GOODWOOD - OCTOBER 9
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £662.10 (8 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 5 unplaced)
Sunday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (2.00): 11 (Rosie Royale), 16 (Starcrossed) & 14 (Atalan)
Leg 2 (2.35): 1 (No Not Again), 8 (Wind In Her Sails) & 6 (Gold Award)
Leg 3 (3.10): 2 (Procurator) & 6 (Fareeq)
Leg 4 (3.45): 11 (Links Drive Lady), 16 (Ice Age) & 13 (Rosie’s Premier)
Leg 5 (4.20): 5 (Monarchs Glen) & 7 (Pealer)
Leg 6 (4.50): 10 (Rex Bell) & 7 (Southdown Lad)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Not my type of race at all (akin to the Shergar Cup nonsense at Ascot) even though I have short listed two of the last four winners at 16/1 and 14/1. This year’s nominated trio are ROSIE ROYALE, STARCROSSED and ATALAN, especially as four-year-olds have secured three of the last four contests. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to MAJOR MAC.
Favourite factor: Three of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (one winner). If such contests have to be included on a card, why are they not at the end of a meeting when people can choose to stay at the course if they wish? That would also ‘free up’ toteplacepot events which should be taken seriously, given all the revenue that the wager produces.
Record of the course winners in the opening contest:
1/1—Harry Hunt (soft)
1/1—Bold Runner (good to soft)
2.35: 'Team Hannon' have secured two of the last six contests and though NO NOT AGAIN has hardly set the world alight via two assignments to date, this is a realistic target as we enter the last four weeks of the season. The main danger appears to be WIND IN HER SAILS, especially with Paul Hanagan booked to ride. Mick Channon has unearthed a decent contest for his newcomer GOLD AWARD, who would not have to be an overly precocious type to figure prominently.
Favourite factor: Seven renewals have produced three winning favourites, whilst four market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.
3.10: Four of the last six winners (and six of the last ten gold medallists) have carried a minimum burden of 8-12. Which eliminates the bottom five horses in this two-year-old handicap. Course and distance winner PROCURATOR has to be included in my overnight mix with ‘Team Hannon’ having secured three of the last six renewals. Beaten favourite COLONEL FRANK might be worth another chance in this grade/company, with FAREEQ completing my trio against the other ten contenders. That said, I’m aware of John Best’s (Mullarkey) fine Nursery stats this season which you can find below.
Favourite factor: Seven of the fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four successful favourites.
Record of the course winner in the field:
Nursey record of the represented trainers at all venues this season:
9/91—Richard Fahey (Double Touch)
8/88—Richard Hannon (Procurator & Lexington Sky)
0/5—Ed Walker (Colonel Frank)
1/24—Sylvester Kirk (Mr Hobbs)
4/14—William Haggas (Fareeq)
1/4--Roger Charlton (Santafiora)
5/28—Kevin Ryan (Fields Of Song)
2/3—John Best (Mullarkey)
6/37—David Evans (Herm)
2/11—Clive Cox (Darkroom Angel)
3/21—Richard Hughes (Lawfilly)
5/28—Mick Channon (Whiteley)
3.45: Seven of the eight winners to date have carried a maximum weight of 9-3 whereby the top three horses are eliminated from my thoughts, whilst four-year-olds come to the gig on a four timer. LINKS DRIVE LADY was beaten less than four lengths in this event twelve months ago despite only finishing sixth on the day and the course and distance winner is the first name on the team sheet. Others of interest include stable companion ROSIE’S PREMIER and the consistent ICE AGE from down at the foot of the handicap. I would hazard a guess that all Placepot investors on Sunday will be praying for the sixteen declarations to remain intact.
Favourite factor: Eight renewals have produced two winning favourites, whilst five of the ten market leaders finished in the frame. Three winners were returned in double figures at 16/1-11/1-11/1.
Record of course winners relating to the fourth event:
1/6—Joey’s Destiny (good to soft)
2/8—Links Drive Lady (both wins gained on good ground)
4.20: MONARCHS GLEN will take plenty of kicking out of the frame I fancy following a thoroughly decent effort at the first time of asking over course and distance. John Gosden’s Frankel colt should go one better than when beaten a short head by a decent type who was having his fifth outing. The declarations of stable companion PEALER and REALLY SUPER at add interest to proceedings.
Favourite factor: Six of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame to date (three winners). Eight of the nine winners have scored at a top price of 5/1.
4.50: John Gosden saddles another potential winner in REX BELL whose consistency became frustrating before scoring at Windsor in June. More silver medals have subsequently been added to his portfolio which might let in SOUTHDOWN LAD at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Goodwood card.
Record of the course winner:
1/6—Jacob Cats (god to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Friday:
5 runners—Gary Moore (3/17 at Goodwood in 2016 – Profit of 20 points)
5—Hughie Morrison (2/16 – level stake profit of 3 points)
4—Clive Cox (2/15 – loss of 1 point)
3—Mick Channon (6/39 – Profit of 11 points)
3—David Evans (0/18)
3—Richard Fahey (1/35 – loss of 28 points)
3—John Gosden (5/21 – loss of 5 points)
3—Richard Hannon (9/67 – loss of 2 points)
3—Eve Johnson Houghton (1/19 – loss of 14 points)
3—Mark Johnston (8/63 – Profit of 4 points)
3—William Knight (2/19 – loss of 12 points)
2—Andrew Balding (4/25 – loss of 2 points)
2—Tony Carroll (2/13 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Patrick Chamings (1/5 – Profit of 2 points)
2—James Fanshawe (0/6)
2—Dean Ivory (0/9)
2—Hugo Palmer (0/14)
2—Amanda Perrett (2/36 – loss of 20 points)
2—Sir Mark Prescott (1/7 – loss of 5 points)
+ 37 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
56 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chepstow: £360.50 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4unplaced
Goodwood overview - relating to their juvenile events at 2.35 – 3.10 - 4.20
5 year record of represented trainers in the two-year-old sector:
17/122—Richard Hannon (No Not Again)
2/12—Hugo Palmer (Liberatum)
0/12—David Evans (Black Bubba)
No runners—Mike Murphy (Desert Fox)
No runners—Robyn Brisland (Ferocity)
10/92—Mick Channon (Gold Award)
0/3—Sir Mark Prescott (Kohinoor Diamond)
No runners—Giles Bravery (Wind In Her Sails)
0/19—Hughie Morrison (Bahamian Paradise)
0/2—Daniel Kubler (Sniper Viper)
3/35—Richard Fahey (Double Touch)
17/122—Richard Hannon (Procurator & Lexington Sky)
0/4—Ed Walker (Colonel Frank)
0/21—Sylvester Kirk (Mr Hobbs)
3/12—William Haggas (Fareeq)
2/6—Roger Charlton (Santafiora)
0/9—Kevin Ryan (Fields Of Song)
0/2—John Best (Mullarkey)
0/12—David Evans (Herm)
1/24—Clive Cox (Darkroom Angel)
1/3—Richard Hughes (Lawfilly)
10/92—Mick Channon (Whiteley)
0/1—Anthony Honeyball (Black Prince)
3/32—Andrew Balding (Count Octave)
1/24—Clive Cox (Mach One)
0/19—Hughie Morrison (Magic Beans & Nobleman)
6/24—John Gosden (Monarch’s Glen & Pealer)
1/17—Gary Moore (Reynardo De Silver & Tomsamcharlie)
10/92—Mick Channon (Perfect In Pink)
1/19—Ralph Beckett (Really Super)