Placepot pointers – Sunday October 2

HUNTINGDON - OCTOBER 2

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £57.50 (7 favourite - 1 winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Huntingdon: 

Leg 1 (2.05): 5 (Fouburg) & 6 (Honcho)

Leg 2 (2.35): 5 (Definite Favour), 1 (Tangolan) & 2 (Mille Nautique)

Leg 3 (3.15): 4 (Lord Huntingdon) & 1 (Diable De Sivola)

Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Flashman) & 5 (Fields Of Glory)

Leg 5 (4.20): 5 (Shalianzi), 1 (Tidestream) & 11 (Primo Rossi)

Leg 6 (4.50): 1 (Bells Of Ailsworth), 2 (Phare Isle) & 8 (Buckontupence)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.05: 12 Placepot races have been contested via two meetings at Huntingdon this season, statistics which have produced 3 winners, 3 placed (exact science) and 7 unplaced market leaders.  The average toteplacepot dividend via two stands at £200.10 as opposed to £225.35 this time last year.  35% of the market leaders during the last three corresponding meetings have won with 17/20 winners scored at a top price of 7/1.  That’s the stats and fact done with, hoping that FOUBURG and HONCHO set us merrily along the way.

Favourite factor: 11 of the 13 favourites have finished in the frame to date.  Six favourites have prevailed thus far, whilst all 12 gold medallists were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

2.35: The two course and distance winners TANGOLAN and MILLE NAUTIQUE will certainly attract plenty of support and this pair are likely to be included in my permutation on Sunday.  That said, I’m inclined to favour DEFINITE FAVOUR from a win perspective, with the relevant seven pound claiming pilot possibly making the difference between victory and defeat.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/2 favourite finished nearer last than first.

Record of course winners in the second race:

1/3—Tangolan (good to soft)

1/1—Millie Nautique (good)

1/1—Gamain (soft)

3.15: Out of interest in totequadpot contests (races 3-4-5-6 on the card) this season at Huntingdon to date, three of the nine favourites have won, two were placed and four finished out of the frame.  The average Quadpot dividend stands at £14.10.  Juvenile hurdle events are captivating at this time of year, hoping to witness a star in the making under NH rules.  10 of the last 13 winners of this event have won at odds of 9/2 or less and I could back the run of fancied winners to continue via Alan King’s newcomer LORD HUNTINGDON and (possibly) DIABLE DE SIVOLA whose winning form was franked again yesterday.  Lizzie Kelly negates most of the relevant penalty about the latter named raider and this pair should see us safely through to the second half of the Placepot card.  It might prove churlish in the extreme to ignore the chance of Skylark Lady.

Favourite factor: Five clear market leaders have won via 15 renewals, alongside one joint favourite.  12 of the 16 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

3.45: Gary Moore has been saddling plenty of winners under both codes of the sport of late (three of his last eight runners had scored before Saturday’s sport was contested) and stable representative FLASHMAN will probably be my first bet on the card on Sunday.  Gary’s seven time winner has scored on fast and slow ground in the past and with heavy showers (supposedly) hitting all parts of the country as I write on Saturday lunchtime, Flashman’s versatility is likely to be a useful weapon.  FIELDS OF GLORY is rated as the main threat.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 15/8 favourite duly obliged before the next 10/11 market leader could only finish second in a four runner 'win only' event.  Last year’s 3/1 ‘jolly’ scraped into a Placepot position by his ‘hoofnails’ having dead-heated for second place in a ‘short field’ contest.  New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/2--Fields Of Glory (soft)

4.20: SHALIANZI is another Gary Moore representative on the card with definite claims, though connections of TIDESTREAM could argue that the comment also applies to their declaration.  Not too many experienced hurdlers fall on successive occasions over timber but PRIMO ROSSI could still be fancied to figure prominently if remaining upright.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Fontwell card.

Record of the course winner in the field:

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1/11—Tiradia (soft)

4.50: Tim Vaughan and Richard Johnson team up for the third time at the meeting with BELLS OF AILSWORTH with the six-year-old probably having as good a chance as any of the relevant trio.  The main dangers include PHARE ISLE and BUCKONTUPENCE.

Favourite factor: This is another new contest on the Fontwell card.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/9—Phare Isle (good to soft)

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Huntingdon card on Sunday:

4—Alan King (1/2 at Huntingdon this season – Profit of 7 points to level stakes)

4—Tim Vaughan (1/4 – 1 point loss)

3—Gary Moore (1/1 – Profit of 1 point)

2—Jim Boyle (---)

2—Ben Case (0/1)

2—Conor Dore (---)

2—Christine Dunnett (0/3)

2—Brian Ellison (---)

2—James Evans (0/1)

2—Johnny Farrelly (1/2 – Profit of 3 points)

2—Sue Humphrey (0/1)

2—Martin Keighley (1/1 – Profit of 1 pont)

2—John Jenkins (0/1)

2—Jonjo O’Neill (1/3 – exactly level thus far)

2—John Ryan (---)

2—Dan Skelton (0/1)

2—Nick Williams (---)

+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

69 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Kelso: £47.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Uttoxeter: £170.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

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