Favourite factor: 13 of the 15 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions this far, statistics which include three winners.

3.35: Four and five-year-olds have a good record in this contest (the score stands at 4-6 via 13 renewals), whereby four-year-old STOCKING will be included in my Placepot permutation, especially as no five-year-olds (wake up trainers) have been declared this time around. Three-year-olds are therefore included in the overnight mix, the pick of which should prove to be GLENROWAN ROSE and PLAGIARISM.  The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to GIDDY.

Favourite factor: Two favourites have scored via 13 renewals to date, whilst eight market leaders failed to finish in the frame.  Only one favourite has prevailed via the last nine contests.

4.10: Four-year-olds had won the first four contests before two renewals eluded vintage representatives, only for two of the last three contests to return to type.  Six of the last seven winners have carried a maximum burden of 8-12 and two relevant horses hail from the 'superior' weights in the handicap this time around. SPRING OFFENSIVE potentially gets in via a jockey claim, whilst MUKHAAYAM is there via the official ratings.  If the stats and facts are to go base over apex this time around, SWIFT EMPEROR might prove to be the joker in the pack.  Yourartisonfire seems to have lost the plot of late which is disappointing given that he was a very decent young in the making.

Favourite factor: Seven of the 12 favourites (three winners) have snared toteplacepot positions via nine renewals to date.  Four of the gold medallists have been returned at 4/1 or less, accompanied by three 16/1 chances alongside 10/1 & 15/2 gold medallists.

4.45: Just nine pounds separates the top seven horses in this interesting three-year-old handicap.  These races begin to take on more significance over the next few weeks leading up to Epsom/Royal Ascot with the majority of runners now having had their respective seasonal debut appearances.  The trio which catch the eye on this occasion are ROBINNIELLY, PICKETT'S CHARGE and CAPE LOVE the threesome being listed in marginal order of preference.

Favourite factor: The two (11/4 & 6/4) favourites thus far both prevailed in the Placepot finale.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

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Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ripon card on Sunday:

7--Richard Fahey (1/15 at Ripon this season)

6--Scott Dixon (0/1)

4--Karl Burke (0/2)

4--Keith Dalgleish (1/3)

4--Tim Easterby (2/18)

4--David O'Meara (3/15)

3--Tony Coyle (1/2)

3--Ann Duffield (0/4)

3--Micky Hammond (0/4)

3--Mark Johnston (1/11)

2--Tom Dascombe (0/2)

2--Ben Haslam (0/1)

2--Ollie Pears (0/3)

2--Richard Whitaker (1/6)

+ 14 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

63 declared runners

 

General overview:

Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Market Rasen: £64.20 (6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)

Stratford: £50.60 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Ripon overview:

36 races have been contested at this corresponding fixture during the last five years, 28 of which have been returned in single figures, with the other eight gold medallists being recorded at odds ranging between 10/1 & 22/1. A trainer who saddled a couple of winners at big prices during the study period is Tim Easterby (16/1 & 10/1) who saddles four runners at Ripon on Sunday.

 

 

 

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