SANDOWN - NOVEMBER 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £782.50 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 6 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (12.30): 3 (Mr Fickle), 2 (Braavos) & 5 (Royal Battalion)
Leg 2 (1.05): 1 (Sugar Town) & 6 (More Buck’s)
Leg 3 (1.40): 1 (Azzerti) & 5 (Khezarabad)
Leg 4 (2.15): 3 (Vivaldi Collonges), 1 (Voix D’Eau) & 2 (Ballybolley)
Leg 5 (2.50): 3 (Prairie Town), 5 (Darebin) & 1 (Paddys Runner)
Leg 6 (3.25): 1 (Saint Are), 4 (Loose Chips) & 5 (Court By Surprise)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.30: Gary Moore ruled the Sandown venue with a stunning ratio of 10/25 (profit of 65 points to level stakes) last season which was set up when landing a 1529/1 treble on this corresponding card twelve months ago. Gary saddles MR FICKLE and ROYAL BATTALION from just the two options that the trainer held last week. It’s also worth noting that Gary has saddled six winners at this corresponding meeting during the last three years, three of them scoring at 25/1 – 16/1 – 14/1! BRAAVOS is the potential party pooper in the field.
Favourite factor: The 9/4 and 10/3 favourites have claimed one Placepot position between them thus without winner either event.
Record of the course winner in the field:
1/1—Mr Fickle (soft)
1.05: The terms and conditions of this event suggest that Messers Henderson (SUGAR TOWN) and Nicholls (MORE BUCK’S) will dominate at the business end of proceedings. A cold dry night is forecast for Saturday into Sunday whereby conditions should stay on the quick side, though both horses have handled softer ground to winning effect if the rain we saw in London on Friday night also fell in the Esher area. Unfortunately I am away so I cannot update that news.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Sandown card.
1.40: Alan King has failed to visit the area reserved for winning connections for the last five years in any race at the corresponding fixture, though that poor run (by Alan’s high standards) should end here via his four-year-old representative AZZERTI. Wayne Hutchinson’s mount left two moderate efforts in bumper events well behind him when finished second on ‘timber debut’ at Fontwell under similar (yielding) conditions which might be in place by the time that flag falls arrives on Sunday. KHEZARABAD was a beaten favourite last time up but as that race was at Cheltenham, we can forgive those two dreaded letters appearing beside his name. A dual winner on good ground in France before Nicky Henderson took charge of the Dalakani gelding, connections of KHEZARABAD will not be offering any excuses (if needed) on account of the turf I’ll wager.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Sandown programme.
2.15: Harry Fry was the only trainer who held more than one option for this race last week and the progressive trainer has given VOIX D’EAU the green light. Hardly matching up to Coneygree’s 172 mark going into this race last year, the official 149 rating of the Cheltenham (April meeting) winner offers Harry a definite chance. Seven-year-olds have won three of the last six contests, whereby connections of the other three runners have cause for optimism on the trend front. The pick of that trio is likely to be VIVALDI COLLONGES who is a 33/1 chance to lift the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury at the end of the month. Nigel Twiston-Davies can practically walk on water at the time of writing whereby he is fully justified at having a pop at the first named pair with his progressive Kayf Tara raider BALLYBOLLEY.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won five of the ten renewals during the last eleven years, in which eight gold medallists scored at a top price of 11/2.
2.50: All six horses to secure the six available Placepot positions to date have carried a minimum burden of 11-2 and though two results hardly form a trend as such, I would rather have the figures on my side than against. The pick of the relevant five horses in Sunday’s contest will hopefully prove to be Gary Moore’s raider DAREBIN, PADDYS RUNNER and last year’s winner PRARIE TOWN. Poker School might have bustled up the first named trio but for being ridden by a claimer which drops his weight into the ‘inferior’ end of the handicap according to the (brief) ‘trend’.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have snared Placepot positions by securing gold and silver medals thus far.
3.25: Opening Batsman is another of those horses which I rarely (if ever) catch right. If I include Harry Fry’s ten-year-old in the mix he lets me down and vice versa. SAINT ARE, LOOSE CHIPS and COURT BY SURPRISE are preferred this time around so please form an orderly queue outside bookmakers on Sunday morning as you wade into Opening Batsman!
Favourite factor: The inaugural trio of 4/1 co favourites all missed out on Placepot positions last year in a short field contest! New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home ‘qualify’ in terms of each way/Placepot wagers.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Sunday followed by 5 year stats at the course and the relevant profits losses accrued:
5 runners—Nicky Henderson (31/117 – Profit of 24 points)
5—Gary Moore (22/87 - Profit of 110 points)
4—Paul Nicholls (26/151 – loss of 12 points)
3—Ian Williams (1/15 – loss of 11 points)
2—Tony Carroll (2/23 – loss of 11 points)
2—Harry Fry (2/12 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Alan King (6/52 – loss of 5 points)
2—Charlie Longsdon (3/37 – loss of 21 points)
2—Paul Webber (1/25 – loss of 20 points)
+ 13 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
40 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ffos Las: £308.80 – 7 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced