PLUMPTON – MAY 8
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £1,351.70 (7 favourites: 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton:
Leg 1 (2.15): 6 (Royal Plaza) & 10 (Searching)
Leg 2 (2.50): 9 (Rivermouth), 10 (Up Four It) & 1 (Onwiththeparty)
Leg 3 (3.25): 1 (Bawden Rocks), 5 (Major Martin) & 2 (Ya Hafed)
Leg 4 (4.00): 2 (Hermosa Vanquera), 6 (Warrant Officer) & 4 (Londonia)
Leg 5 (4.30): 5 (Byron Flyer) & 1 (Libeccio)
Leg 6 (5.00): 6 (Hindon Road) & 3 (Money Talks)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.15: Five-year-olds have the best record in recent times having secured four of the last eleven contests, statistics which include the 25/1 gold medallist in 2013. Vintage representatives are 2/1 to extend the trend before the form book enters the equation this time around, the pick of which are PITON PETE and ROYAL PLAZA (Alan King) from my viewpoint. Alan has his team in fine form, with four of his last six runners having won before Saturday's sport was contested. Many punters will give another Gary Moore raider (see favourite stats below) a chance which on this occasion is SEARCHING, though they might take a look at the favourite stats below before piling in.
Favourite factor: Nine of the 14 jollies have reached the frame (three winners), whilst 27 of the 35 available toteplacepot positions have been claimed by horses starting at odds of 8/1 or less. That said, the 2014 (Gary Moore trained) 1/3 market leader was not among them! Gary made amends by winning with one of the two 6/4 joint favourites twelve months ago, Gary's second victory in this event in the last eight years.
2.50: Five of the last six winners have carried a maximum burden of 10-11 and horses down the weights to consider include RIVERMOUTH, UP FOUR IT and (possibly) EXMOOR CHALLENGE. If the weight stats go base over apex on this occasion, beaten favourite ONWITHTHEPARTY could go close, even from the top of the handicap.
Favourite factor: Three of the seven favourites have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include two winners at 3/1 & 11/4. The last three winners have scored at 20/1-16/1-16/1.
Plumpton record of course winners in the second event:
1/5--Frank N Fair
3.25: YA HAFAD returns to defend his crown after being the third seven-year-old winner last year via just four renewals. YA HAFED should get his (fast) ground conditions unless the threat of overnight thunderstorms prove accurate. A trio of seven-year-olds have been offered the green light, and listing two of them in order of preference, I would opt for BAWDEN ROCKS over MAJOR MARTIN.
Favourite factor: All four market leaders have finished second (claiming toteplacepot positions) at odds of 11/4, 7/2, 5/2 & 2/1.
Plumpton record of course winners in the third race:
4.00: Gary Moore has saddled more winners at this meeting (three in total) than any other trainer during a five year study and HERMOSA VANQUERA could be the pick of Gary's seven representatives on the card. Connections of the six-year-old might have most to fear from the likes of WARRANT OFFICER (given a spin on the level ten days ago) and LONDONIA who as a four-year-old, should have less bad habits than some of the other runners in the field. The overnight reserve nomination is offered to DING DING.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via five renewals to date, statistics which include three successful (7/2, 15/8 & 2/1) market leaders.
Plumpton record of course winners in the fourth contest:
4.30: Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared four of the five renewals thus far, with the pick of Sunday's representatives likely to be BYRON FLYER and LIBECCIO, marginally ahead of OH LAND ABLOOM according to the gospel of yours truly. That said, the declarations of Cut The Corner and Flashman add interest to proceedings.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions (one winner).
Plumpton record of course winners in the fifth event on the card:
5.00: With the last 14 winners all carrying weights of 11-9 or less, we can eliminate the top pair if you share my self confessed ‘anorak’ tendencies. The pick of the remaining seven runners will hopefully prove to be LIKE SULLY, MONEY TALKS and HINDON ROAD, another Alan King runner on the card. The trio is not listed in order of preference at the time of writing because as of now, no decision has been made.
Favourite factor: Three of the last 13 renewals of this toteplacepot finale have been won by market leaders. Seven of the fourteen jollies have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.
Plumpton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Sunday:
7--Gary Moore (9/48 at Plumpton last season)
4--Zoe Davison (1/10)
4--Chris Gordon (5/30)
4--Sheena West (3/23)
3--Ron Barr (0/5)
3--Johnny Farrelly (2/9)
3--Diana Grissell (2/12)
2--Peter Bowen (0/7)
2--Michelle Bryant (0/7)
2--Mark Hoad (0/14)
2--Linda Jewell (1/22)
2--Alan King (4/10)
2--Neil King (1/8)
2--Michael Madgwick (0/4)
2--Laura Mongan (0/3)
2--Dr Richard Newland (0/3)
2--Steve Woodman (--)
+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
71 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividend from last year:
Ludlow: £136.40 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Fergal O'Brien secured a 134/1 double last year - runners there on Sunday
Having to write this type of analysis before the threat of overnight thunderstorms either hit or miss the track is a precarious position to be in. Make sure you find out the conditions before parting company with your 'heard earned'.