RIPON – MAY 21
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £127.20 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Ripon:
Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Way Of Wisdom) & 5 (Musbaq)
Leg 2 (2.35): 4 (Kroy), 2 (Arnold) & 8 (Urban Spirit)
Leg 3 (3.10): 4 (Alshibaa), 3 (Warm Love) & 1 (Staff College)
Leg 4 (3.40): 7 (Weekend Offender) & 8 (Rainbow Rebel)
Leg 5 (4.10): 2 (Southern Belle), 9 (Honeysuckle Lil) & 10 (The Feathered Nest)
Leg 6 (4.40): 7 (Materialist) & 8 (Mathix)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Charlie Appleby (WAY OF WISDOM) boasts some serious stats going into this opening event. All three of his runners won yesterday when securing a 29/1 treble, whilst five of his six two-year-old representatives have won this season. Among those gold medallists was WAY OF WISDOM who won well at Newmarket and despite having to give weight away here, the blue silks of Godolphin look set to add to yesterday tally of five. Mark Johnston’s February foal MUSBAQ could be the forecast call for those of you that want to play the race that way.
Favourite factor: The inaugural race last year was split into two divisions, producing a successful 4/6 market leader alongside an 11/4 favourite which missed out on a Placepot position in a ‘short field’ event. New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runner events in which only the first two horses qualify from Placepot and each way perspectives.
2.35: High on numbers but short on class, this Class 6 race lives up to its billing unfortunately, with KROY, ARNOLD and URBAN SPIRIT seemingly standing out from the crowd, albeit marginally.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Ripon card.
3.10: These three-year-old handicap races begin to take on more significance over the next few weeks leading up to Epsom/Royal Ascot with the majority of the runners now having had their respective seasonal debut appearances. The trio which catch the eye on this occasion are ALSHIBAA, WARM LOVE and STAFF COLLEGE, the threesome being listed in marginal order of preference. That said, STAFF COLLEGE was only beaten four lengths and a spit by Defoe at level weights last year (Defoe was a very good winner at Newbury on Saturday) and a return to that type of form could make the 16/1 quotes this morning look half decent, especially as the top weight is the only ‘qualifier’ via the brief trends as all three winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2 thus far.
Favourite factor: The first two (11/4 & 6/4) favourites prevailed before last year’s 2/1 market leader snared a Placepot position without winning the relevant event.
Record of the course winner in the third race:
3.40: Four-year-olds had won the first four contests before two renewals eluded vintage representatives, only for three of the last four contests to return to type. Seven of the last eight winners have carried a maximum burden of 8-12 and two relevant vintage representatives (WEEKEND OFFENDER and RAINBOW REBEL) hail from the 'superior' weights in the handicap this time around. Last year’s first named ‘qualifier’ in the contest won at odds of 7/2.
Favourite factor: Seven of the 13 favourites (three winners) have snared toteplacepot positions via ten renewals to date. Five of the gold medallists have been returned at 4/1 or less, accompanied by three 16/1 chances alongside 10/1 & 15/2 gold medallists.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest:
1/1—Empress Ali (heavy)
1/1—Gurkha Frioend (good)
1/2—Miss Van Gogh (good to soft)
4.10: Four and five-year-olds have a good record in this contest (the score stands at 4-6 via 14 renewals), whereby one horse from each vintage will do for starters, namely SOUTHERN BELLE and HONEYSUCKLE LIL. There was no debate on one score, as SOUTHERN BELLE is the only five-year-old in the line-up on this occasion, though that is one more than was the case twelve months ago! THE FEATHERED NEST is a winner of one of her four assignments to date, whilst Richard Fahey’s filly has ‘only’ been beaten by an aggregate of seven lengths via the three defeats suffered thus far. According to my abacus, Richard secured an 11,327-1 five-timer yesterday, albeit his 14 runners equated to 2002 five horse accumulators if you were contemplating such a wager!
Favourite factor: Three favourites have scored via 14 renewals to date, whilst eight market leaders failed to finish in the frame.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race on the card:
1/2—Blithe Spirit (good)
3/14—Love Island (2 x good & good to soft)
1/6—Honeysuckle Lil (soft)
4.40: Two Newmarket trainers travel north to snare the northern swag and there is every chance that Roger Varian (MATERIALIST) and William Haggas (MATHIX) will draw swords at the business end of proceedings after they have fought off their rivals. Lamloom entered my ‘last chance saloon’ last time up and though David O’Meara’s raider only found one too good on that occasion, it was one failed assignment too many for this columnist. All ten of David’s runners were beaten yesterday, with only two inmates finishing in the frame.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won four of the last seven renewals whilst the other three winners scored at 11/10 & 11/2 (twice) during the period.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Ripon card on Sunday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
8 runners—Tim Easterby (1/25 – loss of 19 points)
4—Richard Fahey (1/17 – loss of 14 points)
3—Mark Johnston (2/10 – Profit of 2 points)
3—Kevin Ryan (0/5)
3—Tom Tate (No runners)
3—Richard Whitaker (0/1)
2—Scott Dixon (No runners)
2—William Haggas (1/1 – Slight profit)
2—Richard Hannon (1/4 – loss of 1 point)
2—Jedd O’Keefe (0/1)
2—David O’Meara (1/12 – loss of 2 points)
2—Ollie Pears (1/3 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Mark Tompkins (No runners)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
66 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Market Rasen: £172.50 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced
Stratford: £115.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced